pepsa Posted November 27, 2014 Share Posted November 27, 2014 Added more movies in the poll I get your poll, but why do you put interstellar, big hero 6 and mocking jay in it? We can 100% say that Interstellar won't make it, Big hero 6 needs almost 800 M to get there, so also not gona happen. Then we got mockingjay, because of the DOM dip it needs atleast 650M OS witch is very unlikely, if not to say imposible. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cochofles Posted November 27, 2014 Share Posted November 27, 2014 Wonder Woman (I WISH!!!)... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
acetabulum7 Posted November 27, 2014 Share Posted November 27, 2014 (edited) I think Fast 6 was kinda of the ceiling for the franchise. Don 't think Paul's unfortunate demise will boost the ww total that much. His death alone won't make much of a difference, but because of it, I think Universal wants to push the marketing for this like crazy. So it could make a big difference indirectly. Edited November 27, 2014 by acetabulum7 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
acetabulum7 Posted November 27, 2014 Share Posted November 27, 2014 That said, Hobbit will win, hands down. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baumer Posted November 27, 2014 Share Posted November 27, 2014 That said, Hobbit will win, hands down. I'd love to hear your breakdown of this. How do you see this happening? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Walt Disney Posted November 27, 2014 Share Posted November 27, 2014 I voted for TA: AOU. I am not great when it comes to analyzing the OS market, but I don't see any films reaching 1B WW before Age of Ultron is released. And, I don't see a scenario where Age of Ultron doesn't reach 1B worldwide. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Panda Posted November 27, 2014 Share Posted November 27, 2014 Next year we could have 5 billion dollar movies. 3 for sure. Avengers (lock) Jurassic World MJ2 (Near lock) Bond 24 Star Wars (lock) You forgot Minions and furious 7, both of their predecessors were around 950m 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tower Posted November 27, 2014 Share Posted November 27, 2014 You forgot Minions and furious 7, both of their predecessors were around 950m DM2 did, Fast 6 made 789M. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
K1stpierre Posted November 27, 2014 Share Posted November 27, 2014 50 Shades..... : ph34r: *forum meltdown* Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
peludo Posted November 28, 2014 Share Posted November 28, 2014 Hobbit 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JJ-8 Posted November 29, 2014 Share Posted November 29, 2014 Hobbit 3 for me too. I'm seeing an increase both Dom and WW from #2. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Asyulus Posted December 5, 2014 Share Posted December 5, 2014 50 Shades..... : ph34r: *forum meltdown* 50 shades not making a billion, the marketing seems dissapointing. I say 770M WW for 50 shades Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lilmac Posted December 5, 2014 Share Posted December 5, 2014 Age of Ultron seems rather absent from your poll and the only true winner here. Agreed. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
edroger3 Posted December 5, 2014 Share Posted December 5, 2014 (edited) Interstellar 750 Big Hero 6 700 Hunger Games: Mockingjay Part 1 800 Exodus Gods and kings 700 Hobbit: The Battle of the Five Armies 1050 Night At The museum: Secret of the tomb 600 Avengers age of ultron 1400 Bond 24 (Spectre) 1100 Star Wars 7 1200 Hunger Games Mockinjay 2 900 Jurassic Park 4 1100 Minions 1000 Cinderella + Frozen Fever 1000 Edited December 5, 2014 by edroger Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Asyulus Posted December 6, 2014 Share Posted December 6, 2014 Age of Ultron seems rather absent from your poll and the only true winner here. How about Hobbit, Star Wars, Jurassic World? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalismanRing Posted December 6, 2014 Share Posted December 6, 2014 How about Hobbit, Star Wars, Jurassic World? Hobbit is on the list and Star Wars and JP4 come after AOU so they wouldn't be the next to a billion WW Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Asyulus Posted December 6, 2014 Share Posted December 6, 2014 Hobbit is on the list and Star Wars and JP4 come after AOU so they wouldn't be the next to a billion WW Ok Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kalo Posted December 6, 2014 Share Posted December 6, 2014 Hobbit. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Asyulus Posted December 7, 2014 Share Posted December 7, 2014 (edited) LOCK: Hobbit: Battle of five armies - 1.090B Avengers: Age of ultron - 1.730B Star Wars episode 7 - 1.265B Near lock: Jurassic World - 1.010B Bond 24 - 1.005B I don't think so: Furious 7 - 975M Minions - 990M Hunger games: Mockingjay part 2 - 980M Edited December 7, 2014 by Asyulus Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BadAtGender Posted December 7, 2014 Share Posted December 7, 2014 I've been picking at something regarding billion dollar films, looking at how they breakdown over their top ten respective markets. It's a bit messy, but here's a spreadsheet for your enjoyment. I may need to break it apart and rebuild it. I'd like an easy way to export it for chart purposes, but it doesn't seem possible in the current format, alas. All data taken from BOM's charts, so there's the grains of salt that apply there. For anything with a re-release, I attempted to add up all releases in a given market to achieve a final number. In very few cases did this adjust the ordering of the top ten markets for a film. (Possibly Titanic? It's been a couple months since I compiled this, so I can't remember, specifically.) I stopped at the billion dollar mark mostly because the 20th biggest film WW is The Lion King, and BOM doesn't have market breakdowns for it. I may end up adding more films where I can get a breakdown, but it'll probably wait until there's another bona fide billion dollar film before I update the list. As for future films: Hobbit 3 might do it. I'm not entirely sold, though. It'll probably depend on China. Avengers 2 will do it. In fact, it probably stands a good chance to beat 1b OS alone. SW 8 also does it, but the OS is a question mark, so I don't know how much beyond 1b it gets. Nothing else in 2015 really jumps out as likely. And I'm not sold on anything in 2016, either, though there are several that could flirt with the mark (BvS, Cap3, Finding Dory, Moana. Though there are a lot of interesting questions about animated films once you start to look at the breakdown. They tend to require at least one non-DOM market to overperform relative to the others. And by that I mean Japan.) 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
