DAJK

Might as well do an obligatory ranking of TCU movies now that I've seen this. Conjuring 2 Conjuring 1 (I probably enjoy this one more but 2 I think has the edge when it comes to the craft) Annabelle: Creation Annabelle Comes Home The Nun 2 Annabelle The Conjuring 3 The Nun The Curse of La Llorona

9 Predictions For September 2023's Box Office (screenrant.com) Expendables 4 Will Be September 2023's Biggest New Movie At The Box Office September is a surprisingly busy month for movie releases, and there's something being released that caters to every taste. While they all have a chance to become successful, Expendables 4 is at the top of the September 2023 box office predictions. Its potential box office total of $250 million is higher than any other competitor. Jason Statham is also in a more prominent role in Expend4bles, which is great news for the movie's box office. The British actor has had one success after another in multiplexes. Despite The Meg 2's critical scathing, the movie still made $354 million worldwide. That could be the same story for Expendables 4.

So it’s Die Hard all over again… Actually, this isn’t a bad comparison

You know what, my comps are utterly baffling for Expend4bles tonight. I have no idea what to think. On the one hand, one of the major theatres I track is showing a final Thrusday number barely 1/3rd of The Equalizer 3 a few weeks ago. On the other hand, another theater has already matched TE3's Thursday, and still has one show to go tonight. Another theater is around 75% of TE3 and another is at around 40%. I thought that would be a pretty good comp for this one, but it looks like no. Using Nun and Blue Beetle as comps (didn't really want to) things start to settle in a bit more at around 1.4M or so.

As far as optics go, I’m glad Lily is going lead. It’s great to see an Indigenous woman in the lead actress category. As far as racking up wins go, I wonder if this is going to be this year’s Michelle Williams moment.

Whatever happens with this film, the one thing I’ll say is that the trailers have been consistently very good.

I kind of agree lol. Other than the fact that I do want to catch Venice in theaters, it’s also nice to take a bit of a break from movies on weekends like this and catch up on other things in life.

Poor Things just seems too "weird" to be a huge winner. And not weird in the way that EEAAO was weird.

Ouch @CJohn your time to shine buddy.

Yea, not a great showing for Venice around here tonight. Pre-sales seemed decent, yesterday's sales were great. And then walk-ups were just... not. Probably going to come in under Death on the Nile for Thursday which is... not great. Really unfortunate tbh.

For anyone following, Barbenheimer has now passed The Force Awakens at the domestic box office.

I've never seen Goodfellas or Casino. Which should I watch first?

For everything I’d heard about this movie, from the idiot trolls to the proclamations that it would “rule the summer” (for lack of a better example), this movie just kind of came and went, huh? Racked up a decent amount of money, a splashy (haha) debut on D+ and then poof. I guess that’s the standard for most of these live-action remakes though.

I feel like that’s a bit of a win for Greek Wedding given how awful it looked, how it’s really 15 years too late, and how little buzz there was surrounding it.

I could change my wording then to a story that appeals more to Americans than global audiences. Both are American-set, but one is more of an adventure, and the other is more political, steeped in American political and social history, which I don’t think translates as well as a frontier-based epic.

Yes, but they aren’t uniquely American. KOTFM seems to focus a lot on Indigenous relations and the ongoing consequences of colonialism and past injustices on these relationships between the colonial establishment and Indigenous people. It isn’t a “frontier epic” like The Revenant which, while yes the “frontier” is a very American story, it translates well and has currency around the world.

Here's the thing, we're talking about this vs Oppenheimer as if Oppenheimer is going to be the only movie out of these two that is going to have an exceptional box office run. At the same time though, if KOTFM has a Revenant-type run at the BO I could see the competition becoming a lot closer.

Went Go-Karting!

Jawan is currently the #1 movie in Canada today. Not by much, and Nun will overtake it with walkups tonight. But the fact that it's there now is insane.

Nun is selling far, far better today than yesterday (which makes sense... it's a horror movie on a Friday during the school year). I wouldn't be surprised with 9-10M true Friday tbh.

Conjuring “fanbase” definitely isn’t as strong as it was 5-6 years ago. I can definitely see this being walk-up heavy this weekend as long as WOM isn’t toxic.

Fantastic lol

Nun 2 is selling absolutely atrociously around here (looking at 3 different cities on Vancouver Island, 4 different theaters). The first Nun did pretty well here, although not quite as well as comparably in the rest of the domestic market (it played closer to a 40M opener than a 50-55M one). That being said, if I had nothing else to base my prediction on other than local sales, I'd be hesitant to even predict 20-25M for the weekend. That being said, a lot can happen. The big city on Van Island is a university/nearly deads town, which would not typically presell well for a film like this, especially during the first week back to school. Walkups could end up being great, but the picture does not look pretty as of 2PM PST.

Veloci-cash, obviously.

To be fair, for 4.6 BILLION years we didn't get one.