RobinHood26 Posted November 26, 2014 Share Posted November 26, 2014 Next year we could have 5 billion dollar movies. 3 for sure. Avengers (lock) Jurassic World MJ2 (Near lock) Bond 24 Star Wars (lock) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clef Ment Posted November 26, 2014 Share Posted November 26, 2014 Deserves it the most: Interstellar. Has a small chance to do it: Hobbit. Safe bet: Avengers. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Neo Posted November 26, 2014 Author Share Posted November 26, 2014 (edited) Next year we could have 5 billion dollar movies. 3 for sure. Avengers (lock) Jurassic World MJ2 (Near lock) Bond 24 Star Wars (lock) Dark Horse: Fast 7 Dark, Dark Horse: Mi5 Edited November 26, 2014 by Neo Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bastien Posted November 26, 2014 Share Posted November 26, 2014 Next year we could have 5 billion dollar movies. 3 for sure. Avengers (lock) Jurassic World MJ2 (Near lock) Bond 24 Star Wars (lock) LOCK: AV3 => LOCk 100% : 550 / 1 100 / 1 650 SW7 => LOCK 100% : 350 / 800 / 1 150 In my mind yes. Minions => (85% lock) : 330 / 700 / 1 030 MJ2 => (80%lock) : 450 / 580 / 1 030 I don't think so Bond 24 => 250 / 600 / 850 Jurassic Park => 205 / 400 / 605 Furious 7 => 250 / 650 / 900 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Neo Posted November 26, 2014 Author Share Posted November 26, 2014 LOCK: AV3 AV2 => LOCk 100% : 550 / 1 100 / 1 650 SW7 => LOCK 100% : 350 / 800 / 1 150 In my mind yes. Minions => (85% lock) : 330 / 700 / 1 030 MJ2 => (80%lock) : 450 / 580 / 1 030 I don't think so Bond 24 => 250 / 600 / 850 Jurassic Park => 205 / 400 / 605 Low DOM, thinking under 80M OW? Also low OS. Furious 7 => 250 / 650 / 900 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bastien Posted November 26, 2014 Share Posted November 26, 2014 Remember Godzilla... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Neo Posted November 26, 2014 Author Share Posted November 26, 2014 Remember Godzilla... JW is not Godzilla, Godzilla did 90M+ OW not near 80M. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clef Ment Posted November 26, 2014 Share Posted November 26, 2014 Dark Horse: Fast 7 Dark, Dark Horse: Mi5 And Minions. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Avatree Posted November 26, 2014 Share Posted November 26, 2014 This is a really strange topic. Posted today, after the release of Interstellar, MJ1 and BH6? We already know that those three can't do $1b. And why not include Furious 7 / Avengers 2? The Hobbit may do it (probably will) but if not, then the next one will be Avengers. Furious 7 will not have that much growth. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Futurist Posted November 26, 2014 Share Posted November 26, 2014 Hobbit 3 ( last Middle Earth movie effect, "short" running time") Avengers Age of Ultron Mockingjay Part 2 will miss because the asian market doesn' t respond to Katniss at all. Star Wars The Force Awakens Minions and Bond 24 are possible but unlikely. Remember that Bond 23 made 1 B ww thanks to a monstruous british gross that is unlikely to happen again, but we never know ... Jurassic World and Fast 7 I don't know ... maybe Fast 7. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clef Ment Posted November 26, 2014 Share Posted November 26, 2014 Furious 7 will not have that much growth. It needs the same Fast Five -> F&F 6 increase WW (+26%) to do it. I think it is possible thanks to the good reception of the last two episodes, OS growth and Paul Walker. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Avatree Posted November 26, 2014 Share Posted November 26, 2014 It needs the same Fast Five -> F&F 6 increase WW (+26%) to do it. I think it is possible thanks to the good reception of the last two episodes, OS growth and Paul Walker. This is the seventh film in a series that has been pumping out one film every 2 or 3 years. I understood the growth from 5 to 6, but I don't see why that would happen again. FF6 was already a hit in China, so there won't be huge amounts of growth there. Sure, it'll gross more, but that's not going to cover the $150-200m extra it needs to make $1b. Paul Walker's death won't make much of a difference, by the way. He wasn't a well established actor outside of this series, so his fans will show up either way - and although his death did get the film some awareness, that was 1.5 years before the movie comes out. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Futurist Posted November 26, 2014 Share Posted November 26, 2014 I think Fast 6 was kinda of the ceiling for the franchise. Don 't think Paul's unfortunate demise will boost the ww total that much. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
junkshop36 Posted November 26, 2014 Share Posted November 26, 2014 Two easy locks next year AoU and SW7. They'll both comfortably pass 1b. AoU - 1.6-1.8b SW7 - 1.2-1.4b MJ2 has a good chance being the finale. Not sure about anything else 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JohnnyGossamer Posted November 26, 2014 Share Posted November 26, 2014 (edited) Two easy locks next year AoU and SW7. They'll both comfortably pass 1b. AoU - 1.6-1.8b SW7 - 1.2-1.4b MJ2 has a good chance being the finale. Not sure about anything else If James Wan knocks Furious 7 out of the park, it could conceivably gross $1B+ WW too. Furious 6 did $789M WW. Edited November 26, 2014 by JohnnyGossamer Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
junkshop36 Posted November 26, 2014 Share Posted November 26, 2014 If James Wan knocks Furious 7 out of the park, it could conceivably gross $1B+ WW too. Furious 6 did $789M WW. I think it will increase from 6 but not enough to hit 1b. I'm thinking 850-900m 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AJG Posted November 26, 2014 Share Posted November 26, 2014 People are severely overestimating Jurassic World. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Asyulus Posted November 27, 2014 Share Posted November 27, 2014 Added more movies in the poll Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Neo Posted November 27, 2014 Author Share Posted November 27, 2014 This is the seventh film in a series that has been pumping out one film every 2 or 3 years. I understood the growth from 5 to 6, but I don't see why that would happen again. FF6 was already a hit in China, so there won't be huge amounts of growth there. Sure, it'll gross more, but that's not going to cover the $150-200m extra it needs to make $1b. Paul Walker's death won't make much of a difference, by the way. He wasn't a well established actor outside of this series, so his fans will show up either way - and although his death did get the film some awareness, that was 1.5 years before the movie comes out. Was Ledger an established actor (blockbuster level)? Some? Well it doesn't need China for the entire 150M-200M, 40M DOM, 50M China thats 60M-100M in the rest of the world. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jessie Posted November 27, 2014 Share Posted November 27, 2014 WOW, TF4 could actually end up being the highest grossing movie of the year, that would be awesome. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
