2015 Best Picture predictions!

[The Panda]

From the reviews The Big Short seems to be getting passionate love from a decent sized group, and shrugs of "pretty good" from those outside.  Same as the Revenant.

 

I think that niche passion should get them both a nom.

[Alpha]

I think The Big Short is more likely to get an Adapted nom before a BP nom. It's a pretty competitive field this year.

[MovieMan89]

What a strange year. Now Joy's out of the picture and I can honestly say that having seen Spotlight, Room, Bridge of Spies, The Martian, and Brooklyn none of them seem remotely like a BP winner to me. I guess Spotlight the most so, but just because I can't see the others standing any chance. Can't see how Revenant wins either. Maybe Carol will end up the frontrunner? Or if Tarantino can knock if out of the park it might finally be his year, but I'm very weary of the Academy actually going as far to award him. Getting nominated is kind of a battle in itself for him. 

 

If they weren't so bullheaded about animation IO would probably be the deserved front-runner.  

Edited December 8, 2015 by MovieMan89

[Impact]

Well earlier someone said Joy was getting panned, it isn't panned, just not great reviews. It has a 53%, so it is out on best picture-unless if it somehow does a Loud and Close.  (Oddly when I scrolled over the title it said it had a 59%)

[Ezen Baklattan]

Joy will still probably get a BP nom at the Globes, they're generally more forgiving of reviews, and again, get JLaw to attend. Even then, it's back to 59%.

[The Panda]

I'm curious about this year.  Spotlight is the frontrunner but it's not a strong one.  Mad Max could potentially come in and win.

[WrathOfHan]

8 hours ago, Spaghetti said:

Joy will still probably get a BP nom at the Globes, they're generally more forgiving of reviews, and again, get JLaw to attend. Even then, it's back to 59%.

It helps that Joy is a Comedy there.

[That One Girl]

Ok...I know everyone will throw backlash at me for this, but here it goes...

 

David O. Russell makes The Fighter, a film made by Paramount.  It gets excellent reviews.

 

He then makes Silver Linings Playbook, which was made by Weinstein.  It gets excellent reviews.

 

Soon after, he makes American Hustle, a film made by Columbia.  More great reviews.

 

He then makes Joy, a film made by Fox.  It gets mixed reviews.

 

Fox messed up Fantastic Four.  Two very different films, but both released by Fox in the same year.  Also noticeable: A PG-13 rather than the standard R-rated Russell flick.

 

...Dammit Fox...

[4815162342]

Sure, blame Fox even though you have zero evidence they did anything to remotely at all interfere with Joy's production.

[That One Girl]

Just now, 4815162342 said:

Sure, blame Fox even though you have zero evidence they did anything to remotely at all interfere with Joy's production.

 

It's just a theory, not saying they actually did ruin it

[Jake Gittes]

What is this nonsense

[Ezen Baklattan]

Globe Final Predictions

 

BEST DRAMA

Carol

Creed

The Hateful Eight

The Revenant

Spotlight

 

BEST COMEDY/MUSICAL

The Big Short

Joy

The Martian

Sisters

Trainwreck

 

BEST ACTOR (DRAMA)

Leonardo DiCaprio (The Revenant)

Michael Fassbender (Tom Hanks)

Tom Hanks (Bridge of Spies)

Michael B. Jordan (Creed)

Eddie Redmayne (The Danish Girl)

 

BEST ACTRESS (DRAMA)

Cate Blanchett (Carol)

Brie Larson (Room)

Rooney Mara (Carol)

Saoirse Ronan (Brooklyn)

Alicia Vikander (The Danish Girl)

 

BEST ACTOR (COMEDY)

Steve Carrell (The Big Short)

Matt Damon (The Martian)

Robert DeNiro (The Intern)

Al Pacino (Danny Collins)

Joaquin Phoenix (Irrational Man)

 

BEST ACTRESS (COMEDY)

Tina Fey (Sisters)

Jennifer Lawrence (Joy)

Bel Powley (Diary of a Teenage Girl)

Amy Schumer (Trainwreck)

Lily Tomlin (Grandma)

 

BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR

Walton Goggins (The Hateful Eight)

Tom Hardy (The Revenant)

Michael Keaton (Spotlight)

Mark Ruffalo (Spotlight)

Sylvester Stallone (Creed)

 

BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS

Jane Fonda (Youth)

Jennifer Jason Leigh (The Hateful Eight)

Rachel McAdams (Spotlight)

Kristen Stewart (Clouds of Sils Maria)

Kate Winslet (Steve Jobs)

 

BEST DIRECTOR

Todd Haynes (Carol)

Alejandro G. Inarritu (The Revenant)

Tom McCarthy (Spotlight)

Ridley Scott (The Martian)

Quentin Tarantino (The Hateful Eight)

 

BEST SCREENPLAY

Drew Goddard (The Martian)

Tom McCarthy, Josh Singer (Spotlight)

Phyllis Nagy (Carol)

Aaron Sorkin (Steve Jobs)

Quentin Tarantino (The Hateful Eight)

 

BEST ORIGINAL SONG

"Flashlight" (Pitch Perfect 2)

"Love Me Like You Do" (Fifty Shades of Grey)

"One Kind of Love" (Love and Mercy)

"Til It Happens To You" (The Hunting Ground)

"See You Again" (Furious 7)

 

BEST ORIGINAL SCORE

Michael Giacchino (Inside Out)

Ennio Morricone (The Hateful Eight)

Thomas Newman (Bridge of Spies)

Ryuichi Sakamoto (The Revenant)

John Williams (Star Wars: The Force Awakens)

 

