Weekend Prediction thread 4/26-4/28 Play the Derby

[bapi]

Furious  -  112M

____________________

 

Home  -44%

Get Hard  -59%

[Blankments]

1. Furious 7 - 123.5M
2. Home - 32.8M
3. Get Hard - 17.2M
4. Cinderella - 7.5M
5. The Divergent Series: Insurgent - 6.7M
6. It Follows - 2.1M
7. Kingsman: The Secret Service - 1.6M
8. Do You Believe? - 1.2M
9. The Second Best Exotic Marigold Hotel - 1.2M
10. Run All Night - 0.7M
11. The Gunman - 0.7M
12. McFarland, USA - 0.5M

Focus - 0.5M

[dxmatrixdt]

The Hobbit: Battle of the Five Armies - $19,000 - 255.14

Birdman - $27,000 - 42.32

Penguins of Madagascar - $34,000 - 83.27

Selma - $42,000 - 51.98

Taken 3 - $60,000 - 89.07

 

- 17% - Night at the Museum 3 - $100,000 - 113.32

-22% - Jupiter Ascending - $150,000 - 46.94

-60% - The Lazarus Effect - $190,000 - 25.33

-12% - The Imitation Game - $220,000 - 90.89

-46% - The DUFF - $220,000 - 33.63

-32% - Still Alice - $250,000 - 18.31

+11% - Paddington - $300,000 - 75.16

-56% - Chappie - $350,000 - 30.96

-23% - 50 Shades of Grey - $430,000 - 165.65

 

-36% - American Sniper - $560,000 - 346.35

-70% - The Gunman - $620,000 - 10.40

+16% - Spongebob 2 - $710,000 - 161.37

-35% - McFarland USA - $730,000 - 41.87

-39% - Focus - $790,000 - 53.22

-61% - Run All Night - $860,000 - 25.61

 

-61% - Kingsman: The Secret Service - $1,160,000 - 121.83

-13% - The Second Best Exotic Marigold Hotel - $1,820,000 - 30.97

-16% - Do You Believe? - $1,930,000 - 10.17

-13% - It Follows - $3,320,000 - 9.43

 

-49% - Insurgent - 11.03 - 104.94

-32% - Cinderella - 11.64 - 169.29

-62% - Get Hard - 12.70 - 58.37

 

-39% - Home - 31.62 - 102.29

 

(new) - Furious 7 - $125,550,000 - 125.55

 

NEXT WEEK

-60% - Furious 7 - 50.63 - 211.62

-25% - Home - 23.75 - 132.04

(new) - The Longest Ride - 11.20 - 11.20

-34% - Get Hard - 8.33 - 70.48

-38% - Cinderella - 7.23 - 179.06

-37% - Insurgent - 7.00 - 115.00

-22% - It Follows - 2.60 - 13.15

-13% - Do You Believe? - 1.68 - 12.48

-21% - The Second Best Exotic Marigold Hotel - 1.44 - 33.02

 

-24% - Kingsman: The Secret Service - 0.88 - 123.06

-21% - McFarland USA - 0.58 - 42.65

-27% - Focus - 0.58 - 54.04

-25% - Spongebob 2 - 0.53 - 162.07

-42% - Run All Night - 0.50 - 26.40

-18% - American Sniper - 0.46 - 346.99

-16% - 50 Shades of Grey - 0.36 - 166.14

 

-17% - Paddington - 0.25 - 75.48

-9% - The DUFF - 0.20 - 33.90

-43% - Chappie - 0.20 - 31.28

-71% - The Gunman - 0.18 - 10.82

-28% - Still Alice - 0.18 - 18.60

-32% - The Imitation Game - 0.15 - 91.10

-26% - The Lazarus Effect - 0.14 - 25.53

-13% - Jupiter Ascending - 0.13 - 47.12

[stripe]

F7 - 117M

Home - 30M

Get Hard - 14.5M

Insurgent - 11M

Cinderella - 10.5M

[VictorHugogui]

My Final prediction for the weekend

 

1)FF7   -     125M

2) Home -   32.8M (-37%)

3) Get Hard - 16M (-52%)

4) Insurgent - 12M (-45%)

5) Cinderella - 9.5M (-45%)

[Blankments]

The SpongeBob Movie: Sponge Out of Water, The DUFF, American Sniper, Chappie, and Selma are gone.

Focus is gone.

 

Furious 7 - 35 (debut)

Home - 13/7 (2D/3D) total 20 (down 4)

Cinderella - 15 (no change)

Insurgent - 10/5 (2D/3D) total 15 (down 4)

Get Hard - 14 (down 5)

Do You Believe? - 8 (down 2)

It Follows - 4 (no change)

The Gunman - 2 (down 13)

Kingsman: The Secret Service - 1 (down 2)

Run All Night - 1 (down 7)

The Second Best Exotic Marigold Hotel - 1 (down 1)

[Impact]

So what will be the 2nd biggest film of the month?

