Stewart

In my opinion this line is very important. BATB was notorious for being PS heavy, then TS4 comes along and beats it. Not only is animation usually way way below live action for presales, but TS4 is gender neutral (perhaps even a little more male heavy being Pixar?), whereas BATB had the female-skew which made PS even heavier. I know that BATB was 2.5 years prior, but still... @Deep Wang I need you

Agreed. It's not impossible, but I don't see it yet. However this does mean Frozen 2 actually has some competition for top dog now. (Domestically at least)

First full day in UK... debuted in 4th behind all 3 openers of last weekend. Brutal Given schools are off this week, you might excuse SLOP and Al, but Zilla being below even Rocketman is terrible.

try again https://www.thefreedictionary.com/onward on·ward (ŏn′wərd, ôn′-) adj. Moving or tending forward.

Those visuals are absolutely stunning... And Tom's character looks so much like Tom! On purpose I suspect

Do you think the GA are aware of that? I.e. could people who might've waited to see in IMAX watching this weekend as there's no IMAX after Phoenix arrives?

Also, KOTM on hourly is doing great as well, not sure wth he's looking at but he ain't doing it right. Last hour (partial): 2019-05-29 09:00:00 635 Aladdin (2019) 2019-05-29 09:00:00 289 Godzilla King of the Monsters (2019) 2019-05-29 09:00:00 259 Rocketman 2019-05-29 09:00:00 179 John Wick Chapter 3 – Parabellum 2019-05-29 09:00:00 151 Avengers Endgame (2019) 2019-05-29 09:00:00 96 Godzilla King of the Monsters - The IMAX 2D Experience 2019-05-29 09:00:00 85 Pokémon Detective Pikachu 2019-05-29 09:00:00 82 Booksmart 2019-05-29 09:00:00 82 Toy Story 4 2019-05-29 09:00:00 78 Ma (2019) 2019-05-29 09:00:00 69 Aladdin 3D 2019-05-29 09:00:00 47 Brightburn 2019-05-29 09:00:00 34 Godzilla King of the Monsters 3D (2019) 2019-05-29 09:00:00 31 A Dogs Journey 2019-05-29 09:00:00 18 Dark Phoenix 2019-05-29 09:00:00 17 The Hustle (2019) 2019-05-29 09:00:00 16 UglyDolls 2019-05-29 09:00:00 16 Aladdin The IMAX 2D Experience Combining Aladdin gives 720 Combining Godzilla gives 419 Doing very much better than Rocketman.

There's two entires... It's almost beating John Wick combined.

Over here in UK, not many prebooked for the prime time showing tonight at my theatre opening day. (just booked) Currently 5 tickets sold, including 2 from me, will report back later but hoping for a bigger turnout than that! Though it is half term, so it's possible the primetime showing won't be as busy as it could be.

Awesome

Will you report on TS4's first day? I feel comparison to I2 could be very good, even if not on the same level but just for relative terms.

If Maoyan still disconnected from the Official BO system? And could this be affecting the presale numbers we're seeing through Maoyan?

This makes it sounds so negative! I'll take a 10% chance for this to do 90m+ opening any day

Weekend estimates via Corpse: (C)2019「コンフィデンスマンJP the movie」製作委員会Weekend Estimates (05/25-26)01 (01) ¥347,000,000 ($3.2 million), -10%, ¥1,155,000,000 ($10.6 million), The Confidence Man JP (Toho) WK202 (---) ¥220,000,000 ($2.0 million), 0, ¥295,000,000 ($2.7 million), Aircraft Carrier Ibuki (Kino Films) NEW 03 (02) ¥206,000,000 ($1.9 million), -25%, ¥2,365,000,000 ($21.6 million), Pokemon: Detective Pikachu (Toho) WK4 04 (04) ¥152,000,000 ($1.4 million), -27%, ¥4,840,000,000 ($43.4 million), Kingdom (Toho/Sony) WK6 05 (03) ¥148,000,000 ($1.3 million), -30%, ¥5,550,000,000 ($50.3 million), Avengers: Endgame (Disney) WK506 (---) ¥140,000,000 ($1.3 million), 0, ¥175,000,000 ($1.6 million), Sadako (Kadokawa) NEW 07 (05) ¥130,000,000 ($1.2 million), -31%, ¥8,560,000,000 ($78.1 million), Detective Conan: The Fist of Blue Sapphire (Toho) WK708 (---) ¥x60,000,000 ($550,000), 0, ¥x90,000,000 ($820,000), Promare (Toho) NEW 09 (06) ¥x40,000,000 ($365,000), -57%, ¥225,000,000 ($2.1 million), According to Our Butler (Toei) WK2 10 (08) ¥x39,000,000 ($355,000), -46%, ¥1,915,000,000 ($17.3 million), Crayon Shin-chan: Honeymoon Hurricane, The Lost Hiroshi (Toho) WK6Everything mostly performed as expected this weekend. The Confidence Man JP held even better than early weekend numbers suggested though, delivering an excellent second weekend hold that easily allowed it to secure its second weekend atop the box-office. Sadako has the admissions to have earned a debut in the Top 5 (fourth or fifth) but this one isn't showing in any premium formats, so I expect its average ticket price to be relatively low. I think it'll just miss the Top 5 in revenue.

I'll raise your 1 face to 3 faces

Based on name alone, ¥800m - $800m should be a good range. Will definitely fall in that range.

As per Eric, in the last 6 days FFH beat DP on 3 of them, and not far behind on the others... Given they're releasing 25 days apart, that truly is atrocious isn't it

So you official prediction range is probably something like $3.0m ± 0.3m for previews at the moment then? Wouldn't that point to an OW of $40m maybe? Below Pro's 50m and way below all X-Men before it 😕 Given Apocalypse's legs, that means under 100m might happen - that would not be good. Let's hope it's just a blip due to how many movies are out, would be a shame for X-Men to finish with a disaster...

About time I put this thread on mute I think

Yes, but with Aladdin breaking out and limited screen space it was always going to drop. With half term this week, all schools are off and so SLOP could easily be at $10-12m by next weekend. Yes a drop overall, but given conditions it could've been much worse. As I said, not terrible, but not great either.

Aladdin's Sunday: 358k +8.5% Only movie in top 6 to increase (rest averaged the typical 10-15% drop). WOM still building and spreading, at this rate potential for next weekend to hold flat. Been a long time since I saw a Sunday increase on a normal Sunday!

$4.1m OW for pets est. Not that terrible given Aladdin and Rocketman opened, limiting audience and screens.

Also the original is only 88 minutes with credits. Maybe 82 without. No way this comes in under 100 mins, expecting more like Aladdin of ~2 hours + credits. It's just standard now.

Endgame finished with 357, so 257 confirmed for TLK Imagine that... The most anticipated movie of 2018, and by far the biggest, is going to be matched in NA by a pack of lions

Corrected for what you really mean...