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Everything posted by Captain Craig
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Wednesday Numbers Thread | VERY EARLY:CM $8.5-9M
Captain Craig replied to DeeCee's topic in Numbers and Data
Captain Marvel's drop doesn't and shouldn't bother folks. While I was impressed with it's Monday-Tuesday number it over performed imo. It will have a stunning second weekend. Remember various schools are in/out of Spring Break so CM will look a bit uneven at times with the daily numbers. It is the weekend that matters most for non-summer films. I don't know what happened in the Tuesday thread, been out of pocket, sounds like it was a hot mess of immaturity though based on the OP here. -
I really enjoyed the film. I fully expected them to re-write Carols origin and get her power set fully up to where it is in the current comics. The evolution and gradual upgrade of her powers in the comics would've just been too much. I did not expect them to make Mar-vell a woman scientist vs the Kree Warrior man who Stan Lee co-created. I had thought Jude Law was going to perhaps be Mar-vell, I totally missed that one(again I don't read all spoilers). Thought from the trailers Law was going to be a force of influential good on Carol/Vers. As a film it is really good and I have no real complaints save one at first blush. How was she able to go right to the records she needed in that vast records room on the 5 sub-basement floor? As for her not being addressed as Captain Marvel in the film....really? That is the complaint logged by one that has received multiple replies and retorts? If that is all you got then what you got is nothing.
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Saw it last night, really solid entertaining film. Two big variances from the character/lore that even I as a casual Captain Marvel reader over the decades noticed. One I fully expected, the other I did not(cause I stay off spoilers but it was probably revealed there). My 400 seat theater was about 80%+ full at 7:30pm
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Thursday (02/28/2019) Numbers - Early Estimates.
Captain Craig replied to charlie Jatinder's topic in Numbers and Data
What side of 50% do we see Alita doing this weekend before Captain Marvel washes it totally off the box office charts? $5m or $7m. I suppose doing $6m would qualify as a good hold as well. -
Wednesday (2/27/2019) Numbers - HTTYD 3 $2.05mn.
Captain Craig replied to charlie Jatinder's topic in Numbers and Data
How do you rationale think that? The signal is, US domestic at minimum, that no, there isn't merit for a sequel. It cost way too much and returned too little at the domestic box office which is where the maximum amount of returns come from. The returns on international receipts are far, far less and it may not perform there like the Billy club was expecting either. That would further signal defeat. -
Wednesday (2/27/2019) Numbers - HTTYD 3 $2.05mn.
Captain Craig replied to charlie Jatinder's topic in Numbers and Data
I see the bar for US domestic "success" for Alita has now come down from some $140m to $85m. -
The genius of what Kevin Feige has done is that he's build the MCU Brand up on the backs of characters not as well known to the masses. Not famous ones. Hulk and Captain America are the only ones to really have had prior if not known exposure and they had waned a lot, especially Cap. Iron Man - huge risk Hulk - the biggest known character had a middling performance Thor - the Marvel Norse god version with his tropes, risky Captain America - too jingoistic we were told, too RAH, RAH America to sell internationally. Guardians of the Galaxy - a film with a talking smart ass raccoon and tri-syballic talking tree, yeah that will work. Dr. Strange - by this point the criticism shifted to "yawn origin story of privileged white guy" while overlooking the visuals and world to actually bring to life on film. Ant-Man - the ridicule was off the chain, I mean ants, ants? Whose scared of ants they shouted Black Panther - dangerous to attempt in our knee jerk reaction social media world--BOOM!! Avengers - combining solo films into one film has never been done, they are largely unknown, now the JLA, the masses know them, that film will explode.... Captain Marvel is just as unknown if not more than a few of these. While it is true the MCU Brand and the backs of 20 other films carry this it'll have it's own merits, thanks to Feige.
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With a reported $170m budget are we pretending $100m, heck even $115m is a win? Yes, I know...China and WW figures but how many times does a sequel get made because of that? Pacific Rim 2 and that sucked allegedly a 4th xXx film but I've heard nothing on that in a year. I'm waiting on that second weekend but feel the Victory lap is premature at this point.
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Bumblebee is certainly a success, even if one wants to get pedantic and say minor success. It's lower budget and some tax incentives helped make that happen but those things can be said about a number of films. The fact it had better characters, a stronger and straightforward narrative without the choppy action edits and bloated sequences of the past few TF films is the real reason this won over a fading fan base. I feel those that passed out of spite may discover it later and those folks will show up for whatever is next most likely. Bumblebee has the chance to look like Fast & Furious 4 for this franchise, be the film that revives a franchise. That $125.7m domestic total was considered a no go by certain brain trusts around here who like to print obits in the early going.
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I'm disappointed that Affleck is gone. It wasn't his Batman that was bad, it was the writing he had endure as Batman. Shame on DC for letting a director derail the synergy these actors had begun to build. Marvel didn't allow for that. Vision, Warners lacks a solid vision.
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I think at this point it is fair and accurate to call Bumblebee a success sitting at $438m WW, $122 of that Domestic. The question for Paramount is: Where does the franchise go? 'Bee seems to have gotten good will from those of us who didn't give up hope. I feel those who passed out of spite for Bay may realize on at home viewing that it is a pretty good film. Thus the likelhood a Bee sequel happens, and budget maintained in control again, they could see even better returns. There is also talk of an all animated Cybertronian War film as briefly seen in the Bee film.