Godzilla Posted November 30, 2013 Share Posted November 30, 2013 So around $74-75 million weekend + 35-36 million wed/thu numbers. Catching Fire will be at around $295-296 million exactly where it needs to be to reach 400 million after the first 10 days. +35% over DH1 after first 10 days. DH1 made $76 million rest of the way. 76 * 1.35 = 102.6 This comes out to be around $399 million so it will be right on track for 400 million.420-430 is VERY possible. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
B J Posted November 30, 2013 Share Posted November 30, 2013 As of 1:31a.m. eastern time Catching Fire - 42 Sellouts in Los Angeles, CA Frozen - 63 Sellouts in Los Angeles, CA 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
keysersoze123 Posted November 30, 2013 Share Posted November 30, 2013 So around $74-75 million weekend + 35-36 million wed/thu numbers. Catching Fire will be at around $295-296 million exactly where it needs to be to reach 400 million after the first 10 days. +35% over DH1 after first 10 days. DH1 made $76 million rest of the way. 76 * 1.35 = 102.6 This comes out to be around $399 million so it will be right on track for 400 million. Already it has shown it is holding much better than potter. I expect it to do at least 30% better than potter rest of the way. I am thinking at least 130M after this weekend of mid to high 70's. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Olive Posted November 30, 2013 Share Posted November 30, 2013 I just hope both Frozen and CF end up over 70M weekend. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eXtacy Posted November 30, 2013 Share Posted November 30, 2013 I would expect catching fire would of burnt off a lot of demand after thanks giving weekend is over, It will have a steep drop next weekend. I'm thinking somewhere around 60-65% 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
B J Posted November 30, 2013 Share Posted November 30, 2013 Bay Area as of 1028pm Catching Fire: 38 sellouts Frozen: 47 sellouts CF made huge gains from evening sellouts while also having shit ton more showtimes than Frozen. Really thinking that both can hit the high end of RTH range. nice, did you track the AMC theaters? I skipped over them. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blackspider Posted November 30, 2013 Share Posted November 30, 2013 It did look like most theaters gave more showtimes to CF than Frozen which is a little strange since Frozen has a 40 minute shorter runtime. I think that contributed to more sellouts for Frozen overall. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Godzilla Posted November 30, 2013 Share Posted November 30, 2013 I just hope both Frozen and CF end up over 70M weekend. I'm predicting 75.5M for Frozen and 78M for Hunger Games. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
druv10 Posted November 30, 2013 Share Posted November 30, 2013 Bay Area as of 1028pm Catching Fire: 38 sellouts Frozen: 47 sellouts CF made huge gains from evening sellouts while also having shit ton more showtimes than Frozen. Really thinking that both can hit the high end of RTH range. I just want 30M from both. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TLK Posted November 30, 2013 Share Posted November 30, 2013 Already it has shown it is holding much better than potter. I expect it to do at least 30% better than potter rest of the way. I am thinking at least 130M after this weekend of mid to high 70's. I am assuming it will do at least 35% better than Potter. It is facing more competition though with Hobbit and then another 10 movies opening or expanding between 13th and 25th. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
B J Posted November 30, 2013 Share Posted November 30, 2013 As of 1:36a.m. eastern time Catching Fire - 1 Sellouts in Honolulu, HI Frozen - 4 Sellouts in Honolulu, HI Hawaii never sells out crap, doesn't make any damn sense. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Godzilla Posted November 30, 2013 Share Posted November 30, 2013 I am assuming it will do at least 35% better than Potter. It is facing more competition though with Hobbit and then another 10 movies opening or expanding between 13th and 25th.Christmas weekend helps out any movie. CF is going to pass IM3 that weekend. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DeeCee Posted November 30, 2013 Share Posted November 30, 2013 As of 1:36a.m. eastern time Catching Fire - 1 Sellouts in Honolulu, HIFrozen - 4 Sellouts in Honolulu, HI Hawaii never sells out crap, doesn't make any damn sense.Beaches. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moviefanatic Posted November 30, 2013 Share Posted November 30, 2013 nice, did you track the AMC theaters? I skipped over them. Yea on Fandango I just put in my area code and it gives me 11 pages of movie theaters in the bay area including AMC theaters. The only part of the bay area that didn't show up was San Jose. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TLK Posted November 30, 2013 Share Posted November 30, 2013 Christmas weekend helps out any movie. CF is going to pass IM3 that weekend. Both movies are following identical schedule but CF is doing much more. 35% is probably the low end. It can do as much as 50% better than potter which will take it over $410 million. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rockNrollaDIM Posted November 30, 2013 Share Posted November 30, 2013 Talk about winning puberty... Is it really that great a victory though? He went from fugly to average. IMO. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
riczhang Posted November 30, 2013 Share Posted November 30, 2013 Correct me if I'm wrong, but if Frozen gets within 1 million of CF today then it'll beat if fro the weekend. Am I right? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
B J Posted November 30, 2013 Share Posted November 30, 2013 As of 1:39a.m. eastern time Catching Fire - 6 Sellouts in Anchorage, AK Frozen - 14 Sellouts in Anchorage, AK That's more sellouts than the last two days combined (wed-thur) for Frozen, very impressive. And that is without a doubt the best 2nd Friday performance for a YA movie I have tracked here in Anchorage, though I imagine the first potter was on a similar level back in 01 before I started tracking. YA films tend to tank after opening wknd in this city, In fact they usually stop sellout out after their first Friday, with some exceptions, with none getting sellouts in there 2nd wknd. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rockNrollaDIM Posted November 30, 2013 Share Posted November 30, 2013 Now we really need Floppit 2 to not flop and it'll be a really good year for BO.That is a grade A heresy. If Floppit 2 does not substantially decrease from Floppit 1 I will rip my aorta out with my bare hands. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
B J Posted November 30, 2013 Share Posted November 30, 2013 Correct me if I'm wrong, but if Frozen gets within 1 million of CF today then it'll beat if fro the weekend. Am I right? Depends, some YA films don't fall hard on sat(more than 5%) or sun(more than 45%), and this film has been back-loaded every day of its run so far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
