B J Posted December 6, 2013 Share Posted December 6, 2013 Friday Update: Sources tell BoxOffice that Frozen will push The Hunger Games: Catching Fire out of first place this weekend. Disney's latest animated flick is headed for as much as $36 million during its second weekend of wide release, which would put it at nearly $140 million in North America. Catching Fire looks poised to make as much as $34 million, and that means the $350 million domestic mark is not far off. Out of the Furnace could rope in $7 million during its first weekend of wide release. More coming soon... that would be good but seems optimistic. That would require some damn impressive Friday increases, but BJ likes. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
John Marston Posted December 6, 2013 Share Posted December 6, 2013 how big a Friday would CF need to reach that number 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
spizzer Posted December 6, 2013 Share Posted December 6, 2013 (edited) how big a Friday would CF need to reach that number That would need like a Friday healthily over 10M 10.5M Friday 14.7M Saturday (+40%) 8.8M Sunday (-41%) 34.0M weekend. Not happening, that's a 250% Friday increase Edited December 6, 2013 by spizzer Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
John Marston Posted December 6, 2013 Share Posted December 6, 2013 That would need like a Friday healthily over 10.5M 10.5M Friday 14.7M Saturday (+40%) 8.8M Sunday (-41%) that sounds like over 200% jump. Could happen for Frozen but not CF I think Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
spizzer Posted December 6, 2013 Share Posted December 6, 2013 that sounds like over 200% jump. Could happen for Frozen but not CF I think Yeah, 250%. As I said on the last page, I don't see anything under a 65% drop. Have it projected for 24M (-67.6%) as of now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
B J Posted December 6, 2013 Share Posted December 6, 2013 (edited) That would need like a Friday healthily over 10M 10.5M Friday 14.7M Saturday (+40%) 8.8M Sunday (-41%) 34.0M weekend. Not happening, that's a 250% Friday increase ya nevah know, could happen Edited December 6, 2013 by B J 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
spizzer Posted December 6, 2013 Share Posted December 6, 2013 ya nevah know, could happen Yeah but that might be more impressive than last weekend if it does. I'm much more comfortable predicting Frozen to hit 30+ than CF at this point. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
commonsense88 Posted December 6, 2013 Share Posted December 6, 2013 (edited) If CF matches GOF increases, it will gross $31.55 this weekend, if Frozen matches ToyStory2 increases it will gross, $27.71 this weekend. I think the 34 million and 36 million number is way to high, To reach those numbers CF wil have to increase 260% Friday and Frozen over 300% Friday, I would go with an optimistic $31 million for CF and $30 million for Frozen Edited December 6, 2013 by commonsense88 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ecstasy Posted December 6, 2013 Share Posted December 6, 2013 A+ icon E good increase for Dallas Byers Club Liked for your avatar! Thank you. All credit goes to yjs a new member. He was kind enought to do this for me. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lilmac Posted December 6, 2013 Share Posted December 6, 2013 Its a long shot but definitely not outside the realm of possibilities.Besides you can never fully gauge these early December weekends for family films off one day. It might have a 240% increase today but end up going up 120% Sat. They are rarely consistent with other films.I haven't given up on $30 million. Not yet. I'm assuming a 200% increase on Saturday. You need $7.5m...like you said...we'll know soon enough. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Leyla Posted December 6, 2013 Share Posted December 6, 2013 Thank you. All credit goes to yjs a new member. He was kind enought to do this for me. awww I have to go beg him to make me a Judi Dench Christmas icon 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lilmac Posted December 6, 2013 Share Posted December 6, 2013 (edited) frozen $7.5m 15 7.5 Edited December 6, 2013 by lilmac Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mango Posted December 6, 2013 Share Posted December 6, 2013 (edited) frozen$7.5m157.5Its definitely not dropping 50% Sunday. More like 30-35%.I think it'll do- Fri- $7.1 (+280%)Sat- $13.8 (+95%)Sun- $9.1 (-34%) Adds up to exactly $30 million. Edited December 6, 2013 by Sogno 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BiffMan Posted December 6, 2013 Share Posted December 6, 2013 Have to think the ice storm is going to curtail at least some of the Friday business. Hopefully a good recovery jump for both on Saturday, but can't see today being a mammoth jump. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CaptainJackSparrow Posted December 6, 2013 Share Posted December 6, 2013 CF is looking at possibly a 65% drop.Not now it ain't! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dementeleus Posted December 6, 2013 Share Posted December 6, 2013 Not now it ain't! Yes, it is. I don't buy those predictions for a second. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JohnnyGossamer Posted December 6, 2013 Share Posted December 6, 2013 (edited) Both under $30M? What Went Wrong threads for both duds? Edited December 6, 2013 by JohnnyGossamer Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lilmac Posted December 6, 2013 Share Posted December 6, 2013 Both under $30M? What Went Wrong threads for both duds? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Accursed Arachnid!™ Posted December 6, 2013 Share Posted December 6, 2013 http://accursedarachnid.wordpress.com/2013/11/26/box-office-analysis-catching-fire-vs-deathly-hollows-part-1-135/ VS DAY HP7 GROSS CHG CF GROSS CHG DIFF GAP 14 $2.55m -2% $2.94m -3% +0.39m +2.54m 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Films Posted December 6, 2013 Share Posted December 6, 2013 Mandela increased 106% on Thursday if it has not been posted Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...