Chasmmi's Winter Game - Discussion and Rules - SCORES ARE TALLIED RESULTS COUNTDOWN IN PROGRESS!!!

[chasmmi]

Week 2 scores:

 

 

 

Name	Questions	Bonus	Placements	Total
Spaghetti	14	0	6	20
Alpha	9	0	4	13
Darkelf	11	5	0	16
Wrath	10	0	4	14
Chasmmi	9	0	10	19
Blankments	13	0	2	15
Dajk	10	0	2	12
Geraldino	7	0	4	11
Snoopy	9	5	2	16
Grim	8	0	2	10
Jajang	10	0	2	12
Avi	11	5	2	18
The Panda	5	0	2	7
Grey Ghost	10	0	2	12
Iceroll	7	5	2	14
Bcf26	14	0	6	20
Empire	5	0	2	7
Laguy	11	0	0	11

 

[chasmmi]

First set of Standings (Week 1 and 2 together):

(Note: Everybody's Week 1 score has been increased by 10,000 points because everyone followed the template )

 

 

 

 

Position	Name	Week 1	Week 2	Total
1	Spaghetti	36000	20000	56000
2	Avi	32000	18000	50000
3	Darkelf	33000	16000	49000
4	Grim	37000	10000	47000
5	Iceroll	33000	14000	47000
6	Empire	36000	7000	43000
7	Bcf26	20000	20000	40000
8	Laguy	28000	11000	39000
9	Geraldino	25000	11000	36000
10	Jajang	24000	12000	36000
11	Wrath	20000	14000	34000
12	Blankments	19000	15000	34000
13	Dajk	20000	12000	32000
14	Grey Ghost	20000	12000	32000
15	Chasmmi	12000	19000	31000
16	Alpha	17000	13000	30000
17	Snoopy	14000	16000	30000
18	Baumer	21000	0	21000
19	Punishment	11000	0	11000
20	The Panda	0	7000	7000
21	Filmovie	0	0	0
22	Mahnamahna	0	0	0
23	CmasterClay	0	0	0
24	Telemachos	0	0	0

 

[chasmmi]

Will do the first batch of scorable SOTM and Preseason stuff tonight (in about 8 hours ish)

[JJ-8]

  @ERCboxoffice

Weinstein's PADDINGTON won't be under the Xmas tree this year, instead moving to Jan. 16, 2015.

10/14/14, 3:17 PM

 

ok this now sux!

 

cause there is no way it makes it now.  No way i would have had this in my 15 had i known it was opening mid jan.

 

(Also have Hot Tub Time Machine 2 but as that is moving to feb it should mean we all get the first backup.)

 

Can I have my 2 backups instead ?  

[chasmmi]

Redone to actually include the 10k template using bonus:

 

 

Name	Week 1	Week 2	Total
Spaghetti	46000	20000	66000
Avi	42000	18000	60000
Darkelf	43000	16000	59000
Grim	47000	10000	57000
Iceroll	43000	14000	57000
Empire	46000	7000	53000
Bcf26	30000	20000	50000
Laguy	38000	11000	49000
Geraldino	35000	11000	46000
Jajang	34000	12000	46000
Wrath	30000	14000	44000
Blankments	29000	15000	44000
Dajk	30000	12000	42000
Grey Ghost	30000	12000	42000
Chasmmi	22000	19000	41000
Alpha	27000	13000	40000
Snoopy	24000	16000	40000
Baumer	21000	0	21000
Punishment	21000	0	21000
The Panda	10000	7000	17000
Filmovie	10000	0	10000
Mahnamahna	10000	0	10000
CmasterClay	10000	0	10000
Telemachos	10000	0	10000

[chasmmi]

SOTM 1 RESULTS:

 

 

Name	SOTM 1
Grim	8000
Dajk	8000
The Panda	8000
Geraldino	3000
Films	3000
Laguy	2000
Jajang	2000
Spaghetti	-7000
Darkelf	-7000
Bcf26	-7000
Wrath	-10000
Blankments	-10000
Chasmmi	-10000
Iceroll	-15000
Grey Ghost	-15000
Snoopy	-15000
Baumer	-15000
Punishment	-15000
Filmovie	-15000
Mahnamahna	-15000
CmasterClay	-15000
Telemachos	-15000
Avi	-25000
Empire	-25000
Alpha	-25000

[chasmmi]

Preseason Question 11 Results:

 

 

Grim	20000
Dajk	20000
Grey Ghost	20000
Alpha	20000
The Panda	20000
Mahnamahna	20000
Iceroll	4000
Laguy	4000
Geraldino	4000
Wrath	4000
Chasmmi	4000
Spaghetti	-15000
Avi	-15000
Darkelf	-15000
Empire	-15000
Bcf26	-15000
Jajang	-15000
Blankments	-15000
Snoopy	-15000
Baumer	-15000
Punishment	-15000
Filmovie	-15000
CmasterClay	-15000
Telemachos	-15000

[chasmmi]

The first official set of standings:

 

 

