Is Furious 7 giving the board unrealistic expectations about future films?

[Noctis]

baumer is now predicting $2b for SW7 on the sole basis that because F7 is gonna hit 1.5b, then Star Wars is LOCKED to do it. I've also been seeing people predict 1.1b for MJ2.

China's become a BIG influence, but that doesn't mean every big film is going to do as much or more than F7. That's absurd.

[Orestes]

It does feel a bit like when a lot of people's expectations for TDKR blew the fuck up because of how Avengers performed.

Edited April 18, 2015 by Orestes

[Noctis]

There will be PLENTY of films to hit $1b, but over $1.5b? Few will.

[SchumacherFTW]

One film battering expectations always increases confidence in larger grosses for other movies. Optimism is always fun to see on the forums.

[BadAtGender]

One film battering expectations always increases confidence in larger grosses for other movies. Optimism is always fun to see on the forums.

 

Unless it's one person who gets an overly optimistic prediction right on occasion and then turns into an insufferable douchenozzle.

[Noctis]

One film battering expectations always increases confidence in larger grosses for other movies. Optimism is always fun to see on the forums.

No, it's not.

Especially when it's 40+ year old men losing logic because Star Wars made them jizz their pants.

[grey ghost]

Go big or go home!

SW7 >>> Titanic

[peludo]

Nothing has changed. Exchange rates are still shit and the potential of certain movies remain the same. Extreme optimism with OS figures become massive disappointments.

[AndyLL]

baumer is now predicting $2b for SW7 on the sole basis that because F7 is gonna hit 1.5b, then Star Wars is LOCKED to do it. I've also been seeing people predict 1.1b for MJ2.

China's become a BIG influence, but that doesn't mean every big film is going to do as much or more than F7. That's absurd.

 

The answer to your topic title is yes.

 

However the examples you give in your post are poor.  There are valid reasons for both MJ2 and SW to hit the huge predictions.

 

CF did 850.  Yes MJ1 did less but the reasons it did are well documented.  MJ2 is the conclusion to a very well received franchise.  It'll do 1 billion WW and 1.1 is in reach.

 

Star Wars.  2 billion seems crazy.  However this forum is younger and you young guys don't understand how ingrained the Star Wars franchise is to us older people.

 

SW will bring in multi-generations of people that are not the typical movie goers.  Add in the typical movie goers who won't miss a movie event like this and it has the potential to be huge.

 

BTW... I believe Snipers unexpected success was for the same reason.  It brought in a non-typical movie goer crowd.

[The Stingray]

Star Wars got nothing to do with Fast 7. I don't see SW breaking 1.5b, let alone Titanic.

[The Futurist]

Nothing has changed. Exchange rates are still shit and the potential of certain movies remain the same. Extreme optimism with OS figures become massive disappointments.

Not when China continues to boom like crazy.

Already + 25% in China in early 2015 compared to the same period in 2014. US blockbusters doing 150-200-250 will happen more and more so big tentpoles will more likely reach 1B WW even with shitty exchange rates that could return in favor of the studios in little time.

Transformers 4 is a change of era, plain and simple.

FF7 is still an outlier because it s basically post mortem therapy for the legions of fans of the franchise, a very unique case in history. The whole movie is about Paul s departure, you bet it influenced the gigantic numbers.

Edited April 18, 2015 by The Futurist

[picores]

The Avengers. Age of Ultron:  625 - 1.250 - 1.875

Furious 7:  345 - 1.060 - 1.405

Star Wars. The Force Awakens:  475 - 800 - 1.275

Minions:  350 - 700 - 1.050

Spectre:  275 - 750 - 1.025

Mockingjay 2:  400 - 515 - 915

Jurassic World:  290 - 600 - 890

 

 

Fuck....this year is huge.

[Ent]

Star Wars got nothing to do with Fast 7. I don't see SW breaking 1.5b, let alone Titanic.

 

Agree.

[The Futurist]

Nobody will ever beat Titanic, in any shape of form, in ticket sales, this is the biggest initial run in history.

Nothing comes close except Star Wars 77, but just Dom.

[eXtacy]

Yes. I am now expecting Age of Ultron to hit 2B or it shall be a flop.

[AndyLL]

Star Wars got nothing to do with Fast 7. I don't see SW breaking 1.5b, let alone Titanic.

 

I don't understand comments like this.

 

The Phantom Menace adjusts to 750 DOM and if you take the same % 883 OS.  That alone is 1.6 WW. 

 

This will have 3D and IMAX and China.

 

Do you really think this will do less then PM?

 

Does anyone ever look at the history of a franchise before making predictions?

Edited April 18, 2015 by AndyLL

[The Futurist]

But yeah, FF7 is probably playing jedi mind tricks on us right now to respond to Miss Watson s OP.

[The Stingray]

I don't understand comments like this.

 

The Phantom Menace adjusts to 750 DOM and if you take the same % 883 OS.  That alone is 1.6 WW. 

 

This will have 3D and IMAX and China.

 

Do you really think this will do less then PM?

 

Does anyone ever look at the history of a franchise before making predictions?

 

This ain't Phantom Menace. This is Star Wars after the prequels happened.

[AndyLL]

This ain't Phantom Menace. This is Star Wars after the prequels happened.

 

Phantom Menace is the #1 film of a franchise that is #1 of all time adjusted. PM isn't hurting the box office of SW7.

 

The 1st films of both trilogies are #5 and #6 all time un-adjusted DOM.  Neither had 3D or IMAX

[baumer]

Noctis, you secretly want to sleep with me, don't you?