peludo

Because GOTG was very well liked there. It had great legs, better than most of MCU films. And among the films you mention, excepting KFP3, what has been obviously a disappointment, I do not think that others have done something different that the common sense would had said. I had TFA making 800s before release and it did 825 (you can find it in the Chinese thread. I said it several times). And people who thought BvS could rivalize with MCU was not objective, considering that the same year MOS did not reach 400m Yuan when IM3 was making over 750. An let's add that the disappointment of BvS has not been in China, but everywhere. It is not just a Chinese slow down factor. I am perfectly conscious that China is not growing as 1 or 2 years ago, but even with that factor and taking the 1.26b Yuan projection for CW made by @No Prisoners, Civil War still will make a 71% more than what Winter Soldier did just 2 years ago (35% more for each year). I do not see any real reason why GotGs can not do the same and add, let's say, a 20% because of one year more inflation/expansion, and make that GotG can reach 1.1b. Let's remember that both Winter Soldier (735m) and GotG (596m) came the same year, so GotG2 will have one year more to grow than CA3 and close the gap between the previous films. Of course, I can be wrong, but I do not think it is a bad prediction. A bad prediction and disappointment was to say that first Hobbit would make around 450 million in US and close to 1 billion OS. That was a huge disappointment for me. But if GotG2 makes 1.1b Yuan and I say 1.2b it will be just a not very accurate prediction but, at least, a decent one.

My favorite MCU film and one of the best received. I think it should, at least, double what it did in China (600m Yuan/$95m). It should definitely go over $600m. Maybe, as @Claudio says, 650. And of course, great chances of reaching the billion WW.

Because Winter Soldier, being considered one of the best films of MCU,if not the best, did not reach a x3 multiplier . It did x2.72. Those 4 films you mentioned are easier to see and reached that x3 factor.

Because there are only SH films among big blockbusters. And upcoming years will be the same

May 6-12: 1. Suicide Squad 2. Guardians of the Galaxy 2 3. Jason Bourne 4. Star Trek Beyond 5. Passengers 6. Finding Dory 7. Rogue One 8. The Infiltrator 9. Beauty and the Beast 10. Doctor Strange

^ My bad. I have just looked at the "usual" blockbusters. I have probably missed any other one.

Difficult to say. There are not exact data for old films. Although there are data for some countries and those 2 films and maybe any other are likely to have reached 100 million (according Lumiere, Titanic sold 103 million in European Union). Jungle Book (1967) is estimated to have sold 27.4 million admissions in Germany, 19.8 in UK and 14.7 in France. Nearly 62 million in just 3 countries. Gone with the Wind is estimated to have sold 35 million in UK and 14 in France. I think just Snow White and seven dwarves (28 million in UK and 18 in France) could have a chance. But it is hard to find films even over 50 million. According Lumiere, since 1996 there are just 7 films in European Union (not whole Europe), and including Titanic, over 50 million admissions: Titanic: 103.1 million Avatar: 75.1 Fellowship of the Ring: 58.4 Sorcerer's Stone: 57.4 The Two Towers: 52.9 The Return of the King: 52.3 Chamber of Secrets: 50.3 And over 40 million: Phantom Menace: 46.8 Finding Nemo: 43.8 Skyfall: 43.7 Shrek 2: 42.8 Pirates of the Caribbean 2: 42.6 Globet of Fire: 42.3 Independence Day: 41 Ice Age 3: 40.3 All of them, very far from 100 million. 2015 films are still not available, so we do not know if SW7 (sure it is), Minions or Jurassic World are on the list. Of course, previous to 1996 there are quite films that have probably reached these 40-50 million in European Union (E.T, Star Wars, Lion King, Jurassic Park, Doctor Zhivago, Sound of music, Ten commandments, ...).

Sure. The 3 million Spanish figure is by 2015 ending. The total admissions here is already around 5 million.

Don't feel nervous . I know that Chinese market is difficult to predict, specially being so conditioned with release dates changes. I just feel curious because I know nothing about Chinese cinema and I do not know if among the titles you said there is any potential blockbuster. That's all

What do you expect for these local films?

Difficult to say, since it was holiday in some parts of the country. It was not an usual Monday.

April 29 - May 1 (bold titles are local films) # (Last). Title: Total Gross (nº of weekend) 1 (N). Captain America: Civil War: €3,777,338 (NEW) 2 (1). The Jungle Book: €10,253,346 (3rd) 3 (3). Kiki, el amor se hace: €4,654,360 (5th) 4 (2). Toro: €1,101,876 (2nd) 5 (5). London has fallen: €2,292,308 (4th) 6 (N). Trumbo: €177,929 (NEW) 7 (4). The Huntsman: Winter's War: €2,899,519 (4th) 8 (N). Mother's Day: €169,085 (NEW) 9 (N). La noche que mi madre mató a mi padre: €168,477 (NEW) 10 (6). Julieta: €1,778,561 (4th) 11 (N). La punta del iceberg: €121,401 (NEW) 12 (N). Ratchet and Clank: €100,487 (NEW) 13 (N). Monsieur Chocolat: €83,754 (NEW) 14 (N). Der Staat gegen Fritz Bauer: €62,994 (NEW) 15 (10). Zootopia: €13,216,043 (12th) 16 (14). L'Hermine: €340,390 (4th) 17 (13). Kung Fu Panda 3: €6,069,639 (8th) 18 (7). Batman v Superman: €10,029,287 (6th) 19 (8). Race: €482,373 (3rd) 20 (12). The lady in the van: €343,047 (3rd) Edit: May 2nd was holiday in many regions of the country. Some cumes: Civil War: €4.2m (so it grossed about €0.42m on Monday) Jungle Book: €10.606m (€0.35m on Monday) Kiki, el amor se hace: €4.71m (€0.06m) Toro: €1.14m (€0.04m) London has fallen: €2.3m (€0.01m)

Sunday is the Labour Day by definition (May 1st), but Monday was holiday in Spain in several regions, including Madrid. Maybe it was not holiday in a lot of countries, but in some of them.

