water Posted May 2, 2015 Share Posted May 2, 2015 He said 89-93 late last night. That's 5-9% off from the morning estimate, and that's pretty reasonable as far as I'm concerned. that was after i screamed about 85-90 like 100 times. if he had listened to everyone praising him for the 95-100 number he would never have gone back and revised Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blankments Posted May 2, 2015 Share Posted May 2, 2015 Be still my heart, Noctis supplying Dame in my time of need Maleficent.... 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
grim22 Posted May 2, 2015 Share Posted May 2, 2015 Also one more thing and then I'm done...can we stop trying to predicting things on how good, but mostly how stupid they look? This attitude we have recently has not completed translated to the GA. See Ride Along, Home, Spongebob, Maleficent, TMNT, We're the Millers, etc, etc, etc. I said over $40M OW for Spongebob, while I did have an ounce of fanboyism, I still looked up numbers and saw how popular the show still was, and knew the CG element would be seen as fresh. Many here low-balled Spongebob "because it looks stupid and is for kids." Then when things break out the same people want to look in hindsight and go "yeah this isn't a shock, I don't watch the show anymore, but hes obviously still popular." Same with home, we have an anti-DWA agenda here. "All of DWA's movies keep bombing, and Home looks so stupid, the aliens look ugly, this will bomb." Then Home breaks out and nobody wants to eat crow. You base predicts off of yes a little personal bias, hope, and gut feeling, but also on real world numbers, info, advertising, metrics, etc. You don't have to watch Spongebob or Nickelodeon to know how popular it still is, you just go to Neilson or Wiki or Facebook. But that goes for all movies. We can still have some personal bias, but lets try to do better than "that trailer looked stupid, this will bomb." That's one thing that annoys me the most here. K thanks bye. I think Pixels will be another example of this. A few critics will still hate it and give it lower ratings because of Sandler, but I think Pixels will surprise us in late summer. A lot of people on this forum have written it off completely because "It looks stupid and Adam Sandler/Kevin James". 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blankments Posted May 2, 2015 Share Posted May 2, 2015 The queen and princess of the world. Well, you're right about one of them, but the real queens are and 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Neo Posted May 2, 2015 Share Posted May 2, 2015 You sure? Yeah. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kalel009Shel Posted May 2, 2015 Share Posted May 2, 2015 "Better than anyone else"? Yes, man, he does. Trust me on this. You're welcome to think whatever you want, but if you put Rth's projections up against anyone (here on the forums or actual sources reported by any of the trades), he'll be at the top. true and agreed. rem bkb no one is perfect but rth is pretty close most of the time. all of us have been off alot more than 15-20 m. So rth deserves a pass for the occasional miss gang. tele is right 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blankments Posted May 2, 2015 Share Posted May 2, 2015 Sorry to be blunt, but FF7 was a Queen, Michael Jackson situation and that s the last time I ll say it on this board. ... 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Elessar Posted May 2, 2015 Share Posted May 2, 2015 You're welcome to think whatever you want, but if you put Rth's projections up against anyone (here on the forums or actual sources reported by any of the trades), he'll be at the top. I like Rth's contributions but let's be honest, other sources like Variety usually report numbers earlier, naturally they will be off more than Rth. Or they don't update it as frequently, which makes it appear Rth is more accurate. Deadline had the latest numbers this time around and they were the most accurate. That's all there is to it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kalel009Shel Posted May 2, 2015 Share Posted May 2, 2015 (edited) hey does drop off mean furios 7 could pull an upset over ultron ?. furious 7 going for a wicked 340M dom and 1.4 bww and beats out hp7 pt 2. what is going on here?:'( Edited May 2, 2015 by Superman001 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blankments Posted May 2, 2015 Share Posted May 2, 2015 It's actually very simple. There's a program called GifCam, so you download it, open the program, and it'll have a window which you can layer on top of another video. So I go to Youtube, find a good clip, play the video, then hit record on Gifcam with the window layered on top of the video. Once you get the clip you want, you go to edit, resize the gif and then delete the frames that you don't want (GifCam makes this simple with options like 'Delete from this Frame to Start/End). Then save, upload to Imgur, and voila! Once you tinker around with it more you get better at it. There are also ways to add text but that takes a bit of practice I freaking love gifcam, even no one ever likes my gifs... Except for that one I posted in the Furious 7 thread where Tele was Jason Statham Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
