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Best Actress predictions-2015

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3 hours ago, TStechnij said:

 I don't understand how me asking someone to elaborate on why they prefer a film is so off-limits? 

If you want to ask someone to elaborate, then you know, actually ask that, instead of telling them what they think is impossible to support with rational thought.

Edited by 4815162342
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12 minutes ago, 4815162342 said:

If you want to ask someone to elaborate, then you know, actually ask that, instead of telling them what they think is impossible to support with rational thought.

Admittedly, my post was pompous, but we all do that from time-to-time. I just need to be able to come across more friendly in writing I suppose. Sorry if I offended anyone  

Regardless, Blanchett has killed it in three roles this year. She is nothing short of a revelation. <3

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Cate Blanchett, Carol

Brie Larson, Room

Jennifer Lawrence, Joy

Carey Mulligan, Suffragette

Saoirse Ronan, Brooklyn

 

Alternates:

1. Maggie Smith, The Lady in the Van

2. Charlotte Rampling, 45 Years

3. Charlize Theron, Mad Max: Fury Road

4. Emily Blunt, Sicario

5. Lily Tomlin, Grandma

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Number of experts predicting a win/nomination on Gold Derby:

 

Brie Larson: 13/22 (everyone is predicting a nomination)

Jennifer Lawrence: 5/16

Cate Blanchett (Carol): 4/21

Saoirse Ronan: 0/20

Charlotte Rampling: 0/9

Carey Mulligan: 0/7

Lily Tomlin: 0/6

Maggie Smith: 0/3

Charlize Theron: 0/3

Emily Blunt: 0/2

Cate Blanchett (Truth): 0/1

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Number of experts predicting a win/nomination on Gold Derby:

 

 

Brie Larson: 12/21 (down 1 win, down 1 nom, everyone is predicting a nomination)

Jennifer Lawrence: 6/16 (up 1 win)

Cate Blanchett (Carol): 3/20 (down 1 win, down 1 nom)

Saoirse Ronan: 0/21 (up 1 nom,  everyone is predicting a nomination)

Charlotte Rampling: 0/10 (up 1 nom)

Lily Tomlin: 0/6 (flat)

Carey Mulligan: 0/5 (down 2 noms)

Charlize Theron: 0/2 (down 1 nom)

Emily Blunt: 0/2 (flat)

Maggie Smith: 0/1 (down 2 noms)

Patricia Clarkson: 0/1 (new)

 

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People are being too reactionary regarding JLaw. Sure, the reviews for Joy itself are on the weak side, but she's still getting strong notices and it's not like there are many strong alternatives in this mostly barren category. She shouldn't have much difficulty landing in 5th despite the movie falling apart in every other category.

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I don't know why people are predicting Theron. She has absolutely no chance. There are 3 locks (Ronan, Larson, Blanchett). It's okay if you don't like Lawrence and you think she won't be nominated, but the Academy can find an actress from a movie nobody has seen and nominate her before Theron. Look at the SAG nominees. Mirren's Woman in Gold is 52% on RT (April movie). Silverman's I Smile Back is 55% (WTF is this, anyone knew there is a movie with this title? lol).

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