If it is divided in phases, maybe. But 13 films in a row is crazy.

I was quite shocked with her appearance in BvS. Probably is more realistic to think in low 200s, but I have high hopes for this film. Btw, I am thinking in high 500s/low 600s for the worldwide figure, similar to IM1/IM2.

Right now, without trailers, I could see somehing like this: DOM 1. Episode VIII: $725m 2. Guardians of the Galaxy 2: $450m 3. Justice League: $375m 4. Beauty and the Beast: $350m 5. Coco: $330m 6. Spider-man: $325m 7. Despicable me 3: $315m 8. Wonder Woman: $280m 9. Fast 8: $260m 10. The LEGO Batman movie: $250m WW 1. Episode VIII: $1.625b (900 OS) 2. Fast 8: $1.2b (940 OS) 3. Transformers 5: $1.15b (950 OS) 4. Guardians of the Galaxy 2: $1.1b (650 OS) 5. Justice League: $1.05b (675 OS) 6. Beauty and the Beast: $1.025b (675 OS) 7. Despicable me 3: $1b (675 OS) 8. Spider-man: $975m (650 OS) 9. Pirates of the Caribbean 5: $925m (700 OS) 10. Coco: $880m (550 OS)

One question: Is this list trustable? http://www.cbooo.cn/Alltimedomestic I follow daily/all time BO with this web, but I have noticed some big changes in all time list: Deathly Hallows II has magically jumped to #79 with 491m Yuan and I had this at 402m. And today, I have noticed that Taking of Tiger Mountain ranks now #22 with 969.77m Yuan when it was at 882.86m some days ago. Does these huge changes have any logic? Are those figures true? Thank you in advance.

Top 5 Weekend (Estimates - Source: Rentrak) 1. Civil War: €3.6m 2. Jungle Book: €1.9m 3. Kiki, el amor se hace: €0.3m 4. Toro: €0.2m 5. London has fallen: €0.1m Civil War opens a 70% higher than Winter Soldier (€2.1m), but 17% lower than Age of Ultron (€4.3m 3-day / €5.5m 4-day). Winter Soldier had a 2.65 multipier. Taking that data, CW should reach €10m, tied with both BvS and Deadpool. Jungle Book drops a very good 33% in spite of CW opening. Cume should already be close to €10m. Today it is holiday in some regions of the country, including Madrid. Films could still do good numbers today. And next week (May 10-12), Fiesta del Cine.

I agree that to compare The Incredible Hulk and BvS as 2nd films of the respective universes is not a fair comparison, but either it is to asume that DC universe is 23 films long. Batman is being reprised by a new actor with a different style relative to Bale's Batman. Batman Begins should have been a megahit too with that asumption since Batman had already been huge in box office. However, it was only able to make CA1 figures even being very well received by both critics and audiences. Just after TDK and Joker's coming the trilogy exploded. It is obvious that BvS has had a meh run because of a very divisive reception and because it probably could have been a better film (even although I think the 27% of Rotten Tomatoes is a joke taking into account the 79% of IM3 or the 66% of Thor 2), but I think we should wait until Justice League I to make more fair comparisons between both universes. Getting back to the topic, with a $200m opening, taking into account that there are still some big markets (Russia or Italy, for instance), thinking that it will explode in China, and with the very good reception, I see difficult it can not reach the billion OS. I think this will make what Ultron should had done last year.

To think that first Captain America did not reach $200m OS... incredible opening. Korean and Mexican figures are absurd . Congrats to Marvel. They did it... again. The run for billion OS has started.

F7, that is all. Same can happen in July if there are not films able to match Monster Hunt. The truth is that in 2015 there were 8 films over 1 billion Yuan, and this year there are already 5 (Mermaid, Zootopia, Macau, Monkey King and KFP3). And I do not count Civil War, Finding Mr. Right 2 and Jungle Book which can get it. And we are just starting May...

I have it in 800s, but I would not discard Ultron figures or even more precisely because better quality.

If Book of Love reaches 1 billion, and counting CW, we would already have 7 films over 1 billion Yuan in less than 5 months. In whole 2015 there were 8 films reaching that amount.

Thanks for clarifying it. I do not why but I had associated it to "Beijing love story", 2014 film. What is the total we can expect for it?

April 29 - May 5: 1. Suicide Squad 2. Captain America: Civil War 3. Rogue One 4. Jason Bourne 5. Star Trek Beyond 6. Finding Dory 7. Doctor Strange 8. The Infiltrator 9. Beauty and the Beast 10. Moana