Australia Australian Box Office | ....

[charlie Jatinder]

5 hours ago, Inceptionzq said:

The Batman Event Cinemas

 

T-0 days Wednesday(217 showings): 16,447(+2,432)/42954

So I guess 18K final. A$380K ish. A$1.3-1.4M ish previews. Thanks 

[Inceptionzq]

20 hours ago, Inceptionzq said:

The Batman Event Cinemas

 

T-1 days Thursday(837 showings): 12444(+2154)/173859

The Batman Event Cinemas

 

T-0 days Thursday(838 showings): 16715(+4271)/172998

[Inceptionzq]

22 hours ago, Inceptionzq said:

The Batman Event Cinemas

 

T-2 days Friday(847 showings): 11377(+1803)/176893

 

T-3 days Saturday(849 showings): 11070(+1828)/177102

 

T-4 days Sunday(807 showings): 7387(+858)/167680

The Batman Event Cinemas

 

T-1 days Friday(847 showings): 14140(+2763)/176893

 

T-2 days Saturday(849 showings): 13583(+2513)/177102

 

T-3 days Sunday(807 showings): 8585(+1198)/167680

[charlie Jatinder]

On 3/3/2022 at 2:38 AM, Inceptionzq said:

The Batman Event Cinemas

 

T-0 days Thursday(838 showings): 16715(+4271)/172998

Full may be around 31-35K. A$2.3M+ OD.

 

Thinking

 

1.35

2.3

3.2

4.7

3.5 // 15+

 

Edited March 4, 2022 by charlie Jatinder

[Inceptionzq]

22 hours ago, Inceptionzq said:

The Batman Event Cinemas

 

T-1 days Friday(847 showings): 14140(+2763)/176893

The Batman Event Cinemas

 

T-0 days Friday(847 showings): 19936(+5796)/176893

[lab276]

3.13m Wed+Thur

 

[charlie Jatinder]

I guess ~1.2M THU & ~1.93M FRI.

 

Captain Marvel

1.5
2.15
2.8
4.75
3.9 // 15.1

If it follow CM then A$13M

[charlie Jatinder]

WED - 1.25

THU - 1.8

FRI - 2.4

 

Heading for 11-11.5 weekend

[Eduardo]

17 minutes ago, charlie Jatinder said:

WED - 1.25

THU - 1.8

FRI - 2.4

 

Heading for 11-11.5 weekend

When you say weekend is FSS

[lab276]

49 minutes ago, Eduardo said:

When you say weekend is FSS

 

Weekend in Australia is Thur-Sun

[Rthmessiah]

2 hours ago, charlie Jatinder said:

WED - 1.25

THU - 1.8

FRI - 2.4

 

Heading for 11-11.5 weekend

Yep sounds about right

[lab276]

Non-Batman related content:

 

A few days ago the MPDAA/Numero/Screen Australia finally released 2021 box office data. The total was 605.2m, 51% up on 2020, less than what I thought it would be. The average ticket price ($15.24) was higher than I expected.

 

On 1/1/2022 at 2:00 PM, lab276 said:

Happy New Year! Let's hope it's a good one.

 

Some time in the last week of January, the MPDAA will release the yearly box office and top 10, the rest of the information (full top 50, ticket prices admissions etc) follows several weeks later on the Screen Australia website. I'm predicting $650m total, a 62% increase on last year, but still around 50% off pre-pandemic box office.

 

Why did I get it wrong? Because I underestimated how concentrated the box office would be last year. Over 81% of the yearly box office was contained in the top 50, higher than 2020, and the highest on record (since 1992). I was expecting this ratio to be more like 75%.

 

Here's the top 50:

 