[boxofficeth]

My bet is Unfriended, although I have some hope for The Longest Ride.

[mahnamahna]

My bet is Unfriended, although I have some hope for The Longest Ride.

Paul Blart 2 will sadly be bigger than both.

 

Anytime I see the trailer, it gets the biggest reaction from kids in the audience. Plus, I actually know some teens/adults who want to see it... it's going to surprise a lot of people on here when it does $100-110 million due to no direct kid friendly comedy until June 19th 

 

4/10-4/12

1. Furious 7: $64 million ($245 million)
2. Home: $23 million ($129 million) 
3. The Longest Ride: $17.5 million
4. Get Hard: $11 million ($73 million)
5. Cinderella: $9 million ($179 million) 
6. Insurgent: $8 million ($116 million)
7. It Follows: $3 million ($12 million)
8. Kingsman: $1.5 million ($124 million)
9. Do You Believe?: $1 million ($11 million)
10. The Second Best Exotic Marigold Hotel: $1 million ($31 million)

4/17-4/19

1. Furious 7: $41 million ($307 million)
2. Unfriended: $34.5 million
3. Paul Blart 2: $28 million 
4. Home: $15 million ($148 million)
5. The Longest Ride: $10 million ($32 million)
6. Get Hard: $8 million ($85 million) 
7. Monkey Kingdom: $7 million 
8. Cinderella: $6.5 million ($187 million)
9. Insurgent: $5 million ($123 million)
10. Child 44: $3.5 million 

4/24-4/26

1. Furious 7: $30.5 million ($353 million)
2. Paul Blart 2: $25.5 million ($62 million)
3. Unfriended: $15 million ($57 million)
4. Home: $13 million ($164 million) 
5. The Age of Adeline: $8.5 million 
6. Get Hard: $7 million ($96 million) 
7. Cinderella: $5.5 million ($194 million) 
8. The Longest Ride: $5 million ($40 million) 
9. Monkey Kingdom: $4.5 million ($15 million)
10. Little Boy: $3.5 million 

5/1-5/3

1. Avengers 2: $245 million
2. Paul Blart 2: $11 million ($77 million) 
3. Furious 7: $8 million ($366 million) 
4. Home: $5 million ($169 million) 
5. The Age of Adeline: $4 million ($14 million) 
6. Unfriended: $3.5 million ($63 million) 
7. Get Hard: $3 million ($100 million) 
8. She's Funny That Way: $2.5 million 
9. Cinderella: $2.5 million ($197 million) 
10. The Longest Ride: $2 million ($43 million) 

5/8-5/10

1. Avengers 2: $111 million ($416 million)
2. Hot Pursuit: $16.5 million 
3. Paul Blart 2: $10 million ($90 million) 
4. Before I Wake: $7 million 
5. Furious 7: $5.5 million ($374 million) 
6. Home: $4 million ($174 million) 
7. The Age of Adeline: $3 million ($18 million)
8. Unfriended: $2 million ($67 million) 
9. Get Hard: $2 million ($103 million) 
10. Cinderella: $2 million ($199 million) 

5/15-5/17

1. Avengers 2: $56.5 million ($503 million) 
2. Pitch Perfect 2: $54 million
3. Mad Max - Fury Road: $31.5 million 
4. Hot Pursuit: $8.5 million ($29 million) 
5. Paul Blart 2: $8 million ($100 million)
6. Before I Wake: $3 million ($11 million) 
7. Furious 7: $3 million ($378 million) 
8. Home: $3 million ($177 million)
9. The Age of Adeline: $2 million ($21 million) 
10. Get Hard: $1.5 million ($105 million)

5/22-5/24

1. Tomorrowland: $60.5 million/$77 million 
2. Pitch Perfect 2: $40.5 million/$52 million ($128 million) 
3. Avengers 2: $36 million/$45 million ($566 million) 
4. Poltergeist: $30.5 million/$38 million 
5. Mad Max - Fury Road: $17 million/$21.5 million ($62 million) 
6. Paul Blart 2: $7.5 million/$9 mililon ($110 million) 
7. Hot Pursuit: $6 million/$7 million ($39 million)
8. Home: $2.5 million/$3.5 million ($181 million) 
9. Furious 7: $1.5 million/$2 million ($381 million) 
10. Before I Wake: $1.5 million/$2 million ($14 million)

5/29-5/31

1. Tomorrowland: $34 million ($128 million)
2. San Andreas: $32.5 million 
3. Pitch Perfect 2: $20 million ($158 million) 
4. Avengers 2: $19 million ($595 million)
5. Poltergeist: $9 million ($53 million) 
6. Mad Max - Fury Road: $8 million ($74 million)
7. Aloha: $7 million 
8. Paul Blart 2: $6 million ($119 million) 
9. Hot Pursuit: $3.5 million ($44 million)
10. Home: $2 million ($183 million)

