Thursday #s (12/5/13)

[Mango]

Yeah, the weekend jumps matter a lot more to Frozen than weekday grosses do right now.Ralph and Guardians both had huge 300% Friday increases last year at this day. Tangled had a 260% and TS2 14 years ago had a 250% I think. So where should Frozen land? I'll just go with 275% for now.

[Punishment]

CF vs DH1; on pace for $415m

 

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

[Leyla]

You guys weren't lying about the week after TG weekend drops.

A+ icon E

 

good increase for Dallas Byers Club

[ChD]

I hope Frozen stays on the first place. If it managed a sensational hold of like 40-45% percent, it should be locked for an amazing run. Still, even with a bigger decrease, 300M is still reachable considering that it was released Pre-Christmas and it did a ton of money. Just imagine the business on Christmas...

[Moviefanatic]

Is RTH on vacation?

[Mango]

Is RTH on vacation?

I think he has a life too.

[Moviefanatic]

I think he has a life too.

Was just curious. If he is, then I won't have to log on later tonight. Will just wait until tomorrow estimates.

[NYer4Life]

I guess the weekend will determine whether or not this has a legit chance at 300. RoG like jumps would be a good sign.

This is the absolute WORST weekend to judge a film's legs.A huge drop is inevitable...I hope I'm wrong but I honestly wouldn't be shocked if it misses $30 million for the weekend.

[lilmac]

Frozen needs $7.5m to hit $30m

 

 

307% increase.

 

 

 

Not happening.  

Edited December 6, 2013 by lilmac

[Robertron]

CF dropped again? Hmm..

[Captain Craig]

Proof I guess that I don't waste nearly as much of my life online as others: WTF is Spill.com---I'll not miss what I never knew about. 

[Punishment]

You guys weren't lying about the week after TG weekend drops.

 

Liked for your avatar!

[kayumanggi]

26.9 M for THG: CF with a HP: GOF kind of drop.

[John Marston]

Friday Update: Sources tell BoxOffice that Frozen will push The Hunger Games: Catching Fire out of first place this weekend.

Disney's latest animated flick is headed for as much as $36 million during its second weekend of wide release, which would put it at nearly $140 million in North America. 

Catching Fire looks poised to make as much as $34 million, and that means the $350 million domestic mark is not far off. 

Out of the Furnace could rope in $7 million during its first weekend of wide release.

More coming soon...

 

 

 

 

 

 

that would be good but seems optimistic. 

Edited December 6, 2013 by John Marston

[wileECoyote]

Yeah, the weekend jumps matter a lot more to Frozen than weekday grosses do right now.Ralph and Guardians both had huge 300% Friday increases last year at this day. Tangled had a 260% and TS2 14 years ago had a 250% I think. So where should Frozen land? I'll just go with 275% for now.

RoG had a 320. If WOM is what I think it is, I'd say 300. Which is what it needs to have a chance to win the weekend.

[Plain Old Tele]

 

Friday Update: Sources tell BoxOffice that Frozen will push The Hunger Games: Catching Fire out of first place this weekend.

Disney's latest animated flick is headed for as much as $36 million during its second weekend of wide release, which would put it at nearly $140 million in North America. 

Catching Fire looks poised to make as much as $34 million, and that means the $350 million domestic mark is not far off. 

Out of the Furnace could rope in $7 million during its first weekend of wide release.

More coming soon...

 

 

 

 

 

 

that would be good but seems optimistic. 

 

 

That seems crazy optimistic for both.

[Mango]

Frozen needs $7.5m to hit $30m307% increase.Not happening.

Its a long shot but definitely not outside the realm of possibilities. Besides you can never fully gauge these early December weekends for family films off one day. It might have a 240% increase today but end up going up 120% Sat. They are rarely consistent with other films. I haven't given up on $30 million. Not yet.

[spizzer]

CF is looking at possibly a 65% drop.

 

I think it'll around there or bigger.  My projections using BD2 and DH1 have it hitting 24M (-67.6%).  I think sub 65% will be difficult.

[Captain Craig]

I had said the drop was likely to be huge as the bulk of its audience will have satiated themselves with initial and/or repeated viewings these past two weekends. 

 

The slow down is upon us for CF. 

[spizzer]

 

Friday Update: Sources tell BoxOffice that Frozen will push The Hunger Games: Catching Fire out of first place this weekend.

Disney's latest animated flick is headed for as much as $36 million during its second weekend of wide release, which would put it at nearly $140 million in North America. 

Catching Fire looks poised to make as much as $34 million, and that means the $350 million domestic mark is not far off. 

Out of the Furnace could rope in $7 million during its first weekend of wide release.

More coming soon...

 

 

 

 

 

 

that would be good but seems optimistic. 

 

 

Those would be insane holds