spizzer Posted May 2, 2015 Share Posted May 2, 2015 I think presales are becoming a bigger component of weekends than 3 years ago. Fifty Shades, Cinderella, Insurgent and now Avengers have all had bigger estimates at the start and reduced as the day went on thanks to presales I guess. Which number is being used for the BSG???? Definitely, and IMO the rising prominence of reserved seating is driving the increase in presales. Folks who just walked up before now have to reserve before hand not only for ideal seats but just so that groups can sit together. This inflate presales (relative to before at least) and paints an inaccurate picture if you're comparing presales to older films in order to extrapolate grosses. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blankments Posted May 2, 2015 Share Posted May 2, 2015 I was actually surprised last night when people bought tickets for Mall Cop 2. I was honestly expecting a few no shows for non avengers movies, but mall cop had around 40 people for the 7:00 show (which is 40 more than I expected). TBF, if Avengers sold out and I had young kids, it's either that or Home I'd guess. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Darth Homer Posted May 2, 2015 Share Posted May 2, 2015 (edited) Why are people predicting sub 500 total now? IM3s multi from OD gets AOU 511. I don't see any reason this has worse legs. Edited October 14, 2015 by Darth Homer Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kalel009Shel Posted May 2, 2015 Share Posted May 2, 2015 king of the yr got way more interesting. especially if avengers cant pull 1 b overseas Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deep Wang Posted May 2, 2015 Share Posted May 2, 2015 You're bound to be doing better than Friday matinees though, right? It is, but not by the amount I think we should be to possibly counteract the drop off tonight. Yesterday we finished with 3,413 tickets sold which accounted for 85% of our attendance! Today so far, it's even worse! 1,408 out of 1532 are for Avengers which is 92%! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kalel009Shel Posted May 2, 2015 Share Posted May 2, 2015 Why are people predicting sub 500 total now? IM3s multi from OD gets AOU 511. I don't see any reason this has worse legs.not great reception and this one has tomm land , san andreas and jp to deal with i beleive. tomm land could be huge. Its still dis tho so they wont care lol. i feel jpworld may return us dino fans back to glory. lots of claps from my audience Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
John Marston Posted May 2, 2015 Share Posted May 2, 2015 Yeah people are ridiculously quick to assume this will have "bad legs" 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
redfirebird2008 Posted May 2, 2015 Share Posted May 2, 2015 It is, but not by the amount I think we should be to possibly counteract the drop off tonight. Yesterday we finished with 3,413 tickets sold which accounted for 85% of our attendance! Today so far, it's even worse! 1,408 out of 1532 are for Avengers which is 92%! Does the 3,413 include Thursday previews? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blankments Posted May 2, 2015 Share Posted May 2, 2015 It's pretty hilarious honestly, franchise fatigue domestically is already starting to set in. But sure guys Marvel & these amazing characters will be making this much FOREVER according to guys like Walt Disney Tbf, Avengers 2 might have fatigue because the only new characters being introduced into the team are introduced in the movie itself Whereas Avengers 3 has the opportunity to have Ant-Man, Doctor Strange, Black Panther, Captain Marvel, and Spider-Man. And that's not even counting if the Guardians show up. TBH, Disney would be smart to put the Guardians in Avengers 3; that might be able to hold off on the huge huge drop that would happen otherwise since it's a Part 1. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jj99 Posted May 2, 2015 Share Posted May 2, 2015 Well, you're right about one of them, but the real queens are and They wish. But I'm not averse to some Blunt magic. After Dame, the next in line is "Kate the great" Winslet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
