Weekend Estimates: LS - 38.5M | FZ - 15.1M | WoWS - 9M | Hercules - 8.6M | AH - 8.6M | Her - 5.4M

[grim22]

Nikki Finke ‏@NikkiFinke18m

Weekend Box Office: #1 'Lone Survivor' (Universal) - Fri $14.4M, Sat $15M, est wkd $38M from 2875 theaters. Studio claims $40M cost.

[BadAtGender]

I was just about to post that. And then, instead of closing a window, I hit the command to quit Firefox.

[a2k]

 

Nikki Finke ‏@NikkiFinke18m

Weekend Box Office: #1 'Lone Survivor' (Universal) - Fri $14.4M, Sat $15M, est wkd $38M from 2875 theaters. Studio claims $40M cost.

 

hmm...it needs to drop 42.7% on Sunday for 38m. drop seems a little big even with nfl going on.

Edited January 12, 2014 by a2knet

[BadAtGender]

I wonder if the estimate is slightly high. If it was 14.4/14.7/8.9, that'd be about a 40% drop.

[Olive]

Nikki Finke ‏@NikkiFinke7m

Weekend Box Office: #2 'Frozen' (Disney) $14M and $316.6M domestic cume in 8th week in release.

Weekend Box Office: #3 tied $8.5M-$8.8M between 'American Hustle' (Sony) cume $101.6M and 'Wolf Of Wall St' (Paramount) cume $78.3M.

[BadAtGender]

Weekend Box Office: #2 'Frozen' (Disney) $14M and $316.6M domestic cume in 8th week in release.

— Nikki Finke (@NikkiFinke)

January 12, 2014

Weekend Box Office: #3 tied $8.5M-$8.8M between 'American Hustle' (Sony) cume $101.6M and 'Wolf Of Wall St' (Paramount) cume $78.3M.

— Nikki Finke (@NikkiFinke)

January 12, 2014

[spizzer]

Not Sat # for Frozen yet.  Nikki says 14M for the weekend, but considering her extrapolation skills, nothing properly accurate can be deduced.

Edited January 12, 2014 by spizzer

[spizzer]

Also, Frozen's looking at 15M+ for the MLK 4-day.  It'll hit 4th highest 7th weekend on Sunday, and could challenge for 3rd highest 8th weekend.

[Olive]

Nikki Finke ‏@NikkiFinke3m

Weekend Box Office: #5 'Legend Of Hercules' (Lionsgate/Summit) opens to $3M Fri, $3.6M Sat and $8.5M wkd from 2104 theaters.

Weekend Box Office: #6 'August: Osage County' (Weinstein) expands to 905 runs for Fri $2.2M, Sat $3.2M and $7.3M wkd with cume $7.8M.

[La Binoche]

Good numbers for August Osage. Better than I expected. Should have decent legs, especially if they expand further. 

[Empire]

 

Nikki Finke ‏@NikkiFinke18m

Weekend Box Office: #1 'Lone Survivor' (Universal) - Fri $14.4M, Sat $15M, est wkd $38M from 2875 theaters. Studio claims $40M cost.

 

Good Sat. # got Lone Survivor. Glad it did good this weekend.

[spizzer]

TLS looking at 2nd biggest January OW ever.  145M+ would get it into the top 5 grossing January openers. Taken and Blart both managed ~5X multipliers in January 09, Torino did similar from its wide OW.  I remember being blown away by the business of all 3 at the time but they look even more impressive now.  What a January that was.

 

http://boxofficemojo.com/alltime/weekends/month/?mo=01&sort=gross&order=DESC&p=.htm

[baumer]

That's a 13.6% jump for TLS on Saturday if you take out Thursday's number.  Very good sign 

[La Binoche]

Nice to see American Hustle crossed $100M. Hopefully it can get to $150M, though it won't be easy. 

[spizzer]

Looking back at Taken, it opened on Superbowl weekend and fell 68.7% on Sunday, 21M on Fri/Sat, 3.6M Sunday.  Then managed a 5.9 multiplier from there and closed at 145M.  Had President's Day on its 3rd weekend, and the 4-day was a ~12% drop from the OW.  Crazy.

 

Blart was a shocker on OW itself.  It looked silly and predictions were low, yet it pulled a 40M 4-day OW.  

 

09 was just a big year for breakouts.  Blart/Taken early on, then FF4 opening huge.  Trek opening and sustaining, Up showing monster legs, Hangover just coming out of nowhere and ruling the summer comedy market alongside Proposal.  Blind Side blowing up during the holidays, NM with the 3rd biggest OW ever, Paranormal looking like the 2nd coming of Blair Witch, Sherlock opening amazing in a stacked Christmas period, and of course, the mother of them all in Avatar.

 

We had some underperformers as well of course, but it seemed like we were getting blitzed twice a month with something no one saw coming either opening huge or legging its way through, week after week.

 

Opening and response to TLS early on could be a precursor to a similar year that should have been relatively predictable.

[Kalel009Shel]

Guys do you think I Frankenstein will open with 35-45+M range. Its looks interesting?

[kaijukurt]

Guys do you think I Frankenstein will open with 35-45+M range. Its looks interesting?

Opening weekend above 30 million?I can't see that happening, more like in the 15-20 range IMO, similar to Hansel and Gretel: Witch Hunters.

[23IsEverywhere]

Guys do you think I Frankenstein will open with 35-45+M range. Its looks interesting?

I was thinking there was a chance for that movie to be the first 100m domestic of 2014, but Lone Survivor will now probably take that title.  I think the movie looks interesting as well  .  I would think in the 25-35 range for OW

Edited January 12, 2014 by 23IsEverywhere

[23IsEverywhere]

I finally got around to seeing WOW but walked out about half way through.

 

 

 

 

Someone had to grab more popcorn 

[A Marvel Fanboy]

Too bad AH already at 100m.