Valonqar

Winners predictions: Game over: Randolph, Zone (Foreign) Almost there: Oppenheimer, Nolan, Stone, RDJ 2-way race: Murphy and Giamatti, Script categories (Anatomy and Holdovers, American Fiction and Barbie), Spider and Heron

Director miss is not bad cause preferential ballot favors Script and Acting combo. Holdovers is locked to win Acting (at least Randolph). It's facing competition from Anatomy in Original Script but it's between these 2 movies. Yeah, pundits are creating fake race here but Oppenheimer has SAG Ensemble nom and Holdovers doesn't which is a minor setback but still a setback given how actors driven votes tend to be. It has been Stone's to lose since Venice raves. Gladstone won GG only because of Drama/Comedy split.

Nope. It's Poor Things. That one will win Actress for sure and has a good shot at winning Production Design, Costume and Makeup and who knows what will win Adapted? Maestro isn't a lock for even Makeup and it's not going to win anything else.

yep and might end with zero wins or only makeup.

she's not winning lol. She missed all precursors but CC which had 6 slots. She's #5. Randolph is locked to steamroll this even if BAFTA hypotetically picks a Brit. Randolph's winning SAG. It's over.

Awful Netflix biopic? 100% IN! I'm not joking. Netflix is really good with this shit cause they know what Acting branch falls for. And they are the biggest voting body. Some fun facts: French submission Taste of Things missed in Foreign while the movie they didn't submit cause of some feud between Macron and Triet got Picture, Director, Actress, Original Script and Editing noms.

never udnerestimate Netflix ability to push through actors in shitty biopic baits. Rustin, Nyad, Maestro. Bravo, Netflix.

That is not the point. The point is that she was snubbed together with the director while Ferrera who was missing precursors cause her performance was nothing to write home about except that cringe speech got in. It would be as if Jon Hamm got in for TGM without Cruise. It's nonsense.

WTF was this? How the heck did Gerwig and Robbie miss for being the reason for the movie's succes alongside Gosling but the cringest part of the movie, Ferrera, somehow made the cut? I see Internet is raging over this BS and rightly so.

Yes because it was based on the popular book with big built-in fandom in US and it had big names (Reece, Oprah, Pine). It was unreasonably budgeted (lack of) quality aside. Even if it was good it depended on one market only and it's very hard to blow up so much to offset disinterest elsewhere.

oh wow that's an excellent input into French boxoffice! Big thanks!

If Ellis gets in it will be interesting to see at whose expense. Really saved its face with late legs. If WB didn't wait so long could have made more. Not idea about France but Brazil and Italy should be romance-friendly markets at least Brazil considering all the dating show spin-offs that the country is getting (Too Hot to Handle Brazil, Love Is Blind Brazil, etc).

ABY is the holiday season and beyond story for sure.

I think that ABY proving leggy in mainstream and Saltburn exploding on streaming are stealing the sexy buzz from Poor Things. It also helps those other movies that are contemporary which is appealing to younger audience and have young up and coming cast.

Proof that tapping into the underserved audience is a win.

Watched it again. Addictive stuff!

If it gets awards nominations. Rn it's hoping to crash the party thanks to Frances Fisher giving the movie and especially Ellis To Leslie grassroot campaign. We'll see what happens on Tuesday.

Wonka should pass 200M dom and A2 120M dom eventually since holdovers should hold well next weekend too.

I hope Aquaman 2 hold holds. It didn't crash contrary to pre-release expectations but saved a bit of face both dom and OS. Momoa walkups.

yeah and then next weekend they can report increase from this weekend.

Bingo. It feels like a money laundering scheme that that made for TV thing had 250M budget after a tax break! So originally more than that and even covid cannot explain how the heck it looked like a Canadian sci fi (the lowest of sci fi) on such a big budget. TV characters, TV quality of visuals, TV pilot plot.

I didn't watch cause I had zero interest in this team but all you said was obvious from trailers. Mediocrity, annoyance, no hook, promo tone and focus shifting with each new teaser/trailer/clip/spot. First they wanted to present all 3 as equals than when that didn't work they tried last ditch attempt to refocus on Carol, etc. Disposable movie. Everything about it screamed disposable especially cast members from streaming shows. That just spelled cheap, and wait for, well, streaming.

where did he come from and what site is he working for? It really sucks that we had to get numbers from him.

This 1000%. People showed up for Tom, Tobey and Andrew. That was an event. They sure as hell didn't show up for Ms Streaming Show 1 and Ms Streaming Show 2. That was not an event. Not a rocket sceince.

To be fair, it's harder to predict final total than OW since OW can be figured out from presales while final depends on legs and legs can't be accurately forcast numbers/holds/reception unseen, only wishcast. Luiz is a joke, though.