Weekend Prediction thread 6/21-6/23 Play the Derby

[keysersoze123]

After tuesday numbers, I think minions is winning this weekend as well. Ant-Man is not a good substitute for minions fans or very young kids. I would say 60m minions and 55m ant man.

[TStechnij]

Ant Man 62 m
Minions 61 m
Trainwreck 26 m

[WrathOfHan]

I'm bumping Ant-Man down to 75M.

[Asyulus]

After tuesday numbers, I think minions is winning this weekend as well. Ant-Man is not a good substitute for minions fans or very young kids. I would say 60m minions and 55m ant man.

lmao at Wed drop.

[stripe]

67M Ant Man

58M Minions

29M Trainwreck

12M Inside Out

11.5M JW

6.9M TG

5M MMXXL

3.6M Gallows

[WrathOfHan]

Minions: 36%

Ant-Man: 23%

Trainwreck: 10%

IO: 6%

Magic Mike: 4%

 

Today's numbers for Minions and AM shouldn't be too far apart.

[Maxmoser3]

Ant-Man should do fine in terms of legs same with Trainwreck which both have decent budgets.

[Blankments]

San Andreas, Faith of Our Fathers, Insidious: Chapter 3, Love and Mercy, Pitch Perfect 2, and Dope are gone. Drive-in is Minions and Inside Out.

Drive-in is Minions and Inside Out again.

 

Minions - 38/16 (2D/3D) total 54 (down 4)

Ant-Man - 24/3/13/2/6 (2D/2D with D-BOX/3D/3D with D-BOX/IMAX 3D) total 48 (debut)

Trainwreck - 21 (debut)

Inside Out - 16 (down 6)

Jurassic World - 12/4 (2D/3D) total 16 (down 2)

Terminator Genisys - 10/3 (2D/3D) total 13 (down 24)

Magic Mike XXL - 13 (down 6)

The Gallows - 12 (down 11)

Self/Less - 9 (down 2)

Ted 2 - 8 (down 2)

Max - 5 (down 2)

Spy - 1 (down 5)

Edited July 17, 2015 by Blankments

[Impact]

1. The Bug Dude: 71.4

2. The Lil' Yellow Things: 60.4

3. I Thought this was the Sequel to Unstoppable!: 23.5

4. The Brain Film: 11.1

5. Roar! I'm a Dino: 10.6

6. I'll Be Back...AGAIN: 6.8

7. Channing Thinks he Can Dance: 4.4

8. The Shallows: 3.9

9. Ted Again Should of Been the Title: 3.2

10. The First Live Action Family Film About a Dog not to have talking Dogs since Hotel for Dogs: 2.2

[Asyulus]

 

Drive-in is Minions and Inside Out again.

 

Minions - 38/16 (2D/3D) total 54 (down 4)

Ant-Man - 24/3/13/2/6 (2D/2D with D-BOX/3D/3D with D-BOX/IMAX 3D) total 48 (debut)

Trainwreck - 21 (debut)

Inside Out - 16 (down 6)

Jurassic World - 12/4 (2D/3D) total 16 (down 2)

Terminator Genisys - 10/3 (2D/3D) total 13 (down 24)

Magic Mike XXL - 13 (down 6)

The Gallows - 12 (down 11)

Self/Less - 9 (down 2)

Ted 2 - 8 (down 2)

Max - 5 (down 2)

Spy - 1 (down 5)

 

Youre lowballing Ant-Man, it will get $60m  OW.

[TStechnij]

Youre lowballing Ant-Man, it will get $60m OW.

These are screen counts...

