Legion Again

Billy Magnussen has the best agents in the world.

The long range total for Jumanji is 15M under the low end of the long range range, @Shawn.

Who needs 200-300 when you have 350-550 instead

I roughly had 160+590 in mind when I made the comment. If both really bomb could see 140+500 or something. Not likely, but stranger things have happened just in the past 2 months.

Knives Out (LG/MRC)/3,461 theaters/ Fri $4.4M (-58%)/3-day $15.2M (-43%)/Cume $64.5M/Wk 2 Almost seems like pleasing crowds is good business

Well, yeah, that’s why I didn’t give a “TROS bombs” combined total 😛

Holy shit, epic. That F2 number is solid, hopefully doesn’t move downward

MWThu is just 8.7 vs 7, roughly +24%, so I’d say the difference between weekend and weekday lead comes down significantly to the 2013 vs 2019 Tuesday

Frozen 1 path 😉 2.73 9.8(+260%) 22 (+124%) 14.3 (-35%) 44.1

QuickDraw sfran does it again. very nice Thurs number compared to what keyser was seeing

Nah, that’s how they reveal that EG BW was actually a Skrull!

Consider the next couple hours of this thread an early Christmas present 🙄

On the low end I could see 280+300+80 or so. Hopefully this doesn’t turn out like our Jumanji exchange might.

2x locked. Even 2.5x too easy. Let’s try for 3x

When Jumanji+TROS make 750M this will reap the profits

Exactly what I was thinking.

I think TFA Iceland may be really high admits per capita. Don’t have statistics to check for sure though, not an admit report country as far as I can tell. Edit: Thought we were talking decade, not century. Maybe Avatar Iceland.

Saturday monster strikes again. Sat PS in SK is over Friday total.

I hope this doesn’t turn out prophetic, but so far the China portion at least is very on point. Even an overestimate. And DOM still looks reasonable to me as well as the DOM:OS-C ratio 😬

I mean sure, this is by far the least PS driven Saturday we’ll have yet. Maybe a lot of people show up tomorrow who haven’t bought a ticket yet. Maybe a bit less than I’m expecting. If you prefer a range call it maybe 650-720k

Sub par first entries too. If you wanna get your movie saved by China in the 2020s you won’t be able to halfass it.

Walkups slightly beat that conservative estimate: 1 Frozen 2 U.S. Nov 21, 2019 $1,645,041 ($66,824,353) 235,497 (9,557,861) 1,522 50.71% 2 FORD v FERRARI U.S. Dec 04, 2019 $514,123 ($1,317,839) 66,934 (182,570) 934 15.84% 3 A Little Princess South Korea Dec 04, 2019 $256,829 ($889,978) 38,843 (145,578) 694 7.91% 4 KNIVES OUT U.S. Dec 04, 2019 $252,859 ($721,932) 35,634 (108,622) 668 7.79% 5 Last Christmas U.S. Dec 05, 2019 $217,647 ($413,729) 31,224 (60,883) 615 6.7% 6 BLACK MONEY South Korea Nov 13, 2019 $118,924 ($16,830,833) 17,165 (2,377,382) 465 3.66% 7 Bring Me Home South Korea Nov 27, 2019 $84,623 ($3,956,348) 12,707 (594,147) 530 2.6% And F2 is back over 50% rev share. Should climb higher on Sat. Assuming it settles around 237k, this is a 45% weekly drop (and one of the biggest 3rd Friday’s ever, let’s remember). Sat PS are 138k. Same old song and dance by this point, but that is HUGE. Going to call for 680k admits (-42% weekly). When I try to extrapolate from KOBIS PS patterns the Sun I get doesn’t make any sense, so I’ll just wait for tomorrow before saying anything about it.

Have been suspecting under 500 a bit now. (Since <250 DOM+China started looking plausible). Maybe developed markets will hold more from first though, let’s see how the other markets this weekend go. But 36*5.5 is almost a good DOM performance now and that’s 198 whereas I think China miss $50.

Following Frozen 1 for 9, 20, 13 would be neat

Looks like yes. Low 60s. Could hit lower end of my 28-33 range with a good sat bump.