peludo

With today exchange rates, Avatar would had done about 2.3 billion, not 2.7 billion. And that could have been reachable.

DP

Because it is locked (DOM)

Out. This can even reach 140.

So, the Monday figure would be bigger than previous biggest single day in December ($37m AUJ)...

Sure. Many media insist that PSOE has obtained a good result, but I think they have an impossible situation to manage. If they join to Podemos and other left parties, they will be dead since Podemos will devour them. If they join to PP in a big coalition, they will be dead since many people will associate that coalition to the "old" politics joining to keep the government, no matter with who. If there are new elections, Podemos, as you well said, will steal more votes to reach the second place (first of the left side), and PSOE would tend to PASOK situation. I would not like to be Pedro Sánchez right now. Concerning Ciudadanos, I think it will depend on who will be the leader of PP. I do not know if Rajoy will leave and Soraya Sáenz de Santamaría will substitute them. I think that Rivera should pray for Rajoy to stay. Anyway, I do not think that Ciudadanos has the same potential than Podemos in a short term. I think they should substitute PP in a medium-long term since many voters of PP are old people who do not change their vote, no matters what happen. But yes, PP and Podemos should wait for new elections. They would be benefited. But if Rajoy gets investment with Ciudadanos and PSOE abstention (help to PP), we should not be suprised if Podemos can govern within 2 years in anticipated elections and, maybe, with absolute majority.

The result is a chaos and I do not see an easy solution. The most probable case is that we will have to vote again within a few months. The problem with that solution is that we can get a similar result. And then what. We will see...

Yes. It is strange a so big drop. Anyway, let's remember that yesterday was an Election Day in Spain.

Well, Avatar done. What would be the next remarkable hit? 100 million admissions? 1 billion? Just to think about it seems crazy. All I can say is THANK YOU, STAR WARS. Because of films and because of this monetary orgy.

$158m second weekend... it would be absurdly great. Avatar could be done after 3rd weekend and billion would be in play. And the most absurd thing is that it could happen.

With a 240 opening I do not see how it can miss Avatar. It would "just" need the JW multiplier (3.1). Even although this is an unknown territory, the WOM looks great and as Baumer has said, the repeat viewing factor will be very high. And it is Christmas... IMO, the question is when SW will reach Avatar.

If Jurassic World OW WW is going down without China, 1 billion OS would be more than locked and 2 billion WW would be quite close... with Summer legs. Considering we have whole holidays, 1.2-1.3 billion could be a more accurate figure. And if China delivers, Titanic OS could be the target. Astonishing. One year ago I was thinking in 700-800 OS...

So, the OW December record will be down when, by Friday 8PM? Not bad...

efialtes is right. $15m in Spain with current exchange rates is quite difficult. Applying average ticket price it would be needed nearly 2 million admissions. To put into perspective, ROTS opened to 1.15 million. 3D should increase a bit but I think $10m could be more reasonable (it would already mean OW record, or at least very close). Another thing to consider is that on Sunday we have general elections (we choose new government). And the expectation is extreme, quite higher than in other past elections. This could affect.

But with better exchange rates...

December 11 - 17: 1. Star Wars: The Force Awakens 2. Batman v Superman: Dawn of Justice 3. Suicide Squad 4. The Revenant 5. The Hateful Eight 6. Star Trek Beyond 7. Captain America: Civil War 8. Doctor Strange 9. Bourne 5 10. The Infiltrator

Applying average ticket price, about $25m. But this has 3D so...

According BOM: Matrix Reloaded: $18.677m Revenge of the Sith: $18.975m Deathly Hallows 2: $16.106m If nobody corrects me, average ticket price (in dollars) were pretty similar in 2003 and 2005, about $11. So both openings were similar. However, exchange rate was far better for Japan in 2011. There was the same average ticket price in Yen than in 2003, but that amount was over $15 per ticket, not $11. Both Matrix Reloaded and Sith were quite bigger openings.

SW7 will be the widest release ever in Spain. 407 theaters / 1,356 screens, what means a 41% of screens of the whole market (there are 679 theaters / 3,297 screens in the whole country). Presales: 290k admissions. I do not have data to compare, but to put into perspective: US market is about 12 times bigger than Spanish in terms of admissions (1.2b against 100 million per year). So, it would be equivalent to, more or less, 290k * 12 * $8.35 avg ticket price = $30m in presales. Considering we do not have the presales culture so extended as US, I think it is quite good.

Maybe more. I would not discard over $10m, that would mean OW record (€9.27m from Breaking Dawn 2). Star Wars is literally everywhere (I guess like in other places), and is a big brand here: Star Wars: 6.9 million admissions Empire Strikes Back: 2.842 million Return of the Jedi: 2.378 million Phantom Menace: 6.259 million Attack of the Clones: 3.736 million Revenge of the Sith: 3.692 million Concerning openings, ROTS already opened to 1.167 million admissions. Today, that mark would mean €8.2m, more or less. And I feel quite more hype for this one. December is not a so big problem for openings like in US. LOTRs, Hobbits or Avatar already bordered 1 million admissions. In fact, ROTK opened to 1.2 million admissions 3-day / 1.7 million 5-day in 2003.

Pretty agree. F7 or JW have exploded this year there. Who knows if SW7 can do it too... btw, welcome to the forums!

Agreed with the 3 first figures. The other two are, at very least, very risky predictions. I would say close to impossible. You should be fine with $150m in China.

http://www.imdb.com/title/tt2488496/releaseinfo i do not dare to make a prediction for Wednesday or Thursday.

I have increased my prediction over $800m in a 8 months period... not bad

Avatar down in 17 days? And you know what? if everything goes fine, it could happen...