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Weekend Prediction thread 5/3-5/5 Play the Derby

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Focus  -  19M

The Lazarus Effect  -  11M

_______________________________________________
 

Fifty Shades of Grey  -67%

Kingsman: The Secret Service  -41%

The SpongeBob Movie: Sponge Out of Water  -35%

McFarland, USA  -31%

The DUFF  -28%

American Sniper  -27%

Hot Tub Time Machine 2  -57%

Jupiter Ascending  -55%

Edited by bapi
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February 27

1.Focus - 23.4m (23.4m)

2.Kingsman: The Secret Service - 10.8m (83.3m)

3.Fifty Shades of Grey - 10.7m (146m)

4.The Lazarus Effect - 10.4m (10.4m)

5.SpongeBob: Sponge Out of Water - 10.1m (140.1m)

6.American Sniper - 7m (330.2m)

7.The DUFF - 6.7m (20.9m)

8.McFarland, USA - 6.5m (21m)

March 6

1.Unfinished Business - 24.5m (24.5m)

2.Chappie - 17.5m (17.5m)

3.Focus - 11.2m (40.2m)

4.Kingsman: The Secret Service - 7.1m (94m)

5.SpongeBob: Sponge Out of Water - 6.4m (149.7m)

6.Fifty Shades of Grey - 5.4m (154.1m)

7.American Sniper - 5m (337.8m)

8.The Lazarus Effect - 4.2m (16.6m)

9.The DUFF - 4.2m (27.1m)

10.McFarland, USA - 4m (27m)

March 13

1.Cinderella - 84.7m (84.7m)

2.Run All Night - 19.2m (19.2m)

3.Unfinished Business - 14.2m (45.8m)

4.Chappie - 8.8m (30.7m)

5.Focus - 5.8m (48.7m)

6.Kingsman: The Secret Service - 4.3m (100.5m)

7.SpongeBob: Sponge Out of Water - 3.8m (155.3m)

8.American Sniper - 3.3m (342.8m)

9.Fifty Shades of Grey - 2.6m (158m)

March 20th

1.Insurgent - 58.7m (58.7m)

2.Cinderella - 41.5m (150m)

3.Run All Night - 10.6m (35m)

4.The Gunman - 9.7m (9.7m)

5.Unfinished Business - 8.4m (58.4m)

6.Chappie - 5.2m (38.5m)

7.Do You Believe? - 4.1m (4.1m)

8.Focus - 3.4m (53.8m)

9.Kingsman: The Secret Service - 2.7m (104.5m)

10.SpongeBob: Sponge Out of Water - 2.6m (159.1m)

11.American Sniper - 2.1m (346m)

12.Fifty Shades of Grey - 1.2m (159.8m)

March 27th

1.Get Hard - 40.3m (40.3m)

2.Home - 28.7m (28.7m)

3.Insurgent - 25.8m (96.8m)

4.Cinderella - 23.9m (185.3m)

5.Run All Night - 5.6m (43.3m)

6.Unfinished Business - 5m (66m)

7.The Gunman - 4.8m (16.8m)

8.Chappie - 2.5m (42.3m)

April 3

1.Furious 7 - 125.7m (125.7m)

2.Get Hard - 20.6m (71m)

3.Home - 17.8m (54.8m)

4.Cinderella - 16.7m (210.2m)

5.Insurgent - 12.6m (115.8m)

6.Run All Night - 3m (47.8m)

7.Unfinished Business - 2.8m (70.3m)

April 10th

1.Furious 7 - 55.3m (208m)

2.The Longest Ride - 18.2m (18.2m)

3.Get Hard - 11.3m (87.8m)

4.Cinderella - 11m (226.4m)

5.The Moon and the Sun - 10.7m (10.7m)

6.Home - 10.7m (70.7m)

7.Insurgent - 6.7m (125.9m)

April 17th

1.Furious 7 - 32.1m (256.1m)

2.Unfriended - 28.7m (28.7m)

3.Paul Blart: Mall Cop 2 - 18.7m (18.7m)

4.Child 44 - 12.4m (12.4m)

5.The Longest Ride - 8m (30.2m)

6.Cinderella - 7.2m (237.1m)

7.Get Hard - 7.1m (98.4m)

8.Home - 6.7m (80.6m)

9.Monkey Kingdom - 5.8m (5.8m)

10.The Moon and the Sun - 5.2m (18.5m)

11.Insurgent - 4m (131.9m)

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The next few weeks until Furious 7 look like ass.