Position	Name	Weekly Scores	SOTM	Pre-Season	Top 15	Top 10 WW	Top 7 OW	Top 5 WW OW	Lowest	Total
1	Grim	57000	8000	20000						85000
2	Dajk	42000	8000	20000						70000
3	Laguy	49000	2000	4000						55000
4	Alpha	40000	-5000	20000						55000
5	Geraldino	46000	3000	4000						53000
6	Grey Ghost	42000	-15000	20000						47000
7	Iceroll	57000	-15000	4000						46000
8	The Panda	17000	8000	20000						45000
9	Spaghetti	66000	-7000	-15000						44000
10	Wrath	44000	-10000	4000						38000
11	Darkelf	59000	-7000	-15000						37000
12	Chasmmi	41000	-10000	4000						35000
13	Jajang	46000	2000	-15000						33000
14	Bcf26	50000	-7000	-15000						28000
15	Avi	60000	-25000	-15000						20000
16	Blankments	44000	-10000	-15000						19000
17	Mahnamahna	10000	-15000	20000						15000
18	Empire	53000	-25000	-15000						13000
19	Snoopy	40000	-15000	-15000						10000
20	Baumer	21000	-15000	-15000						-9000
21	Punishment	21000	-15000	-15000						-9000
22	Films	0	3000	-15000						-12000
23	Filmovie	10000	-15000	-15000						-20000
24	CmasterClay	10000	-15000	-15000						-20000
25	Telemachos	10000	-15000	-15000						-20000

[DAJK]

[Empire]

My score for this week was horrible.

[chasmmi]

My score for this week was horrible.

 

It was bad for a lot of people. And Annabelle has screwed many people over early too.

 

 

That said, there be a long way to go still.

[Wrath]

Abstaining ftw.

[chasmmi]

Current answers according to estimates:

 

1. Will Fury's OW be higher than Gone Girl's 2nd weekend (26.4M)? 4000 NO (Needs to rise 2.9M for yes) 

2. Will Book of life finish above Dracula? YES (Needs to drop 7.1M for NO)

3. Will Best of Me finish above Alexander's NGVBAFUD? NO (needs to rise 1.8M for yes)

4. Will any film drop 60% or more? NO (But Boxtrolls is at 59.8%)

5. Will Addicted stay in the top 10? NO (needs to rise 1.1M for yes)

6. Will LEft Behind finish ahead of Meet the Mormons? UNKNOWN

7. How many films will gross more than $10M this weekend? 3000 5 (but Best of me is only 200k above) 

8. Will The Golden Era finish above Tales of Princess Kaguya? No (needs to swing $3,700 for yes)

 

9. Will every part of SOTM1 (Annabelle question) be YES by the end of the weekend? 2000 NO (needs to rise 900k domestically before we even look at the other questions)  

10. Which film will have the best weekend drop?  Gone Girl 32.6 (Alexander closest with 34.4%)

11. Will GOTG have a weekend above $1M? YES (Only needs drop 3k for No)

12. Will Lucy Finish above Dragon 2? YES (needs 37k swing for no)

13. Will Left behind stay in the top 15? Unknown

14. Will the Equalizer's Total Gross overtake The Maze Runner's total gross this weekend? NO (needs a 1.7M swing for YES)

15. Which of the 11 non-wide new releases on BOM's release schedule for this weekend will have the highest PTA? Birdman has the highest PTA of anything ever in history of all things it seems

 

12/15 2000 bonus

13/15 3000 bonus

14/15 5000 bonus

15/15 7000 bonus

 

Bonus Questions (The closest prediction for each bonus wins the bonus stated):

 

1. What will be the combined OW of the 3 main new releases? 5000 50.7M

2. What will be the difference in gross between Book of Life and Boxtrolls' Weekends? 5000 14.33M

3. What will be the combined gross of the films that finish 10-12 this weekend? 5000  10.57m

 

Placements - Predict which film finishes in the following positions:

 

4. Alex

5. BEst of me

6. Dracula

11. Addicted

14. St Vincent*

16. Kill the messenger*

 

*A lot of films undeclared at this point that will knock these down

 

2000 points per correct answer, 6000 bonus if all 5 are correct.

[chasmmi]

Week 4 is up

 

http://forums.boxoffice.com/index.php?/topic/16590-week-4-wicki-wicki-wild-wicki-wicki-wild-wild-wick/

 

 

As is SOTM 4

 

http://forums.boxoffice.com/index.php?/topic/16591-sotm-4-the-powers-of-your-convictions/

[grim22]

Question about SOTM3. Some of the movies mentioned in Future are releasing on Christmas day. So will that day, being a Thursday, count toward the Opening weekend of those movies?

[chasmmi]

Question about SOTM3. Some of the movies mentioned in Future are releasing on Christmas day. So will that day, being a Thursday, count toward the Opening weekend of those movies?

 

Consider the following 8 popular Box Office statistics: (all weekends are the 3 day, all opening days are the Friday (with Thursday previews when applicable

 

 

So with regards to this question, the xmas openers only count the 3 day weekend with regards to multipliers, OW etc, and the Opening day will be the Friday gross (even if they are released on Thursday)

[laguy03]

I have another question about SOTM #3. All the past films opened wide. All of the future releases are set to be wide. If that changes (for example, Unbroken opens in 3 cities the weekend before), are we only taking the first weekend that it opens wide into consideration for this question?

[Wrath]

I have another question about SOTM #3. All the past films opened wide. All of the future releases are set to be wide. If that changes (for example, Unbroken opens in 3 cities the weekend before), are we only taking the first weekend that it opens wide into consideration for this question?

That's a good question, and I probably should have asked it as well since concerns over exactly that kind of situation is why I abstained on all the multiplier questions.

[chasmmi]

I have another question about SOTM #3. All the past films opened wide. All of the future releases are set to be wide. If that changes (for example, Unbroken opens in 3 cities the weekend before), are we only taking the first weekend that it opens wide into consideration for this question?

 

Yeah if that were to happen we would take the wide release, or whatever opening date BOM is stating right now.

 

Hopefully no distributer will be that inconsiderate though

[chasmmi]

Next scoring update to come within 12 hours also