Wrath

Wait, are you my therapist?

Well, I hope it doesn't, because this thread has *LONG* history and it tracks kinda different stuff than my thread. Plus, I do gather numbers from here so even for my parochial purposes its still valuable. I am considering expanding the window in which I take predicts from here from Monday back to Saturday. At that point everyone will have a pretty decent idea of how things went the previous weekend when working up their predictions. Plus, I notice a few folks seem to post predicts over the weekend and I'd like to include them. So, yeah, I think I will.

That doesn't seem good, but I guess its all about expectations. I'd been assuming it was going to come in under $1M, and since that's not happening, I'm pleasantly surprised by a disappointing result. /shrug

Now it is!

1) Will Vacation drop more than 25% on Thursday? *YES* 2) Will Mission Impossible make more than 60 million? *NO* 3) Will MI5 make more than 5 million from previews? *YES* 4) Will Pixels finish with more than Ant-Man? *NO* 5) Will Minions fall more than 50%? *YES* 6) Will Vacation make more than 30 million for the 5 day? *NO* 7) Will JW increase more than 48% on Saturday? *NO* 8) Will IO finish ahead of JW by more than half a million? *NO* 9) Will Trainwreck drop less than 30%? *NO* 10) Will any film increase more than 60% on Friday? *YES* 11) Will any film increase on Thursday? *NO* 12) Will Papertowns drop more than 58%? *NO* 10/12 3000 11/12 4000 12/12 6000 What film finishes in spots: 5 Pixels 7 Southpaw 9 Inside Out 11 Mr Holmes 2000 each and 3000 bonus for all 4 right Bonus 1: What will Ant-Man and Minions combine to make? 5000 22.9M Bonus 2: What will MI5 gross WW? 10,000 for closest, 7000 for second, 3000 for third closest. 129M

So, um, were the week 10 numbers every fixed?

Wow. Week 13 might have been my worst set of weekly questions ever. I think I totaled 4k points.

Yeah, JW is going to screw everyone's orders. That having been said, out of the overall 15, I'd be surprised if no one gets 13. 50 lists were submitted, and there were ~10 movies that everyone had on their lists, and most folks picked their other 5 out of a fairly similar list of 10 or so movies. I'd be shocked if no one got 8 out of those 10 right. Edit - Its easy to look at JW or PP2 and bemoan how much you missed the total by, but the movies actually in the top 15 so far haven't really had a lot of surprises. Heck, I thought I was doing badly on my list, but I looked it over and realized that if FF4 and MI5 both beat wherever Magic Mike 2 ends up (probably around 85M), but Compton, UNCLE and Vacation don't, I've got 14 out of 15 right (Pixels vs Trainwreck being the only mistake). Sure, none of those things could happen and I could crash and burn, but that's a *MUCH* better position than the one I was in near the end of the winter game and glancing through the lists I think a lot more people are in the same boat.

Yes, but you just missed it. Lasted 45 seconds.

Eh, yes and no. There is no amount of money so great you cant find a way to spend it. But as your wealth goes up it takes more and more work to accomplish that. A friend of my dad's sold a health care company he founded and then retired, worth several hundred million. He then bought a bunch of land outside Santa Barbara and started a winery. Planted grapes, built a big beautiful tasting building and office, hired a good winemaker, and then installed a bunch of his kids in managerial positions. After less than 10 years he put it on the market. It was bleeding him enough that he could see it was gonna be a problem in the not too distant future.

I will say the soundtrack was the best part of it. It was my go-to listening choice if I was feeling pissed at the world for whatever reason.

Yeah. If Minions or IO had disappointed a la Penguins of Madagascar, the 1+2 > 3 through 7 question actually might have happened which is pretty much unheard of.

I actually didn't like Amy. I mean, it was a great insight into who she was as a person and her journey, but it also felt... Vouyeristic. There wasnt some central theme or point. We were just peeking in her windows as her life went on. Also, it felt like the movie went to some pains to make clear who the "good guys" and "bad guys" were in her life, from which you could pretty easily tell who was behind making the movie and settling their scores (spoiler: record label and ex-manager). So, good movie, but I felt a little queasy. Edit: Mr Holmes was good, but slow paced. Its Sherlock Holmes at age 93 looking back on his life so I'm not sure it'd be for everyone. Think post-WW2 english period piece. Average age in tge audience was probably 70. Edit2: MM2 should hit a 5x mult on Tuesday. With good holds it can probably get to a 6x. One of those weird side-effects of an early open.

1. Ant-Man 2. Yes 3. JW 4. Yes 5. Yes

Baumer, what dates do you mean mean in questions 2 and 4?

Feeling zero buzz around this, and it has the potential to be horrendously bad. I'm guessing reviews haven't been embargoed for quite the same reason as they were for Mad Max. Edit - AND WHY THE HELL DID THEY MAKE THIS PG-13?

Ok, thanks. Edit - Stupid Mr Holmes.

How do you define "second week of August" for question 2 and 4? What dates do you mean?

Interesting. As usual, this will probably get edited to a predict in a couple days, but just in case I forget... Abstain! Before its taken away.

No, I just picked a bad example. Batkid Begins was on 2 screens this last weekend and made $551 on Saturday, up 255% from Friday's $155. Would that make the answer to #11 "yes"?

1) Will Southpaw open to at least 15 million? *NO* 2) Will Southpaw have a Saturday increase? *NO* 3) Will Pixels be one of Brian Co'x top 5 opening films of all time? *YES* 4) Will Paper Towns win Friday? *YES* 5) Will Ant Man gross more than Minions? *YES* 6) Will JW and IO both fall less than 38%? *NO* 7) Will Terminator have more than a 52% jump on Saturday? *NO* 8) Will Trainwreck decline more than 35%? *NO* 9) Will any of the top 3 films on Thursday, increase? *YES* 10) Will Paper Towns open to more than 25 million? *YES* 11) According to Rentrak, will Minions gross more than 70 million WW? *YES* 12) Will Ant-man decline more than 50%? *YES* 10/12 3000 11/12 4000 12/12 7000 What films finish in spots: 1 Pixels 2 Paper Towns 4 Ant-Man 6 Southpaw Bonus 1: What does Pixels gross opening day including previews? 5000 $13.2M Bonus 2: What will Trainwreck gross? 5000 $14.8M

Wait, *all* films? So if "The New Rijksmuseum" which grossed $470 on 1 screen ($12k total gross over its 5 week run) had made it, it would have counted?

Yeah, there is a *LOT* of red on those lists. Minions ending somewhere between 290-310M would make a lot of folks happy, but I fear its going to get somewhat past that.

I too am excited about the Evil Dead tv series launching soon.

A Very Harold and Kumar Christmas, 3D?