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Stewart

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Everything posted by Stewart

  1. Stewart
    top 5 this week: Rank Film (Distributor) Three-day gross (May 31-June 2) Total gross to date Week 1 Aladdin (Disney) £4.9m £19.8m 2 2 The Secret Life Of Pets 2 (Universal) £2.9m £11.9m 2 3 Rocketman (Paramount) £2.5m £12m 2 4 Godzilla: King Of The Monsters (Warner Bros) £2.3m £3.5m 1 5 Pokemon: Detective Pikachu (Warner Bros) £660,000 £12.5m 4 So Pika did around £2m this week during Half Term, Rocketman did solid too, SLOP2 made a real recovery, as expected with the HT. But Aladdin is just phenomenal. Then you get Zilla... just wow 🤦🏻‍♂️ EDIT: for comparison, Godzilla opened with £6.4m in the UK on its way to a £17.2m run. So Zilla 2 is down 64% from Zilla 1... Utterly shameful tbh. Even if you account for the Wed/Thurs too it's still down 45%...
  2. Stewart
    Partially could be release schedule as Sony is busy with MIB and Disney with TS4. But probably the biggest thing is that this is not released by Disney. Sony is doing the marketing for this which would explain why the run-up is different.
  3. Stewart
    "some markets" == basically nothing... Kuwait 4 June 2019 Saudi Arabia 5 June 2019 Poland 14 June 2019 Spain 21 June 2019 Kuwait + Saudi + Poland < $1m Spain might do a bit better, though given how rest of Western Europe has gone...
  4. Stewart
  5. Stewart
    Generally European markets are the ones with long legs, like Germany, France, Italy etc... (but still nothing like Japan) The fact that it's disappointed in those markets automatically reduces its legs quite a lot. iirc RPO did quite well in Europe thanks to Spielberg, therefore drawing that conclusion to be invalid. Also Japan saw a much larger drop on Sunday than most other movies. Japan's Sundays are usually flat or bigger from Saturday, though with the National Discount Day on Saturday, this skews things attendance wise. But comparatively, KOTM dropped about 35% on Sunday whereas AEG dropped 20%. Pika (which skews quite young) dropped ~27% in attendance, which makes sense since family movies generally see a much bigger increase on discount days. It's clear KOTM was front loaded, whether there's WOM at all to counteract is yet to be seen.
  6. Stewart
    UK and SK did as well
  7. Stewart
    Remember that Thursday includes Wednesday too though. Wait, was the 12.7m Thursday only or Thurs+Weds?
  8. Stewart
    Normally they adjust as they go. So 31.4m is Friday estimate and 48.2m is what's currently estimated through Friday. It essentially means up to Thursday was adjusted up to 16.8m. I think Charlie (?) mentioned before that the daily estimates don't line up because they'll keep adjusting as more accurate estimates come in.
  9. Stewart
    It seems likely so at the moment. Also noticed RT audience is gradually dropping too, so could be a similar problem going on in NA and worldwide too maybe.
  10. Stewart
    Potentially yesterday was primarily fans, today during Children's Day more general audience came and watched it and didn't like it? All I can think of.
  11. Stewart
    at first I thought WOW! That's good. Then I realised it includes China's Friday So 11.2m from OS-C-J, and 16.8m up to Thursday. That feels like a big drop. Maybe it picks up on Saturday.
  12. Stewart
    Whoops! Completely missed Phoenix, probably because there was no talk about SLOP2, only comps. Thanks, makes a bit more sense now
  13. Stewart
    https://www.boxofficepro.com/long-range-forecast-once-upon-a-time-in-hollywood-quentin-tarantino/ Once Upon a Time: 50m / 165m Lots updated too, so will put full table in spoiler. Notably TS4 sees a 29% increase to 151m / 495m.
  14. Stewart
    Where was the low TC estimate? Everywhere I'm seeing points to 4,400 which would be fantastic
  15. Stewart
    Thankfully it recovered, only 50% now, which is expected with Zilla, though will do better drop on weekend I suspect. Pikachu down similarly also, so not Endgame's fault.
  16. Stewart
    Ouch. So that ends up with like ¥400m 2-day OW, would be #1 at least, but that's not great. 2014 did 2.23m adm. via Corpse, assuming a fairly high ATP gets somewhere around ¥3-3.5b for 2014. This could end up missing ¥2b if WOM is not good. Looks like another market with a big decline from 2014. Though this is only OD, so still chance for redemption.
  17. Stewart
    I don't think Conan is the best thing to compare to. iirc locals perform poorly on Friday's compared to the weekend as it's relatively new, whereas HWD's usually do well on Friday. Better comparison might be Endgame, as that was presale heavy too and Hollywood. (Only for % though, won't match absolutes)
  18. Stewart
    My god that Godzilla number Looks like Parasite might hold flat or even increase from yesterday
  19. Stewart
    Thank you! So anywhere from 2 till 5am in UK, guess I'm going to bed then
  20. Stewart
    Just saw somebody say that a trailer is expected tonight - what time actually is that? (include timezone as well please)
  21. Stewart
    I know But despite being 2.5 years apart, even being at the same level given the other factors I mentioned makes it at least worthwhile. Especially given we have actual figures from MTC for BATB, hence why I tagged Wang. Always good to mention though as I probably should have in my post, especially for those new to BO tracking.
  22. Stewart
    Think I saw somewhere that this is Hanks' last Toy Story, though that doesn't necessarily mean they won't pay up to make more. Though given this series is over 25 years old at some point, with much the same cast, it's not all that surprising if it is the end.
  23. Stewart
    Logically, you'd think it might be affected somewhat. But Disney seems to defy logic this year, so probably just increase the predictions for TLK instead.
  24. Stewart
    @Shawn gonna be real interesting seeing the update to TS4 now the non-Pro tracking is out. At this rate your LRT is looking very small https://www.boxofficepro.com/long-range-tracking-lion-king/ 6/21/2019 Toy Story 4 $117,000,000 $390,000,000 Disney / Pixar That 390 could be done by 2nd weekend at this point
  25. Stewart
    That's a very pointy mountain!
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