Jason

Yes. Shark Tale is their lowest at 35%.

It actually won the BOFFY for Best Picture, too. Only for @jandrew (welcome back, btw!) to read: Arrival was ahead, but just by a point.

In France, locally produced films had a 35% market share in 2015. For the UK, you may see a figure cited of 45% for locally produced films in 2015, but that includes 34% that were co-productions with US studios. Only 10.5% of UK market share went to UK-only films.

Asgard said 13-15, Deadline is using a Friday estimate of 15 for a 42 weekend. You're saying 22 Friday, and earlier on you said 60 for the weekend. And this makes Asgard wrong?

For those specific countries, might be easier to just dig up local currency gross and use that as a comparison. But here's a table with the original, exchange-rate adjusted, and ticket price (incl. exchange rate) adjusted OS grosses for DH2 on a regional and country-by-country basis. Exchange rate adjustment is current as of March 22. Regional ticket-price adjusted grosses are estimated due to missing data for some countries.

Seems easy enough to understand to me. (Not saying the comments there are all bad, but...)

Oh shit, I just visited the weekend thread when you joined these forums. The very first reply to your very first comment was "Dcasey?" Glad that didn't scare you off. For the record, I've never thought you were a Dcasey sockpuppet, he's really antagonistic about Harry Potter and you're not.

I already had the page open before it went down.

http://playbackonline.ca/2017/03/21/hot-sheet-top-10-films-march-10-to-16-2017/ In its third week, Leap ("Ballerina") earned $1.1M, - $0.9M English, $0.2M French. PTA $4,752. Cume now $2.9M.

Looking forward to the 2017 MPAA report coming out next year for the stats from the full run, if we don't get them sooner. In the meantime, I am bookmarking this for the next time anyone says this or any other Disney film with a princess isn't four-quad.

Ten ppl a year die of shark attacks While falling off chairs kills 700 ppl a year

I'm actually fairly certain there is no other film on Rotten Tomatoes that has one rotten review but would round up to 100% under the usual rounding rule (200+ reviews). Looking at the adjusted top 100 list (there's no unadjusted list) on RT, there are 35 films with a 100% score, all of which have zero rotten reviews. There are 13 films with a 99% score, all of which have either less than 200 reviews (and would therefore round down), or have more than one rotten review. I don't know exactly what their adjusting formula is, but it generally adjusts films upwards for having a larger sample size, so it seems impossible for a film with only one rotten review and at least 200 reviews to not appear on this list (Get Out appears in 10th place).

There is nothing wrong per se with a film skewing heavily female. But it's highly relevant for predicting the box office. If this is were to ultimately skew ~75% female and not have that much of the family/couple audience then we'd be looking at a sub-2.5x, even ~2x multiplier. If it skews ~60% it suggests families and couples are attending in significant numbers, and the multiplier should be above 2.5, even closer to 3. I'm still expecting a final split around 60/40, the reverse of top grossing male-skewing films like TFA and AoU.

Those of us who have been saying BatB will be a 60/40 split are using the gender split over the course of the entire run, not just the OD. A lot of the films that finished with a 60/40 male-female split had a ~70/30 split on OD.

Wasn't just you who replied though and didn't include it though. And @franfar only mentioned the criteria of "thought-provoking", and Lincoln is top-notch in that department, however else one may feel about it.

How has Lincoln not been mentioned yet?

Wait, what? @That One Guy isn't even close to being responsible for the past 86 pages. At least 90% of the shitposting has nothing to do with replies to him disliking the movie.

http://playbackonline.ca/2017/03/14/hot-sheet-top-10-films-march-3-to-9-2017/ Leap (as "Ballerina") expanded to 237 theatres, earning $1.1M in its second week - $0.7M English, $0.4M French. PTA of $4,931. Cume now $1.7M. (cc: @Slicknickshady)

Agreed. Welcome to the forums btw!

I'm with @Barnack on this. Market share is the way to go if you're trying to compare performance of two films widely separated (more than 5 years or so) in time. Over the past 15 years or so, CPI would do a better job than estimated admissions, but even that underestimates the extent that box office admissions have fallen. As a share of the US economy, gross box office was about 0.08% of GDP in 2002, and only about 0.06% of GDP in 2015. Admissions in that time period fell 16%, even as the US population increased by ~12%. Here's a comparison of the films that started this discussion, adjusted by ticket price inflation ("TPI", figures from BOM), consumer price index ("CPI), and market share ("MS"). Adjusting by ticket price inflation results in larger figures than CPI or market share, except for the most recent film on the list, where the figures are similar. The figures estimated using CPI or market share are more similar, but even so, CPI is producing a notably larger figure for the earliest film on the list. Edit: Market share really ought to be reported as a %, but I reported it as a dollar figure to make the values easy to compare.

Good catch. Don't know why I didn't think to look at the English/French split, especially since I didn't think this opened near me until the 3rd. Explains why it only opened in 77 theatres. Numbers for March 3-9 won't appear on that site until next Tuesday.

http://playbackonline.ca/2017/03/07/hot-sheet-top-10-films-feb-24-to-30-2017/ Leap (as "Ballerina") opened in 77 theatres across Canada (wide release is ~200+) on Feb. 24, and earned $581,273 in its first week, which works out to a PTA of $7,549.

But these islands are only deliberately "untouched" by modern humans, they aren't "undiscovered". It's only easy enough to believe that an undiscovered island could exist in the 1970s if you don't have knowledge of how islands were discovered before satellites existed. (Which to be fair, is probably true of most people.) Even small islands affect the ocean currents and weather above them in ways that make them very reliably detectable from a distance, and as a result we haven't actually discovered any pre-existing landmasses (ie. islands not very recently formed volcanic activity or other processes) since roughly the early 1800s. Even the European Age of Discovery essentially was re-discovering islands that were previously known to other humans (Polynesians) even if not permanently inhabited. Still, it's the sort of thing that should only bother you if you allow it to. I presume the film isn't trying to make a broader point about human exploration, and there are less plausible/possible things in other films, and even within Kong itself. (I'm fairly certain a land mammal with Kong's dimensions and activity level is impossible, although I'll admit I haven't actually done the calculations.)

Local newspaper published an interview with James Cameron today: James Cameron on the lure of Atlantis and ‘making Avatar 2, 3, 4 and 5’. I can't find any other news of the 2018 date being missed - it certainly hasn't been moved officially. Not sure how seriously to take his remark that "2018 is not happening"? I feel like if he just wanted to cover his bases though he could have just said 'Well, we haven't announced a firm release date'.