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Avengers: Age of Ultron OS Thread | $945.7M OS | $1.405B WW

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  OS-C China OS Dom WW            
Alucard 900.0 300.0 1200.0 650.0 1850.0            
AxelSteal 850.0 300.0 1150.0 650.0 1800.0            
Quigley 840.0 280.0 1120.0 630.0 1750.0            
Pypa94 855.0 302.0 1157.0 593.0 1750.0            
fmpro 815.0 265.0 1080.0 575.0 1655.0            
The Stingray 850.0 300.0 1150.0 500.0 1650.0            
Infernus 825.0 285.0 1110.0 565.0 1675.0            
Ent .   1100.0 550.0 1650.0            
GokaiRed 825.0 250.0 1075.0 575.0 1650.0            
Mattw 800.0 300.0 1100.0 525.0 1625.0            
picres 750.0 300.0 1050.0 550.0 1600.0            
MikeTheAvenger 850.0 200.0 1050.0 550.0 1600.0            
Johnny Storm 810.0 265.0 1075.0 525.0 1600.0            
AD3S     1000.0 590.0 1590.0            
peludo 750.0 275.0 1025.0 550.0 1575.0            
Fake 800.0 250.0 1050.0 500.0 1550.0            
Keysersoze 750.0 300.0 1050.0 500.0 1550.0            
Deathlife     1010.0 525.0 1535.0            
Cynosure 750.0 250.0 1000.0 525.0 1525.0            
Katch 22 800.0 200.0 1000.0 520.0 1520.0            
No Prisoners 725.0 250.0 975.0 500.0 1475.0            
samsha22 715.0 235.0 950.0 505.0 1455.0            
                       
Average 803.2 268.8 1067.1 552.4 1619.5            

Final submissions included

Its looking like 650m~ on Sunday with a 360-380m weekend

I think failing 1.5b has a shot if DOM disappoints and Europe crumbles  and 1.85 does too if there is an amazing hold and China and US knock it out of the park

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Article from screendaily

 

'Avengers: Age Of Ultron' crosses $250m at international box office

 

1217253_Avengers%20Age%20of%20Ultron%20l

 

Marvel’s Avengers: The Age Of Ultron heads into its second weekend all but assured of continued supremacy as it perches on an estimated $255.4m.

 

The tentpole arrives in North America this weekend and is on course to cross $50m worldwide by Sunday factoring in anticipated mighty holds around in existing markets and debuts in a further 35.

 
Of the new class Mexico, Spain, Colombia and Venezuela are expected to stand out for Walt Disney Studios Motion Pictures International.
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I cant see this doing worse than Avengers WW.

Can i change my prediction to, 950M OS -C, 350M China, 650M DOM and 1.95B WW?

One thing is to think it will not drop and another it will increase by $400m ($550m considering the exchange rates). IMHO, your figures are too high.

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Think for this weekend

 

Holdovers:

Australia: $7.5 million

Brazil: $10.5 million

France:  $7.5 million

Italy: $4.3 million

Russia: $8.5 million

South Korea: $17.5 million

United Kingdom: $16 million

Hong Kong: $3.9 million

Malaysia: $2.57 million

Germany: $6.15 million

India: $3.5 million 

Philippines: $3.9 million

-------------------------------

total-$80.02 million

 

Other holdovers predicting a random 40% drop (from $40 million) for $25.8 million Gross

 

New openers:

Columbia: $4.0 million 

Mexico: $23 million

UAE: $3 million 

Chile: $1.8 million

Ecuador: $2 million

Columbia: $2.5 million

Venezuela: $8.5 million 

Spain: $7 million

---------------------------------

total: $51.8 million

 

Apparently it opens in 26 other countries besides USA and Canada but I don't think the others are that big. Biggest variable is Mexico in my opinion I have no idea how high though so I'm going for a slightly higher than FF7 opening which in my opinion was pretty huge. numbers for other countries I extrapolated from BoM numbers for IM3 and TA1 and boosted numbers somewhat keeping in mind its labour week holiday in many places. Including other debuting markets I haven't listed I think $170-180 million OS weekend sounds reasonable. 

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I think 200m can happen. Holdovers will do better and mexico can crack 30m?

 

Mexico broke the OW record with FF7. Age of Ultron will increase on that record by $8m plus?

Edited by Rsyu
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A bit too high for Mexico, $22.5m (FF7) is the OW record.

$25m would be incredible.

 

Massive numbers expected for TA2, @boxofficemexico posted on Twitter that it may have the biggest OW, #2 movie of the year by Saturday and the #1 by Thursday (!) Not sure how reliable this account is, but from what I've read online, pre-sales are humongous.

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As of Thursday
 
1. South Korea - $37.2M
 
2. UK - $35.9M
 
3. Russia - $20.8M
 
4. Brazil - $19.7M
 
5. France - $17.6M
 
6. Australia - $17.2M
 
7. Germany - $13.0M
 
8. India - $11.7M
 
9. Taiwan - $10.8M
 
10. Philippines - $9.9M
Edited by Johnny Storm
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