BEST ANIMATED FEATURE

Anomalisa

The Good Dinosaur

Hotel Transylvania 2

Inside Out

The Peanuts Movie

 

BEST FOREIGN LANGUAGE FEATURE

Goodnight Mommy

Mustang

Phoenix

The Second Mother

Son of Saul

 

Films With Multiple Nominations

The Hateful Eight: 6

Spotlight: 6

Carol: 5

The Martian: 4

The Revenant: 4

Creed: 3

Steve Jobs: 3

Bridge of Spies: 2

The Danish Girl: 2

Inside Out: 2

Joy: 2

Sisters: 2

Trainwreck: 2

[WrathOfHan]

Globe predictions:

Drama Film:

 

1. Spotlight

2. Carol

3. The Revenant

4. The Hateful Eight

5. Brooklyn

 

Comedy Film:

 

1. The Martian

2. Trainwreck

3. The Big Short

4. Joy

5. The Intern

 

Drama Actor:

 

1. Leonardo DiCaprio

2. Michael Fassbender

3. Eddie Redmayne

4. Samuel L Jackson

5. Will Smith

 

Drama Actress:

 

1. Brie Larson

2. Rooney Mara

3. Cate Blanchett

4. Saoirse Ronan

5. Alicia Vikander

 

Comedy Actor:

 

1. Matt Damon

2. Steve Carell 

3. Robert De Niro

4. Bill Hader

5. Al Pacino

 

Comedy Actress:

 

1. Amy Schumer

2. Jennifer Lawrence

3. Melissa McCarthy

4. Anne Hathaway

5. Lily Tomlin

 

Supporting Actor:

 

1. Sylvester Stallone

2. Mark Ruffalo

3. Michael Keaton

4. Tom Hardy

5. Walton Goggins

 

Supporting Actress:

 

1. Jennifer Jason Leigh

2. Jane Fonda

3. Kate Winslet

4. Rachel McAdams

5. Joan Allen

 

Director:

 

1. Ridley Scott

2. Tom McCarthy

3. Todd Haynes

4. Quentin Tarantino

5. Alejandro Inarritu

 

Screenplay:

 

1. Spotlight

2. The Hateful Eight

3. The Martian

4. Steve Jobs

5. Carol

 

Animated:

 

1. Inside Out

2. Anomalisa

3. The Peanuts Movie

4. The Good Dinosaur

5. Shaun the Sheep

 

Score:

 

1. Star Wars

2. Bridge of Spies

3. The Hateful Eight

4. Steve Jobs 

5. Inside Out

 

Song:

 

1. Furious 7

2. Love and Mercy

3. Creed

4. Spectre

5. Pitch Perfect 2

 

Nomination count:

 

7: The Hateful Eight (Drama Film, Actor, Supporting Actor, Supporting Actress, Director, Screenplay, Score)

6: Spotlight (Drama Film, Supporting Actor x2, Supporting Actress, Director, Screenplay)5: Carol (Drama Film, Actress x2, Director, Screenplay), 

4: The Martian (Comedy Film, Actor, Director, Screenplay), The Revenant (Drama Film, Actor, Supporting Actor, Director), Steve Jobs (Drama Actor, Supporting Actress, Screenplay, Score)

3: The Intern (Comedy Film, Actor, Actress), Trainwreck (Comedy Film, Actor, Actress)

2: The Big Short (Comedy Film, Actor), Brooklyn (Drama Film, Actress), Creed (Supporting Actor, Song), The Danish Girl (Drama Actor, Actress) Inside Out (Animated, Score), Joy (Comedy Film, Actress), Room (Drama Actress, Supporting Actress)

 

 

[Kvikk Lunsj]

Hopefully there is only 5 nomination this year for best picture. It seems like a weak.  

[WrathOfHan]

47 minutes ago, Dexter of Suburbia said:

Hopefully there is only 5 nomination this year for best picture. It seems like a weak.  

We're either getting 7, 8, or 10 this year. I doubt they go back to 9 and 6 seems too small. 

[CoolioD1]

I'm pretty sure it'll be 9 again. apparently statistically 5 and 10 are the least likely numbers there's like a 5% chance for each or something. so just picture it'll always be 6-9. And since there's a lot of split opinions on a lot of movies I think 9 is the best bet.

Edited December 8, 2015 by CoolioD1

[The Panda]

I could see 10 possibly happening this year 

[CoolioD1]

sag awards announce nominations tomorrow. 90% of the time they get around 4/5 in the acting categories so should give us a good indicator of where everything is. my prediction for the ensemble category is: Big Short, Carol, The Martian, Spotlight, Steve Jobs. Would have hateful eight but like a lot of late december releases I don't think there were screeners yet so they probably didn't vote for it.

[WrathOfHan]

Ensemble:

 

1. Spotlight (no way this isn't winning)

2. The Martian 

3. Steve Jobs

4. Carol

5. Bridge of Spies

 

Actor:

 

1. Leonardo DiCaprio

2. Matt Damon

3. Michael Fassbender

4. Eddie Redmayne

5. Will Smith

 

Actress:

 

1. Brie Larson

2. Cate Blanchett

3. Saoirse Ronan

4. Charlotte Rampling

5. Emily Blunt

 

Supporting Actor:

 

1. Sylvester Stallone

2. Mark Ruffalo 

3. Michael Keaton

4. Tom Hardy

5. Mark Rylance

 

Supporting Actress:

 

1. Rooney Mara (did she and Vikander get bumped to Lead like the Globes?)

2. Alicia Vikander

3. Kate Winslet

4. Jane Fonda

5. Kristen Stewart 

Edited December 8, 2015 by WrathOfHan

[Jake Gittes]

Oh shit, The Martian is gonna get nominated for ensemble isn't it.