[dxmatrixdt]

(new) - Ant-Man - 90.00 - 90.00

Minions - 58.78 - 225.19

(new) - Trainwreck - 41.04 - 41.04

Inside Out - 12.86 - 307.54

Jurassic World - 12.19 - 611.92

Terminator Genisys - 6.97 - 82.33

Magic Mike - 4.66 - 58.82

The Gallows - 4.53 - 18.52

Ted 2 - 3.24 - 78.09

Self/Less - 3.19 - 11.33

Max - 1.96 - 37.87

Spy - 1.73 - 106.90

San Andreas - 0.59 - 151.24

 

-54% - Ant-Man - 41.33 - 172.06

(new) - Pixels - 40.95 - 40.95

-39% - Minions - 35.82 - 293.58

(new) - Paper Towns - 27.37 - 27.37

-47% - Trainwreck - 21.86 - 83.66

(new) - Southpaw - 17.85 - 17.85

-23% - Inside Out - 9.87 - 325.66

-27% - Jurassic World - 8.85 - 627.72

-34% - Terminator Genisys - 4.59 - 90.63

-33% - Magic Mike - 3.10 - 65.73

(new) - The Vatican Tapes - 2.50 - 2.50

-62% - The Gallows - 1.74 - 22.72

-58% - Ted 2 - 1.36 - 81.07

-36% - Spy - 1.10 - 108.98

-51% - Max - 0.96 - 40.28

-72% - Self/Less - 0.90 - 13.85

-25% - San Andreas - 0.44 - 152.00

 

(new) - Mission Impossible 5 - 76.88 - 76.88

(new) - Vacation - 36.55 - 53.55

Ant-Man - 23.63 - 217.40

Minions - 22.59 - 337.50

Pixels - 22.59 - 84.69

Paper Towns - 15.07 - 56.14

Southpaw - 13.24 - 40.53

Trainwreck - 12.61 - 108.27

Inside Out - 6.99 - 339.34

Jurassic World - 6.05 - 639.05

Terminator Genisys - 2.29 - 95.36

Magic Mike - 1.95 - 70.35

The Vatican Tapes - 1.10 - 4.78

The Gallows - 0.63 - 24.37

Max - 0.55 - 41.56

Ted 2 - 0.53 - 82.32

Spy - 0.50 - 110.04

Self/Less - 0.29 - 14.74

 

(new) - Fantastic Four - 75.00

Mission Impossible 5 - 38.00 - 148.62

Vacation - 24.48 - 97.58

(new) - Ricki and the Flash - 19.40 - 19.40

Minions - 15.82 - 368.00

Pixels - 14.34 - 111.18

Ant-Man - 14.26 - 243.96

(new) - The GIft - 14.00 - 14.00

Southpaw - 9.36 - 56.75

(new) - Shaun the Sheep - 9.00 - 9.00

Paper Towns - 8.10 - 71.93

Trainwreck - 5.99 - 120.94

Inside out - 4.51 - 348.81

Jurassic World - 3.53 - 646.03

Terminator Genisys - 1.08 - 97.65

Magic Mike - 0.80 - 72.68

The Gallows - 0.17 - 24.86

[Asyulus]

These are screen counts...

Blank said $48m

[WrathOfHan]

Blank said $48m

It's 48 showings.

[Blankments]

Blank said $48m

 

1. Ant-Man - 62.4M
2. Minions - 55.5M
3. Trainwreck - 28.5M
4. Inside Out - 13.1M
5. Jurassic World - 13.1M
6. Terminator: Genisys - 7.7M
7. Magic Mike XXL - 7.6M
8. Mr. Holmes - 4.4M
9. The Gallows - 3.2M
10. Ted 2 - 3.2M
11. Amy - 2.5M
12. Max - 2.2M

 

Wish I had said 48M though, seems like lowballing Ant-Man even more would've been the best.

[Maxmoser3]

Next weeekend's projections: Pixels:35 million, Paper Towns:24 million, Southpaw:8 million

[VictorHugogui]

Early Projections: 24-27

 

Pixels: 50M

Paper Town: 35M

Southpaw: 13M

[mahnamahna]

7/24-7/26

1. Pixels: $62.5 million 
2. Paper Towns: $31 million 
3. Ant-Man: $25 million ($106 million) 
4. Minions: $21 million ($254 million)
5. Trainwreck: $19 million ($67 million)
6. Inside Out: $8 million ($320 million) 
7. Southpaw: $7 million 
8. Jurassic World: $6.5 million ($621 million)
9. Terminator Genysis: $3 million ($85 million)
10. Magic Mike XXL: $3 million ($63 million)

