Australia Australian Box Office | ....

[Legion Again]

On 11/10/2021 at 2:30 PM, LPLC said:

@lab276 What do you expect for NWH in Australia and New Zealand ?

 

On 11/10/2021 at 11:26 PM, lab276 said:

Bearing in mind that unlike other places, we're about to get a slew of blockbuster movies that may deflate expectations for Spider-Man a bit (Eternals, Bond, Venom and Dune before, and Matrix after). It's yet to be seen if the market will expand like it has in the past, or if these movies will eat into each other. In other countries Bond, Venom and Dune are weeks in the past, and Eternals has only just released, so Spider-Man will stand alone more clearly as the big Christmas release.

 

I'd say honestly anything over 15-20m should be considered a success.

 

On 11/11/2021 at 3:56 PM, charlie Jatinder said:

Easily IMO. Expecting A$60M from NWH. May be A$30M NTTD.

Looks like both will exceed by teen %? Maybe 20s if Jan holds well?

[lab276]

Yeah Spider-Man has significantly exceeded my expectations, 70m is in reach, James Bond is at 34m, give him another 1-2m.

 

We have had very high Covid case numbers (for Australia) in the past week, which may have impacted numbers it's hard to tell. But I'm hoping now that the shock of seeing such high numbers has come, and gone, that we'll get used to them and not let it scare us from doing whatever we like. Lockdowns are (should be anyway) completely unthinkable now.

 

Edited December 30, 2021 by lab276

[charlie Jatinder]

70 was almost lock after opening weekend. 

[LPLC]

55 minutes ago, charlie Jatinder said:

70 was almost lock after opening weekend. 

Can it try 75 or 80 ? 70 would already be huge and would make NWH the 4th biggest film in Australia but if we can have more I won't say no

[austyphoon17]

18 hours ago, LPLC said:

Can it try 75 or 80 ? 70 would already be huge and would make NWH the 4th biggest film in Australia but if we can have more I won't say no

Sitting on $52.2m after 2 weeks.

 

https://numero.co/reports/2021/12/30/spider-man-no-way-home-grosses-over-dollar50m-in-2-weeks

 

Jurassic World is at No 10 all time with $52.9m.

 

 

[lab276]

Happy New Year! Let's hope it's a good one.

 

Some time in the last week of January, the MPDAA will release the yearly box office and top 10, the rest of the information (full top 50, ticket prices admissions etc) follows several weeks later on the Screen Australia website. I'm predicting $650m total, a 62% increase on last year, but still around 50% off pre-pandemic box office.

[XXR vs XXR]

3 minutes ago, lab276 said:

Happy New Year! Let's hope it's a good one.

 

Some time in the last week of January, the MPDAA will release the yearly box office and top 10, the rest of the information (full top 50, ticket prices admissions etc) follows several weeks later on the Screen Australia website. I'm predicting $650m total, a 62% increase on last year, but still around 50% off pre-pandemic box office.

 

Cheers to a $1B 2022 in Australia and a good one for you in particular! 

 

[lab276]

On 1/1/2022 at 2:04 PM, RiddlerXXR said:

 

Cheers to a $1B 2022 in Australia and a good one for you in particular! 

 

 

$1b would be fantastic, but I reckon we still have to wait until next year for that.

 

Last weekend of 2021, top 10 16.45m

 

 

[austyphoon17]

1 hour ago, lab276 said:

 

$1b would be fantastic, but I reckon we still have to wait until next year for that.

 

Last weekend of 2021, top 10 16.45m

 

 

Leapfrogs TLJ into 6th all time now.

[lab276]

 

 

 

Spider-Man still dominating, weak opening for The King's Man well behind the previous two movies. And James Bond *still* hanging out at 10th place!

Top 10 13.4m. Up from 12.2m against the first week of 2021. But! weeks this year don't align with last year. This current weekend is the 6-9 of January, so more correctly, it's up from 8.2m on 7-10 of January 2021.

 

Edited January 10, 2022 by lab276

[LPLC]

It's looking like a AUS$73M finish for NWH

[Legion Again]

I was thinking 78 😛 

[lab276]

BillionWatch '22

The lowest grossing year that still made it to a billion is 2014, with $1074.8m, so for 2022 to finish with a billion it can't do much worse week on week vs 2014.

 

 

The first weekend of 2014 had a top 10 gross of $23.4m whereas this year we've started with $13.4m. So we're not off to a great start. I wouldn't say never, but the release schedule is fairly barren let's be honest. We're gonna need pretty much all movies to really pull through to get there.

 

 

 

[charlie Jatinder]

Australian numbers are bit weaker than most of western markets have done. In UK it will do GBP90M, AUS should have been A$85M range.

[XXR vs XXR]

8 minutes ago, charlie Jatinder said:

Australian numbers are bit weaker than most of western markets have done. In UK it will do GBP90M, AUS should have been A$85M range.

Covid hesitancy is likely higher in Australia than the UK or US, just based on the tangential information I’ve seen regarding those 3 markets.

[charlie Jatinder]

Movie	Star Wars VII		Star Wars VIII		Jumanji: TNL		SM:NWH
Week 1 (OW)	$27,254,820	$27,254,820	$20,977,461	$20,977,461			$26,187,274	$26,187,274
	$11,286,747	$38,541,567	$6,847,033	$27,824,494			$10,381,711	$36,568,985
Week 2	$11,800,884	$50,342,451	$7,067,130	$34,891,624	$13,267,290	$13,267,290	$7,162,435	$43,731,420
	$10,604,824	$60,947,275	$4,355,983	$39,247,607	$6,826,483	$20,093,773	$8,470,271	$52,201,691
Week 3	$9,001,962	$69,949,237	$6,182,004	$45,429,611	$7,756,169	$27,849,942	$6,084,365	$58,286,056
	$5,017,486	$74,966,723	$2,865,007	$48,294,618	$3,786,787	$31,636,729	$3,614,236	$61,900,292
Week 4	$4,917,825	$79,884,548	$3,017,139	$51,311,757	$4,362,158	$35,998,887	$4,014,704	$65,914,996
	$2,249,767	$82,134,315	$1,307,442	$52,619,199	$2,065,518	$38,064,405
Week 5	$2,988,963	$85,123,278	$1,773,929	$54,393,128	$3,515,588	$41,579,993
Week 6	$1,826,202	$88,275,958	$885,524	$56,126,907	$2,035,140	$43,615,133
Week 7	$1,290,271	$90,638,978	$644,882	$57,143,516	$740,163	$44,355,296
Total	$94,034,011		$58,094,407		$46,676,817
Wknd 4 multi	2.88		2.25		2.45
If TFA							$77,466,018
If TLJ							$74,940,212

 

 

I think lack of competition can take it around A$80M. May be more. 

 

Say

Week 4 weekdays - $1.9M

Week 5 - $3.25M

Week 6 - $2.75M

Week 7 - $1.5M

Rest - $4M

 

Total - $79.3M

Edited January 10, 2022 by charlie Jatinder

[Torontofan]

That  drop for Episode 8 was huge 

[lab276]

Fairly weak, but with 10.1m still ahead of the equivalent week last year (7.21m). Spider-Man still tops, ahead of Scream by almost a million. The 355 doesn't even manage a top 10 placing.

 

 

[charlie Jatinder]

Strong weekend. Almost crossed TFA 5th week in weekend. 80M+ seems certain.

[LPLC]

4 hours ago, charlie Jatinder said:

Strong weekend. Almost crossed TFA 5th week in weekend. 80M+ seems certain.

Is there any chance that it will overtake AEG ?