Spoiler

Rank Title Distributor Release date Box office ($)1

1 Spider-Man: No Way Home Sony 16/12/21 55,270,209

2 No Time to Die Universal 11/11/21 34,303,670

3 Godzilla vs. Kong Warner Bros. 25/03/21 27,873,328

4 Peter Rabbit 2 Sony 25/03/21 21,967,130

5 Fast & Furious 9 Universal 17/06/21 21,070,710

6 The Dry Roadshow 01/01/21 20,120,076

7 Shang-Chi and the Legend of the Ten Rings Walt Disney 02/09/21 17,162,760

8 Eternals Walt Disney 04/11/21 14,980,763

9 Venom: Let There Be Carnage Sony 25/11/21 14,867,131

10 The Croods: A New Age Universal 26/12/20 14,330,901

11 A Quiet Place Part II Paramount 27/05/21 13,658,615

12 Black Widow Walt Disney 08/07/21 13,267,702

13 Dune Warner Bros. 02/12/21 13,202,290

14 Space Jam: A New Legacy Warner Bros. 15/07/21 13,003,615

15 Wonder Woman 1984 Warner Bros. 26/12/20 12,988,675

16 Tom and Jerry Warner Bros. 01/04/21 10,808,913

17 The Conjuring 3: The Devil Made Me Do It Warner Bros. 03/06/21 10,330,715

18 Raya and the Last Dragon Walt Disney 04/03/21 10,235,906

19 Cruella Walt Disney 27/05/21 9,640,606

20 Mortal Kombat Warner Bros. 22/04/21 9,311,043

21 Free Guy Walt Disney 12/08/21 8,816,795

22 Penguin Bloom Roadshow 21/01/21 7,477,756

23 Wrath of Man Studiocanal 29/04/21 7,295,744

24 The Hitman's Wife's Bodyguard Roadshow 24/06/21 7,269,937

25 Sing 2 Universal 26/12/21 6,365,195

26 The Suicide Squad Warner Bros. 05/08/21 6,205,249

27 Encanto Walt Disney 02/12/21 5,877,726

28 Spirit Untamed Universal 12/06/21 5,863,336

29 The Little Things Warner Bros. 18/02/21 5,668,539

30 Nobody Universal 01/04/21 5,250,126

31 Jungle Cruise Walt Disney 29/07/21 4,919,330

32 The Courier Roadshow 01/04/21 4,739,482

33 Promising Young Woman Roadshow 07/01/21 4,617,703

34 The Matrix Resurrections Warner Bros. 26/12/21 4,446,098

35 Demon Slayer -Kimetsu no Yaiba- The Movie: Mugen Train Madman 25/02/21 4,432,989

36 Nomadland Walt Disney 04/03/21 4,264,921

37 The Boss Baby: Family Business Universal 25/11/21 4,027,194

38 The War with Grandpa Universal 03/12/20 3,882,621

39 Paw Patrol: The Movie Paramount 16/09/21 3,860,531

40 In the Heights Warner Bros. 24/06/21 3,838,024

41 Chaos Walking Roadshow 04/03/21 3,812,817

42 The Marksman Madman 21/01/21 3,434,879

43 Monster Hunter Sony 01/01/21 3,299,289

44 Those Who Wish Me Dead Warner Bros. 13/05/21 3,282,417

45 The Father Sharmill 01/04/21 3,149,855

46 High Ground Madman 28/01/21 2,973,403

47 Halloween Kills Universal 28/10/21 2,771,341

48 Dream Horse Sony 10/06/21 2,710,686

49 Dragon Rider Roadshow 01/01/21 2,665,797

50 The Last Duel  Walt Disney 21/10/21 2,564,488

 

[lab276]

Full list of years, since 1976. Ironically enough, the delta last year was the highest on record in the positive direction for both gross box office and ticket sales lol.

 

Although honestly when you put in the ticket price change in, some years start to look a bit suss, particularly the mid 80s. Decrease from 83 to 84, no change in 85, decrease again in 86 than a huge jump in 87 and a slight drop again in 88. Sure, sounds legit.

 