6/5-6/7

1. Spy: $47 million 
2. Insidious 3: $26 million 
3. Tomorrowland: $22 million ($165 million) 
4. San Andreas: $14 mililon ($56 million) 
5. Avengers 2: $12 million ($615 million) 
6. Pitch Perfect 2: $10 million ($175 million)
7. Entourage: $7 million 
8. Mad Max - Fury Road: $5 million ($82 million) 
9. Paul Blart 2: $5 million ($126 million) 
10. Aloha: $4.5 million ($14 million)

6/12-6/14

1. Jurassic World: $127 million 
2. Spy: $30.5 million ($98 million) 
3. Tomorrowland: $10 million ($183 million) 
4. Insidious 3: $8.5 million ($40 million) 
5. Pitch Perfect 2: $7.5 million ($188 million)
6. Avengers 2: $6 million ($625 million)
7. San Andreas: $4.5 million ($63 million) 
8. Paul Blart 2: $4 million ($132 million) 
9. Entourage: $3 million ($12 million) 
10. Aloha: $3 million ($19 million) 

6/19-6/21

1. Inside Out: $73.5 million 
2. Jurassic World: $60.5 million ($237 million) 
3. Spy: $22 million ($139 million)
4. Tomorrowland: $8 million ($197 million) 
5. Pitch Perfect 2: $6 million ($199 million) 
6. Avengers 2: $4.5 million ($632 million) 
7. Dope: $4 million 
8. Insidious 3: $3.5 million ($46 million)
9. San Andreas: $3 million ($68 million) 
10. Paul Blart 2: $2 million ($135 million) 

6/26-6/28

1. Ted 2: $66 million 
2. Inside Out: $51 million ($172 million) 
3. Jurassic World: $39 million ($313 million) 
4. Max: $10 million 
5. Spy: $9 million ($156 million)
6. Tomorrowland: $6 million ($208 million) 
7. The Outskirts: $5 million 
8. Pitch Perfect 2: $3 million ($204 million) 
9. Avengers 2: $3 million ($637 million) 
10. Dope: $2.5 million ($8 million)

7/1-7/5

1. Terminator - Genysis: $40.5 million/$68 million 
2. Inside Out: $38 million/$60 million ($248 million) 
3. Ted 2: $28 million/$45 million ($122 million) 
4. Jurassic World: $21 million/$32 million ($355 million)
5. Magic Mike XXL: $16 million/$32 million 
6. Max: $7 million/$10 million ($23 million) 
7. Spy: $6 million/$9 million ($168 million)
8. Tomorrowland: $4 million/$5.5 million ($215 million) 
9. The Outskirts: $3 million/$4 million ($10 million)
10. Pitch Perfect 2: $2 million/$2.5 million ($207 million)

Edited April 5, 2015 by mahnamahna

[Asyulus]

F7 : 152m OW

Home: 33m OW

Get Hard: 28m OW

[Impact]

Longest Ride: 18.0

 

And I do agree Paul Blart 2 will probably be the 2nd biggest film this month. (and I mean April releases so sorry Home does not count)

Apparently Unfriended had some really huge laughs at some of the acting. (Well most low budget horror films are not known for there acting)

[Maxmoser3]

The Longest Ride:12 million

[VictorHugogui]

Longest Ride - 20M

[boxofficeth]

Re-watching the trailer of PB2 reminded me of Big Momma's House 2. So, 

 

PB2 - 25M opening, 80M total 

Unfriended - 30M, 70M

TLR - 20M, 60M

[bapi]

The Longest Ride  -  16.5M

________________________

 

Furious 7  -66%

Home  -37%

Get Hard  -53%

Cinderella  -32%

Insurgent  -44%

[babz06]

The Longest Ride- 17m

[Asyulus]

Apr 17-19

Furious 7 - 43m

Paul Blart - 26m

Longest Ride - 16m

Unfriended - 12m

Monkey Kingdom - 8m

Home - 6m

Insurgent - 5m

Cindy - 4m

Get Hard - 2m

It Follows - 1m

Kingsman - 880k

[Asyulus]

Furious 7 will four-peat. Until it faces competition with AoU.

[Krissykins]

Unfriended - 12m

Everyone's got their own predictions. However, the Unfriended trailer has 65 million views across Facebook and Youtube. I just don't see it going as low as $12m.

[mahnamahna]

Furious 7 will four-peat. Until it faces competition with AoU.

This.

 

Furious 7 could honestly do:

$64 million ($255 million) 

$40 million ($315 million) 

$30 million ($360 million) 

$8 million ($372 million)

$5 million ($379 million)

$2 million ($382 million)

$1 million/$1.5 million ($384 million)

$388 million DOM

 

Of course, that would require insane legs for F&F lol. 

Edited April 7, 2015 by mahnamahna