i knew i'm slow learner but i just learn that suicide squad has gone out from cinema!!!
Why? Like it or not, it holds pretty good, and still get $200k in its last week, why WB/DC pull it out so quickly?? they could have make a final expansion for this on thankgiving!
well, the white-oriented hollywood blockbusters has long invaded non-white world, with all international appeal like Harry Potter, Star wars, titanic, ++++many more were all feature white, so why would non-white world come to against "white"princess all of sudden?
I think the big disadvantage to moana would the existence of sing, not only share the same target, but both are musical, but if moana manage to hang in, there it would be a spring day for it
normally I use weighted average method, splitting the gross into 3 parts, USA, OS without china and china.
Example for captain america 3, $1153m WW, $408m USA, $555m OS, and $190m from china.
Assume 55% for USA, 45% OS and 25%China: it would be (408 x 0.55) + (555 x 0.45) + (190 x 0.25)= $521.65 estimated revenue for studio, only then minus $250m prod.budget and many more for P&A to get net profit.
Moana has one big disadvantage compared to frozen, frozen is a story about SNOW, which make it a perfect choice for christmas and new year, not to mention that year-end winter was unusually cold make frozen even more appealing to public. The blizzard that time was so insane until many people "thought" it was elsa's fault, therefore creating more buzz for frozen then make frozen extremely leggy
even moana could match frozen figure, but i still doubt it can match frozen insane leg especially for christmas and new year period when Universal's Sing cut into the way.....
either way, still a big win for disney princess franchise...
I actually doubt Moana could make that huge money, could even less than $250m domestically, moana does not have good timing at marketplace as frozen did, while frozen in 2013, did face competition like walking with dinosaur but defeat each of them and ruled the Christmas+New Year, but moana has do deal with universal's SING! which also feature song or musical some sort, Sing is going to cut moana's leg, and is a bigger threat as trailer view for Sing is so massive, 42m view on you tube, I suppose it's greater buzz/hype could dampen moana's ability to be another princess phenomena.