7/31-8/2

1. Mission Impossible 5: $45 million 
2. Pixels: $39 million ($138 million) 
3. Vacation: $33 million ($48 million) 
4. Paper Towns: $16 million ($62 million) 
5. Minions: $14 million ($281 million)
6. Ant-Man: $13 million ($131 million)
7. Trainwreck: $10 million ($86 million)
8. Inside Out: $6.5 million ($332 million)
9. Southpaw: $4.5 million ($15 million) 
10. Jurassic World: $4 million ($628 million) 

8/7-8/9

1. The Fantastic Four: $42 million 
2. Mission Impossible 5: $26 million ($93 million) 
3. Pixels: $24 million ($182 million) 
4. Vacation: $21 million ($86 million) 
5. Ricki and the Flash: $15.5 million 
6. Paper Towns: $9 million ($78 million)
7. Minions: $8 million ($295 million)
8. Trainwreck: $7 million ($98 million) 
9. Shaun the Sheep Movie: $6.5 million 
10. Ant-Man: $5 million ($140 million) 
11. Inside Out: $4.5 million ($339 million) 
12. The Gift: $3.5 million 

8/14-8/16

1. Straight Outta Compton: $47 million 
2. The Fantastic Four: $24 million ($82 million) 
3. Pixels: $17 million ($209 million) 
4. The Man From UNCLE: $15 million 
5. Vacation: $14 million ($109 million) 
6. Mission Impossible 5: $13 million ($115 million) 
7. Ricki and the Flash: $9 million ($30 million) 
8. Paper Towns: $5.5 million ($87 million)
9. Minions: $5 million ($302 million)
10. Trainwreck: $4.5 million ($105 million)
11. Inside Out: $3.5 million ($344 million) 
12. Underdogs: $3 million  

8/21-8/23

1. Straight Outta Compton: $28 million ($91 million)
2. The Fantastic Four: $16 million ($106 million)
3. Pixels: $13 million ($227 million)
4. Sinister 2: $11 million 
5. Vacation: $9 million ($123 million) 
6. American Ultra: $8 million 
7. The Man From UNCLE: $7 million ($26 million)
8. Mission Impossible 5: $7 million ($126 million) 
9. Hitman - Agent 47: $6 million 
10. Ricki and the Flash: $5.5 million ($38 million)
11. Minions: $3.5 million ($307 million) 
12. Paper Towns: $3 million ($91 million)

8/28-8/30

1. Straight Outta Compton: $17 million ($117 million) 
2. We Are Your Friends: $16 million
3. War Room: $12.5 million 
4. The Fantastic Four: $11 million ($123 million)
5. Pixels: $10 million ($240 million)
6. Regression: $7.5 million 
7. Vacation: $6.5 million ($133 million)
8. Mission Impossible 5: $4.5 million ($133 million) 
9. Sinister 2: $4 million ($17 million) 
10. American Ultra: $4 million ($14 million)

9/4-9/7

1. Straight Outta Compton: $14.5 million/$19 million ($143 million)
2. War Room: $13 million/$16.5 million ($34 million) 
3. We Are Your Friends: $11 million/$14 million ($35 million) 
4. Jane Got a Gun: $10 million/$12 million 
5. Pixels: $9.5 million/$12 million ($254 million) 
6. The Fantastic Four: $8 million/$9.5 million ($136 million) 
7. Vacation: $6 million/$7 million ($143 million) 
8. Regression: $5 million/$6 million ($16 million) 
9. The Transporter Refueled: $4.5 million/$5.5 million 
10. No Escape: $4 million/$5 million ($7 million) 

[WrathOfHan]

mahnamahna, I'm really curious to hear why you think Pixels is going to have strong late legs. Even if it opens big I don't know if the WOM will be there to sustain small drops.

[Asyulus]

mahnamahna, I'm really curious to hear why you think Pixels is going to have strong late legs. Even if it opens big I don't know if the WOM will be there to sustain small drops.

And then lmao at Straight outta Compton.