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AVENGERS Official Wknd Estimates: 191M - Disney

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If it gets to 490 on its own, I wonder if they will give it a bit of fudge to reach 500. With only 4 movies in history over 500, that is still a huge milestone worthy of fudging.

 

Nope.

 

OoTP, Inception, DH1, BD2, New Moon, GoF were all in the 290m range, there is no way they could have been fudged to hit $300m. 

 

Finishing with $490m won't be enough for them to fudge $10m.

Edited by Noctis
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Nope.

 

OoTP, Inception, DH1, BD2, New Moon, GoF were all in the 290m range, there is no way they could have been fudged to hit $300m. 

 

Finishing with $490m won't be enough for them to fudge $10m.

 

But 300 is nowhere near as big of a deal as 500. If it gets that close I think they will do their best to push it.

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You certainly aren't going to enjoy following box office very often.     Fast 7?     Yawn....only 10th place OW.   But wait!  It was much better worldwide!    It was....oh wait.....2nd place.   Darn....not worth remembering.   ;)

 

Remember that you can't just pick and choose when you apply "nobody remembers 2nd place".   If you think that's true, it's also going to be true for other movies which fail to break the OW record.     So if that phrase is a thing....it will be a thing later too.

 

 

 

AOU is unique. 

 

It wasn't just us us in the forums that completely whiffed on the numbers.  That tends to happen here as we all know.

 

But just about everyone was really wrong... including Disney who likely thought their early estimate was conservative.

 

AOU has already made an incredible amount of money and will make a ton more.

 

But yes... instead of being the crowning achievement to Marvel's phase 2 it will just become just one of many blockbusters like all the rest. 

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But 300 is nowhere near as big of a deal as 500. If it gets that close I think they will do their best to push it.

 

It won't. Not when AoU is doing $2m or $1m on weekends. 

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Well yeah we can. If a movie was highly expected by a number of paid professionals to break the OW record than we are going to be disappointed when it misses by a good margin while no ones gonna be disappointed or not gonna take note when an ignored movie gets into even the top 20 list. That is why box office and success and disappointment in this field is a very subjective and dependent thing. If you don't even understand that and think that the same measures for success and failure should be applied to all movies than you know nothing about box office.

That's a deflection of the real failure.   Those paid professionals?   They got it wrong.   They also got it wrong with TA.   That's twice.

 

The faulty predictions are the "disappointment".   The movie did great.   There is no possible way the 2nd biggest OW of all time is disappointing.   Failing to match one of the most impressive feats in box office history is certainly not disappointing....that's realistic.  Expecting that to happen and then blaming the movie is just an attempt to salvage the ego.   Admitting you blew it is a lot harder than pointing a finger at the movie for not matching your faulty prediction.

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AOU is unique. 

 

It wasn't just us us in the forums that completely whiffed on the numbers.  That tends to happen here as we all know.

 

But just about everyone was really wrong... including Disney who likely thought their early estimate was conservative.

 

AOU has already made an incredible amount of money and will make a ton more.

 

But yes... instead of being the crowning achievement to Marvel's phase 2 it will just become just one of many blockbusters like all the rest. 

I realize a lot of people were wrong just like they were wrong about TA.   That's certainly not the movie's fault.

 

AoU is obviously not the crowning achievement.   That most expected that is now revealed to be faulty thinking.   AoU is instead one of the most impressive OW's of all time.

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If it gets to 490 on its own, I wonder if they will give it a bit of fudge to reach 500. With only 4 movies in history over 500, that is still a huge milestone worthy of fudging.

 

They would if it got that close to 500M. Disney usually expands movies on Labor Day weekend and plush additional push re-expansion if it really got that close. 

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They would if it got that close to 500M. Disney usually expands movies on Labor Day weekend and plush additional push re-expansion if it really got that close.

Yeah, but those are usually Pixar movies. At least that's what we've always had.

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