redfirebird2008 Posted May 2, 2015 Share Posted May 2, 2015 Amazing TA record will stand another 2 years it seems. It probably deserves to if we're being honest about it. TA1 crowd was electric. TA2 crowd seemed to enjoy it but there wasn't the big cheers and laughter like in the third act of TA1. It was the ultimate crowd-pleaser. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deep Wang Posted May 2, 2015 Share Posted May 2, 2015 (edited) Well you already said this was gonna be the case a while ago with the fight and all. Well, tonight there is the following: Buc Days parade(which is a HUGE deal here) Spurs at 7pm Fight That's a perfect storm of fuckery I don't think we can compete with. I was hoping they just meant that everyone would come in the morning and afternoon instead. I'm not seeing that yet. Edited May 2, 2015 by Boner Omega 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Neo Posted May 2, 2015 Share Posted May 2, 2015 Normally I'd say that earlier and earlier Thursday previews deflate Friday evening gross and thus we end up seeing huge Saturday jumps, but given the sporting events tonight, I don't even know how well that will hold up. Maybe it jumps up to 65-67M today and just barely hits 200M, but I'd venture on the lower end right now. Did we get a 3D share for Friday yet? Can't that spillover to Sunday? China and South Korea will save Marvel's dignity. Mexico. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Futurist Posted May 2, 2015 Share Posted May 2, 2015 Amazing TA record will stand another 2 years it seems. DH2 as well. Sunday and Saturday record as well. Nothing is beating TA Sat and Sunday gross. Inflation will. Sooner or later. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kalel009Shel Posted May 2, 2015 Share Posted May 2, 2015 No Kal, read that post i quoted again.they still adding tickets up stuart Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deep Wang Posted May 2, 2015 Share Posted May 2, 2015 Can't that spillover to Sunday? You can't spillover if there's not enough demand. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
redfirebird2008 Posted May 2, 2015 Share Posted May 2, 2015 (edited) Well, tonight there is the following: Buc Days parade(which is a HUGE deal here) Spurs at 7pm Fight That's a perfect storm of fuckery I don't think we can compete with. I was hoping they just meant that everyone would come in the morning and afternoon instead. I'm not seeing that yet. The Spurs game tonight might explain why the San Antonio Pallaudium was running 40% ahead of big NYC theaters last night. All the Spurs and Avengers fans in San Antonio figured they better watch the thing last night because they've got a playoff game to focus on today. Edited May 2, 2015 by redfirebird2008 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FilmBuff Posted May 2, 2015 Share Posted May 2, 2015 Wasn't here on the BOM/BOF forums, but I remember when Spiderman broke the 100 mil OW back in 02. That was a big deal! Now, it is nothing! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Neo Posted May 2, 2015 Share Posted May 2, 2015 Those of you with hopes of 200M will need Saturday to hit 70M+ to gaurantee it. Not exactly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kalel009Shel Posted May 2, 2015 Share Posted May 2, 2015 Amazing TA record will stand another 2 years it seems. DH2 as well. Sunday and Saturday record as well. Nothing is beating TA Sat and Sunday gross. no it wont. batman and superman is lurking lord and that is much bigger than avengers Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kalderic Posted May 2, 2015 Share Posted May 2, 2015 wait... does anyone else find that cinderella number strange... WTF? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
theStun Posted May 2, 2015 Share Posted May 2, 2015 This is so much fun, this is the first time I've really followed BO like this but I go to sleep, people are saying LOCKED to do 210+ now when I wake up it has a chance of missing 200 tonight it will probably be back to being locked for 200+ this is great. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
John Marston Posted May 2, 2015 Share Posted May 2, 2015 question is, will it still reach 500m domestically? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
water Posted May 2, 2015 Share Posted May 2, 2015 to think that in the end the most accurate source was my icon not gonna happen if every other source is saying sub-90 including one like five minutes ago i've been around for more than a year and rth has always been very close to other sources, this is the first time it's different explain to me why rth thinks west coast will be so much bigger than the other sources think so every source says 85-89 until disney announces they're confident about 200 and record going down, and suddenly "new industry estimates" appear saying 94-97m od. if they were gonna do this they should have at least gone big and said 100m so you're all just gonna ignore that new 85-90 number Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stuart360 Posted May 2, 2015 Share Posted May 2, 2015 (edited) I'm up now and quite shocked that Rth would tell us this yesterday, only to come in a lot lower than it should've.. So many people put a lot of faith in Rth who probably doesn't know the numbers any better than anyone else.. Either way, congrats to DH2 for holding onto the the OD record.. Is that it?, no meltdown? Edited May 2, 2015 by stuart360 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deep Wang Posted May 2, 2015 Share Posted May 2, 2015 The Spurs game tonight might explain why the San Antonio Pallaudium was running 40% ahead of big NYC theaters last night. All the Spurs and Avengers fans in San Antonio figured they better watch the thing last night because they've got a playoff game to focus on today. That's a very good point. I'm just insane curious to see what happens tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RichWS Posted May 2, 2015 Share Posted May 2, 2015 Man, Rth is such a fake. I hope that dude never comes back. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kalel009Shel Posted May 2, 2015 Share Posted May 2, 2015 some other factors. the biggest fight of this generation. manny vs idiotic floyd . and nba playoffs with ole boys and a big fan fav who want to see if sa can getctheir sixth ring or going home in gme 7 tonight Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jandrew Posted May 2, 2015 Share Posted May 2, 2015 Also one more thing and then I'm done...can we stop trying to predicting things on how good, but mostly how stupid they look? This attitude we have recently has not completed translated to the GA. See Ride Along, Home, Spongebob, Maleficent, TMNT, We're the Millers, etc, etc, etc. I said over $40M OW for Spongebob, while I did have an ounce of fanboyism, I still looked up numbers and saw how popular the show still was, and knew the CG element would be seen as fresh. Many here low-balled Spongebob "because it looks stupid and is for kids." Then when things break out the same people want to look in hindsight and go "yeah this isn't a shock, I don't watch the show anymore, but hes obviously still popular." Same with home, we have an anti-DWA agenda here. "All of DWA's movies keep bombing, and Home looks so stupid, the aliens look ugly, this will bomb." Then Home breaks out and nobody wants to eat crow. You base predicts off of yes a little personal bias, hope, and gut feeling, but also on real world numbers, info, advertising, metrics, etc. You don't have to watch Spongebob or Nickelodeon to know how popular it still is, you just go to Neilson or Wiki or Facebook. But that goes for all movies. We can still have some personal bias, but lets try to do better than "that trailer looked stupid, this will bomb." That's one thing that annoys me the most here. K thanks bye. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dementeleus Posted May 2, 2015 Author Share Posted May 2, 2015 I'm up now and quite shocked that Rth would tell us this yesterday, only to come in a lot lower than it should've.. So many people put a lot of faith in Rth who probably doesn't know the numbers any better than anyone else.. Either way, congrats to DH2 for holding onto the the OD record.. It's not about knowing the numbers. It's about extrapolating from real-time data. Let's say it's afternoon on the west coast. The movie has probably done less than half of its daily business so far. So, you look at the matinee and early afternoon numbers, and you look at presales and overall showtimes, and you extrapolate using comps of other, similar movies. So in this case, Rth (and the other sources for DHD, Variety, etc) probably used AVENGERS as a comp, given ULTRON was performing along similar lines earlier in the day. The strong presales and expanding showtimes indicated a strong evening turnout... and that ultimately ended up being wrong. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
