Legion Again
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Everything posted by Legion Again
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Probably not. With a 1M weekend, I’d say a realistic chance. Either way we’ve gotta see effect of competition+holidays, which could be a bit unpredictable.
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Already up to 117604 on Korean source. Should have just stuck to PS projection for an error of like 300 people 😛 Anyway that’s a better daily drop than all top movies with an egg below 99. -27% weekly. Fri CGV PS exactly where I had estimated yesterday with 25k. Going to forecast 170k. If that happens, Avatar is toast and we’ve got a realistic shot at 1M weekend, but keep in mind that a 900k 4th weekend is also extremely good in this market and extremely good for HW large openers in this market. Like, eeeeeeeeeasily a record for HW large opener.
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Bit more than 14.2, even. Midday update, 109k
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Why get 2 more hours of content with a Frozen 3 when I could get 20 more hours of content with a couple seasons on D+ instead 🤤
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The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
Legion Again replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
Nah, cumulatively. Had sold a total of 22 by end of Monday, 2 on Tuesday, 0 on Wednesday. -
I’ve been feeling like almost every single mid-sized film gets sucked into some kind of 105+-10 gravitational vortex this year. Thought Maleficent might be able to avoid it, but nope. FvF almost assuredly getting sucked in now. A plausible resting place for KO as well. At this point I almost just wanna predict Little Women, Spies in Disguise, and 1917 for 95-115M as well.
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No. Lucky to be 94 heading into the weekend and then will make sub 6M. I’d guess next Tues/Wed.
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John Wick: Chapter 4 | March 24, 2023 | RIP Lance Reddick
Legion Again replied to antovolk's topic in Box Office Discussion
You guys, it’s obvious. This is Matrix 4 -
The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
Legion Again replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
Variety with: 45-55 J3 (studio projecting 35) 10-12 BC 10 RJ https://variety.com/2019/film/box-office/box-office-jumanji-the-next-level-richard-jewell-opening-weekend-1203431336/ -
Nice bump for KO
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Boom, you looking for this?
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The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
Legion Again replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
Wang gave 3 or 4 reports for EG iirc, which was enough for Menor to establish a good correlation with Pulse and maybe MTC2 (I forget if they’d started that yet). -
Rank Title Release Date Daily Gross (Total) Admissions (Total) Number of Screens Revenue Share 1 Frozen 2 U.S. Nov 21, 2019 $804,755 ($77,231,371) 125,599 (11,064,940) 1,270 33.01% 2 Jumanji : The Next Level U.S. Dec 11, 2019 $707,316 ($715,151) 109,302 (109,926) 1,175 29.01% 3 FORD v FERRARI U.S. Dec 04, 2019 $261,263 ($4,387,881) 38,819 (596,581) 703 10.71% 4 A Little Princess South Korea Dec 04, 2019 $123,561 ($2,187,628) 20,736 (340,751) 579 5.06% 5 KNIVES OUT U.S. Dec 04, 2019 $137,110 ($2,116,273) 20,553 (306,511) 502 5.62% 6 Killed My Wife South Korea Dec 11, 2019 $107,539 ($119,094) 16,316 (17,913) 533 4.41% 7 START-UP South Korea Dec 18, 2019 $82,975 ($165,245) 14,096 (32,813) 77 3.4% Frozen is starting to show some actually nice legs here, let’s see if it lasts. Minor daily bump on J3 OD while most other movies dropped 16-30%, puts F2 down about 29% weekly in actuals. Should profit further from Jumanji’s poor reception. CGV PS are 15k, going to say 118k. With normal FSS patterns that should give it a good shot to be above Extreme Job’s 4th weekend and maybe even a 4th 1M+ weekend. AFAIK the only other movies with 4 1M+ weekends are Ode to my Father and Veteran, both of which opened much lower. EDIT: Look like just 1k or less sneaks for START-UP today, but it’s no longer looking very formidable on KOBIS. I guess Ashfall may be the bigger opener next week.
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The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
Legion Again replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
We have Wang and trade reports. There is indeed a lot of interpolation going on though. -
The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
Legion Again replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
Double post -
The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo
Legion Again replied to grim22's topic in Numbers and Data
Eternals under Sonic, book it.