Well, with the last update from keyser I think we have about as good data for est first 24 hr as we’re ever gonna get, and it came out to ~3.7. Plugging into the handy dandy pre-processed formula, we get — 25.9M. Thank you everyone, congrats Paul Rudd on a higher start than BP1, you can all relax and go home now
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I mean, tending to overperform the straight comp vs larger starts and underperform the straight comp vs lower starts is like presales 101 right. Final ratio moves toward 1x relative to D1 ratio.
It’s not coincidence at all @JustLurking — the coincidence is that the last 5 mcu has been getting smaller and smaller (NWH 18 start ->DS2 9 -> Thor 5.5 ->BP 4.3 -> QM 3.7) but if you permuted the order in time you’d have observed the exact same pattern when ordered by size still.
I wasn’t even gonna bother responding but yes:
A) 10 days almost painfully typical for mcu
B ) social timing basically zero relationship to eventual reception for MCU
I don’t think Incredibles or Frozen 3 quite have the juice, but you would expect a decent chance of an animated movie over 2B in the next few years just going by really brute highest grossing animation trends.
They’ve been slow on actuals yeah but I’m saying for two weeks ago (the 3day between New Year’s and mlk). Finally updated last Fri with the weekly dumps but I see the conflicting figs above in two places that agree on the rest of the top 9 and are usually fully in agreement 🥴
Avatar want to see also had like 13 years for people to click on it right? Whereas until few days ago Chinese audience would believe they can’t watch this in theaters to begin with.
In worst case we can ignore words and interpret Jat post with two nums as 700-1000 range, 837 point est vs M37 725, with an O/U bar of…
779, resolves as win for Jat
Typical production to release window was ~12 months in phase 3 but they could turn it around a bit faster on a few occasions iirc. That said won’t be surprised if anything from Marvels onward gets shuffled in the next lil bit.
Too late to change officially (I assume?), but I am seeing 1,425,429 in some places for whale actual and 1,503,638 in others, and would like to have the real value on the sheet. Are you perhaps able to provide any clarity @Shawn? This is for 6th-8th tbc not mlk.
Going to be real glad when we can drop whale… on the feb 3rd I guess 😬
Slammed today with screen losses but both local holiday openers have quite bad reception, could do solid this weekend if it can gain some back fast enough, let’s see how it shakes out.