Year Gross Box Office Change Ticket Price Change Admissions (est) Change

1976 $95,300,000 n/a $3.30 n/a 28,900,000 n/a

1977 $86,400,000 -9.34% $3.50 +6.06% 24,700,000 -14.53%

1978 $119,400,000 +38.19% $3.50 +0.00% 34,100,000 +38.06%

1979 $124,000,000 +3.85% $3.70 +5.71% 33,500,000 -1.76%

1980 $154,200,000 +24.35% $4.00 +8.11% 38,600,000 +15.22%

1981 $174,300,000 +13.04% $4.50 +12.50% 38,700,000 +0.26%

1982 $210,000,000 +20.48% $5.00 +11.11% 42,000,000 +8.53%

1983 $208,000,000 -0.95% $5.60 +12.00% 37,100,000 -11.67%

1984 $156,000,000 -25.00% $5.40 -3.57% 28,900,000 -22.10%

1985 $160,600,000 +2.95% $5.40 +0.00% 29,700,000 +2.77%

1986 $188,600,000 +17.43% $5.31 -1.67% 35,500,000 +19.53%

1987 $182,100,000 -3.45% $6.16 +16.01% 29,600,000 -16.62%

1988 $223,800,000 +22.90% $6.10 -0.97% 36,700,000 +23.99%

1989 $257,600,000 +15.10% $6.60 +8.20% 39,000,000 +6.27%

1990 $284,600,000 +10.48% $6.61 +0.15% 43,100,000 +10.51%

1991 $325,000,000 +14.20% $6.95 +5.14% 46,800,000 +8.58%

1992 $334,300,000 +2.86% $7.09 +2.01% 47,200,000 +0.85%

1993 $388,700,000 +16.27% $7.00 -1.27% 55,500,000 +17.58%

1994 $476,400,000 +22.56% $7.00 +0.00% 68,100,000 +22.70%

1995 $501,400,000 +5.25% $7.17 +2.43% 69,900,000 +2.64%

1996 $536,800,000 +7.06% $7.26 +1.26% 73,900,000 +5.72%

1997 $583,900,000 +8.77% $7.47 +2.89% 78,200,000 +5.82%

1998 $629,300,000 +7.78% $7.87 +5.35% 80,000,000 +2.30%

1999 $704,100,000 +11.89% $7.93 +0.76% 88,800,000 +11.00%

2000 $689,500,000 -2.07% $8.39 +5.80% 82,200,000 -7.43%

2001 $812,400,000 +17.82% $8.78 +4.65% 92,500,000 +12.53%

2002 $844,800,000 +3.99% $9.13 +3.99% 92,500,000 +0.00%

2003 $865,800,000 +2.49% $9.64 +5.59% 89,800,000 -2.92%

2004 $907,200,000 +4.78% $9.92 +2.90% 91,500,000 +1.89%

2005 $817,500,000 -9.89% $9.94 +0.20% 82,200,000 -10.16%

2006 $866,600,000 +6.01% $10.37 +4.33% 83,600,000 +1.70%

2007 $895,400,000 +3.32% $10.57 +1.93% 84,700,000 +1.32%

2008 $945,400,000 +5.58% $11.17 +5.68% 84,600,000 -0.12%

2009 $1,087,500,000 +15.03% $11.99 +7.34% 90,700,000 +7.21%

2010 $1,132,800,000 +4.17% $12.26 +2.25% 92,400,000 +1.87%

2011 $1,093,800,000 -3.44% $12.87 +4.98% 85,000,000 -8.01%

2012 $1,125,500,000 +2.90% $13.10 +1.79% 85,900,000 +1.06%

2013 $1,099,600,000 -2.30% $13.41 +2.37% 82,000,000 -4.54%

2014 $1,074,800,000 -2.26% $13.68 +2.01% 78,600,000 -4.15%

2015 $1,226,300,000 +14.10% $13.60 -0.58% 90,200,000 +14.76%

2016 $1,259,300,000 +2.69% $13.80 +1.47% 91,300,000 +1.22%

2017 $1,201,300,000 -4.61% $14.13 +2.39% 85,000,000 -6.90%

2018 $1,245,100,000 +3.65% $13.86 -1.91% 89,800,000 +5.65%

2019 $1,228,700,000 -1.32% $14.50 +4.62% 84,700,000 -5.68%

2020 $401,200,000 -67.35% $14.23 -1.86% 28,200,000 -66.71%

2021 $605,200,000 +50.85% $15.24 +7.10% 39,700,000 +40.78%

[lab276]

And this is going to be the nerdiest post of all, but which I find fascinating. The top 50 movies of the year have been published since 1992, and if you add up the total gross from that, you can see how much of the yearly total it makes up. I've put in admissions too, and highlighted and bolded the highest and lowest in each column.

 

Not sure exactly what it says, but I reckon you can see the changes in exhibition and distribution trends in these numbers. With the expansion of suburban multiplexes in the mid-late 90s, an increasing number of people could see more films and as a consequence more of the year is made outside the top 50, reaching a zenith in 2006. But then it changes again. Blockbusters become more important and the mid-budget movies start disappearing, and in 2019 (the last normal year) we have essentially the opposite of 2006 when the top 50 makes up more than 3/4 of the total for the first time since 1993. The pandemic only exacerbates this trend. We will never again have such a diffuse year as 2006.

 

Year Total Gross Total Admits Top 50 Gross Top 50 Admits Rest Gross Rest Admits Share Top 50 Share Rest

1992 $334,300,000 47,150,917 $261,727,618 36,915,038 $72,572,382 10,235,879 78.29% 21.71%

1993 $388,700,000 55,528,571 $314,154,217 44,879,174 $74,545,783 10,649,398 80.82% 19.18%

1994 $476,400,000 68,057,143 $351,879,473 50,268,496 $124,520,527 17,788,647 73.86% 26.14%

1995 $501,400,000 69,930,265 $358,213,556 49,960,050 $143,186,444 19,970,215 71.44% 28.56%

1996 $536,800,000 73,939,394 $385,582,069 53,110,478 $151,217,931 20,828,916 71.83% 28.17%

1997 $583,900,000 78,165,997 $415,017,142 55,557,850 $168,882,858 22,608,147 71.08% 28.92%

1998 $629,300,000 79,961,881 $457,213,964 58,095,802 $172,086,036 21,866,078 72.65% 27.35%

