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Best Actress predictions-2015

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Probably was due to back in the 30s/40s where actors/actresses would be in tons of movies per year to avoid a huge problem there.

Of course there was when one guy was nominated for lead and supporting for the same role-which the rule has prevented that since.

In the early years you could get nominated for every movie as one nomination such as Janet Gaynor won for 3 films in the same year.

That would also be a huge problem.

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Didn't know that! Weird stupid rule... A composer or a writer can be double nommed but an actor cannot?

 

Actually not really, if the same actor was nominated twice in the same category it would end up actually hurting their chances for a win. 

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Actually not really, if the same actor was nominated twice in the same category it would end up actually hurting their chances for a win. 

Yep-and as said before actors/actresses use to be in way more films a year which would of caused another problem.

Though you do have to wonder how much they actually vote on the film they are in-for example, Jim Broadbent won for Iris, the same year he was in Moulin Rouge, he even thanked the people of MR in his speech, which really makes you wonder which film he was winning for.

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Actually not really, if the same actor was nominated twice in the same category it would end up actually hurting their chances for a win. 

 

Last year Desplat was double nommed in Score but he was able to win.

 

The splitting vote can be a factor (Horner in 1995 or Williams in 2001), but being double nommed can help to put a special focus on the achievement. Specially in acting categories.

 

Voters could be more biased to vote for one of those two instead for one of the rest as an overdue recognition for a fantastic year.

 

On the other hand, if double nominations aren't allowed we could see some members voting for an actor or an actress instead of voting for a performance. Winslet for The reader was helped by Revolutionary Road's performance, that wasn't nommed. Judged only by her performance in The reader, she could have lost to Hathaway (Rachel getting married) or Streep (Doubt).

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I wouldn't be surprise if Bullock makes it in to be honest-given the fact there always seems to be that one film that was not that great but the acting was really good. (Which includes winners even like La Vie En Rose, Iron Lady, Girl Interrupted)

Though I'm not predicting her right now.

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AMPAS usually don't have problems accepting category fraud. The fact that critics are buying it further points to how easy of a sell their frauds will be.

Yes, they don't.

But I remember Weinstein promote Kate Winslet as supporting for The Reader...

I know it's very unlikely, but could happen.

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Yes, they don't.

But I remember Weinstein promote Kate Winslet as supporting for The Reader...

I know it's very unlikely, but could happen.

If I remember correctly, the weird thing about Kate that year IS that Harvey pushed her lead when she was a supporting role. Fraud just usually goes the other way. 

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If I remember correctly, the weird thing about Kate that year IS that Harvey pushed her lead when she was a supporting role. Fraud just usually goes the other way. 

Correct. Winslet was initially getting awards in Supporting for The Reader (such as at the Golden Globes and SAG), but when Revolutionary Road's Oscar chances in most main categories plummeted, Harvey pushed as hard as he could for the Lead Actress nod to push out her Rev Road performance

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Maggie Smith being nominated would not surprise me-she also would have one of the longest records between first and last nomination (though Hepburn's is still longer).

Mainly since she is a older and well known actress, and she is British of course. (She is younger then I thought she was-when she was in Hook I thought she was like 80-she was only 56 when she filmed it!)

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2 minutes ago, CoolioD1 said:

she's got that "been old forever" thing. like how Max Von Sydow has been a 70 year old since the exorcist 40 YEARS AGO.

Ben Kingsley has looked old forever, Helen Hayes always looked old. I would say Steve Martin but that's kind of unfair since he went gray really young.

Patrick Stewart was in his 40s when Star Trek TNG started yet looked a lot older.

Then there is Tom Cruise who has looked young forever.

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16 minutes ago, All about Eve said:

I preferred Cate in Truth and I liked the film better than Carol too. But I agree, Carol is going to be the one she gets nominated for.

Woof lol. I love Truth and Cate's performance, but I can't fathom how this is justifiable.

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15 minutes ago, TStechnij said:

Woof lol. I love Truth and Cate's performance, but I can't fathom how this is justifiable.

Is this another of those times where someone's opinion on a film being better than one of your darlings makes no sense to you? Because it's starting to be a noticeable array of blinders you got ready to wear.

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56 minutes ago, 4815162342 said:

Is this another of those times where someone's opinion on a film being better than one of your darlings makes no sense to you? Because it's starting to be a noticeable array of blinders you got ready to wear.

Isn't this a board to discuss films? I don't understand how me asking someone to elaborate on why they prefer a film is so off-limits? Or even challenging tastes: I'm trying to start a conversation not be a dick, but maybe it comes off too pointed and condescending. That's isn't my intention! 

Like I said, I loved Truth and is higher on my list of 2015 films than Spotlight. But, when it comes to awards potentials there are no blinders for Truth. It isn't happening and I think everyone agrees with that. 

Now, The Martian I'll admit I might be fighting it a little too hard. ;)

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