Not necessarily. The next two weeks will be crap, best case scenario is Focus and Unfinished Business/Chappie breakout and do over 20m.

But Cinderella should have an opening around Maleficent to Oz levels (maybe larger if it really breaks out). There's no reason it shouldn't if those did. Plus Run All Night should be fun countermarketing that has a chance at 20+

Insurgent will also have a good opening, I see no reason why it should be less than Divergents mid 50 opener.

Get Hard has a chance at 40m+ and Home can pull Peabody numbers, so maybe a repeat of the 300/Peabody weekend of last year.

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  1. Focus - 27.4M
  2. Kingsman: The Secret Service - 11.2M
  3. The SpongeBob Movie: Sponge Out of Water - 10.4M
  4. Fifty Shades of Grey - 8.0M
  5. The Lazarus Effect - 7.2M
  6. American Sniper - 7.1M
  7. McFarland, USA - 6.8M
  8. The DUFF - 6.5M
  9. Hot Tub Time Machine 2 - 2.6M
  10. The Imitation Game - 2.1M
  11. Jupiter Ascending - 1.9M
  12. Paddington - 1.7M

Still Alice - 1.6M

The Wedding Ringer - 0.6M

Black or White - 0.5M

Edited by Blankments
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  1. Focus - 27.4M
  2. Kingsman: The Secret Service - 11.2M
  3. The SpongeBob Movie: Sponge Out of Water - 10.4M
  4. The Lazarus Effect - 7.2M
  5. American Sniper - 7.1M
  6. McFarland, USA - 6.8M
  7. The DUFF - 6.5M
  8. Hot Tub Time Machine 2 - 2.6M
  9. The Imitation Game - 2.1M
  10. Jupiter Ascending - 1.9M
  11. Paddington - 1.7M
  12. Still Alice - 1.6M

The Wedding Ringer - 0.6M

Black or White - 0.5M

 

Where is Fifty Shades of Grey on your list?

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  1. Focus - 27.4M
  2. Kingsman: The Secret Service - 11.2M
  3. The SpongeBob Movie: Sponge Out of Water - 10.4M
  4. The Lazarus Effect - 7.2M
  5. American Sniper - 7.1M
  6. McFarland, USA - 6.8M
  7. The DUFF - 6.5M
  8. Hot Tub Time Machine 2 - 2.6M
  9. The Imitation Game - 2.1M
  10. Jupiter Ascending - 1.9M
  11. Paddington - 1.7M
  12. Still Alice - 1.6M

The Wedding Ringer - 0.6M

Black or White - 0.5M

 

 

Birdman can return to the Top10 this weekend. It could do 3-4M

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Where is Fifty Shades of Grey on your list?

He is predicting it to have a MASSIVE drop and to lost over 2K theaters this weekend ;)

Shit, don't know why I forgot to include that. Added.

 

Birdman can return to the Top10 this weekend. It could do 3-4M

Uh, no it can't. The movie's on DVD, why would people go see it in theaters?

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Just gonna restart since I've been gone for a while.

Old Fashioned, Black or White, Oscar Animated Shorts, Oscar Live-Action Shorts, and Best Picture Showcase are gone.
 
Focus - 17 (debut)
The SpongeBob Movie: Sponge Out of Water - 10/6 (2D/3D) total 16 (down 1)
Fifty Shades of Grey - 15 (down 3)
American Sniper - 13 (down 2)
The Lazarus Effect - 11 (debut)
The DUFF - 10 (no change)
Kingsman: The Secret Service - 10 (no change)
McFarland, USA - 10 (no change)
Hot Tub Time Machine 2 - 7 (down 5)
Still Alice - 6 (up 1)
Birdman - 3 (up 2)
Paddington - 3 (return)
The Imitation Game - 2 (up 1)
Jupiter Ascending - 1/1 (2D/3D) total 2 (down 7)
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