1999 $704,100,000 88,789,407 $498,252,029 62,831,277 $205,847,971 25,958,130 70.76% 29.24%

2000 $689,500,000 82,181,168 $474,352,298 56,537,819 $215,147,702 25,643,349 68.80% 31.20%

2001 $812,400,000 92,528,474 $594,028,107 67,656,960 $218,371,893 24,871,514 73.12% 26.88%

2002 $844,800,000 92,530,120 $609,677,598 66,777,393 $235,122,402 25,752,727 72.17% 27.83%

2003 $865,800,000 89,813,278 $608,312,061 63,102,911 $257,487,939 26,710,367 70.26% 29.74%

2004 $907,200,000 91,451,613 $613,260,027 61,820,567 $293,939,973 29,631,046 67.60% 32.40%

2005 $817,500,000 82,243,461 $565,128,271 56,853,951 $252,371,729 25,389,510 69.13% 30.87%

2006 $866,600,000 83,567,985 $544,104,899 52,469,132 $322,495,101 31,098,853 62.79% 37.21%

2007 $895,400,000 84,711,447 $625,678,635 59,193,816 $269,721,365 25,517,632 69.88% 30.12%

2008 $945,400,000 84,637,422 $657,533,843 58,866,056 $287,866,157 25,771,366 69.55% 30.45%

2009 $1,087,500,000 90,700,584 $757,681,417 63,192,779 $329,818,583 27,507,805 69.67% 30.33%

2010 $1,132,800,000 92,398,042 $814,265,063 66,416,400 $318,534,937 25,981,642 71.88% 28.12%

2011 $1,093,800,000 84,988,345 $748,131,754 58,129,895 $345,668,246 26,858,450 68.40% 31.60%

2012 $1,125,500,000 85,916,031 $812,249,662 62,003,791 $313,250,338 23,912,240 72.17% 27.83%

2013 $1,099,600,000 81,998,509 $787,604,976 58,732,660 $311,995,024 23,265,848 71.63% 28.37%

2014 $1,074,800,000 78,567,251 $752,684,822 55,020,820 $322,115,178 23,546,431 70.03% 29.97%

2015 $1,226,300,000 90,169,118 $917,037,705 67,429,243 $309,262,295 22,739,875 74.78% 25.22%

2016 $1,259,300,000 91,253,623 $859,263,761 62,265,490 $400,036,239 28,988,133 68.23% 31.77%

2017 $1,201,300,000 85,017,693 $863,636,905 61,120,800 $337,663,095 23,896,893 71.89% 28.11%

2018 $1,245,100,000 89,834,055 $900,103,802 64,942,554 $344,996,198 24,891,501 72.29% 27.71%

2019 $1,228,700,000 84,737,931 $925,867,794 63,852,951 $302,832,206 20,884,980 75.35% 24.65%

2020 $401,200,000 28,193,956 $328,004,363 23,050,201 $73,195,637 5,143,755 81.76% 18.24%

2021 $605,200,000 39,711,286 $498,179,026 32,688,912 $107,020,974 7,022,374 82.32% 17.68%

 

Edited March 5, 2022 by lab276

[lab276]

Big opening for The Batman, second biggest of the Pandemic era ahead of Bond. So if it's legs are decent it's aiming for around 35m. Overall numbers are way up on last year when Raya opened (15.7m vs 5.2m).

 

 

[Issac Newton]

@lab276, How good does Jujutsu Kaisen Movie 0 pre-sales look in Oceania? Any Predictions?

[Legion Again]

On 3/5/2022 at 4:33 AM, lab276 said:

The average ticket price ($15.24) was higher than I expected.

 

On 3/5/2022 at 4:33 AM, lab276 said:

I underestimated how concentrated the box office would be last year. Over 81% of the yearly box office was contained in the top 50, higher than 2020, and the highest on record

I expect these are global trends but unfortunately many countries don’t provide data so nicely 😕 

[lab276]

22 minutes ago, Issac Newton said:

@lab276, How good does Jujutsu Kaisen Movie 0 pre-sales look in Oceania? Any Predictions?

 

It looks like it's selling well in the CBD and Western Sydney locations where you'd expect it to do well, but it's only got like one or two sessions per theatre. So I wouldn't expect it to break the top 10. It won't be like Demon Slayer. Belle, which was released in January, has made about 300k. Around that or more can be considered successful.

[lab276]

Very good holds again, -37% for The Batman, -31% for Uncharted. The BTS thing I didn't even know was happening.

 

 

[charlie Jatinder]

The Kashmir Files

 

FRI - A$25,797
SAT - A$34,813
SUN - A$36,978
MON - A$44,637
TUE - A$61,404
WED - A$59,640

 

Week 1 - A$263,269

 

Started #8 on FRI, was #3 on WED