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Stewart

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Everything posted by Stewart

  1. Stewart
    Makes sense, hadn't really looked at before, was just spitballing the 300m figure. So 230 WW OW, seems fairly decent. Looking closer by the day as to who will win between Godzilla or Aladdin!
  2. Stewart
    With 70m OW I heard someone say for China, suppose 70m for Dom too. Then with total looking at 300m min from OS-C, maybe a 125m OS-C opening? or bigger? How does 265m OW WW sound?
  3. Stewart
    So with 200m domestic maybe, then 550m worldwide? And how front loaded would you think? With 100m domestic 4-day say, would 150m OS be reasonable given Zilla the week after?
  4. Stewart
    So what are people thinking here? Seems to me the consensus is around 500m OS. Have we got presales info / buzz anywhere other than China?
  5. Stewart
    @Charlie Jatinder do you still think 700m OS for this or has your prediction changed? Overall how is this looking for overseas?
  6. Stewart
    OD = Opening Day OW = Opening Weekend PSm = PreSale Multiplier (multiplier from presales to OD) BOM = Box Office Mojo Pretty much the important ones. There's more on the subreddit: https://www.reddit.com/r/boxoffice/wiki/terms
  7. Stewart
    Not sure my audiences have agreed with that. The ~5 maybe 6 times I've been in the theatre and SLOP2 trailer has played, it's always had a fairly distinct response of chatter and excitement from youths. In comparison Aladdin usually got a few murmurs and Toy Story 4 was a mixed bag (in Endgame for example there was big chatter, in kids movies not so much). I have a suspicion that TS4 is gonna skew older than people might think. EDIT: Just to clarify, I'm not saying your statement is inherently wrong. Simply stating that anecdotes from my corner of the world don't support your statement. Whether my audiences are representative or outliers I don't know.
  8. Stewart
    Say it hits 6m dead on, do you think a 10x is still possible, or is the precedence on 7pm shows showing signs of front loading? I assume with 6m, 50m is extremely likely and 60m is possible right?
  9. Stewart
    I had the same problem! --- A thought though, how about XDP for Dark Phoenix to signify X-Men? Then we already (somehow forum and reddit wide) decided on Pika Pika for Detective Pikachu. --- My other problem is whenever people type "JW3", I always think initially "It's a little early for Jurassic World 3 talk..." only to realise it's about Wick. I'm sure @Brainbug has the exact same issue
  10. Stewart
    This actually makes a bit of sense, I think in Japan Pika is getting IMAX this weekend as well iirc. So perhaps IMAX has a deal that gets Pika the screens this weekend, due to Endgame hogging? Then Cinemas would take away Pika's other PLFs in favour of Wick as that's the new release? Maybe this is nonsensical speculation, but I can see a flicker of logic somewhere there
  11. Stewart
    I wouldn't be so sure of that anymore
  12. Stewart
    Others have done it also in the past. I imagine there will be a restriction on how many showings each theatre are allowed, or perhaps a restriction on which theatres are even allowed to show it. It should be added to actual box office, since people still paid and saw the movie. It's just used to build hype and wom. If the showings are large enough we may even get an early Maoyan or Douban score from it.
  13. Stewart
    Looks like people have to pay for them, as expected: http://piaofang.maoyan.com/dashboard?date=2019-05-25
  14. Stewart
    Also to add to that, when CM released tickets there was very few other movies people were spending money on. FFH has to deal with people buying tickets for Pika, EG, KOTM, Aladdin, heck even Wick by the looks of it. All of which were much bigger. This doesn't mean people aren't going to go watch FFH, simply that people aren't going to prebuy tickets to the 6th next movie they see.
  15. Stewart
    For me the important thing now is whether we're looking at average reviews (~50%) or absolute shit reviews (<15%). The latter will cause it to have disastrous legs, the former will at least be some saving grace.
  16. Stewart
  17. Stewart
    gimme JW3 > 2m and Aladdin < 1m
  18. Stewart
    @kayumanggi
  19. Stewart
    That's more likely to be a 10-day total than a final total...
  20. Stewart
    In a twisty turn of events, despite falling short in US, Pikachu actually defeated Thanos over here! I think this is a very good opening personally. Not bad for The Hustle either, bigger than Long Shot OW. Rank Film (Distributor) Three-day gross (May 10-12) Total gross to date Week 1 Pokémon Detective Pikachu (Warner Bros) £4.9m £4.9m 1 2 Avengers: Endgame £4.4m £80.4m 3 3 The Hustle (Universal) £1m £1m 1 4 Long Shot (Lionsgate) £411,308 £1.9m 2 5 The Curse Of La Llorona (Warner Bros) £243,000 £1.2m 2
  21. Stewart
    Wow that's great for both. Down just 31% for Pika is absolutely fantastic. Avengers down 41%, still very good.
  22. Stewart
    That's more what I thought. At usual locs Pika won by 700 over weekend, so was expecting AEG to win in BO by a tad. Did Pika hit ¥300m this weekend?
  23. Stewart
    Yes looks to be. EG and DP were very similar in admissions at usual locations for the weekend. Wasn't sure which would win, looks like Pika edged it. It's actually a really good hold for Pika given it's a post-holiday!
  24. Stewart
    That lines up perfectly actually. iirc trailers need 2 weeks before debutting in theatres, so with TS4 on 21st June, the trailer needs to be made and rated for 7th June, just in time for Tony on the 9th June. I just hope it comes out on 8th though, because early on the 9th I'm on holiday and away from internet for a week - don't want to wait a whole week!
  25. Stewart
    I would say under Pika is a minor bomb, anything near Dumbo is an utter flop.
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