fishstick Posted January 9, 2012 Share Posted January 9, 2012 Fishnets is beginning her reverse psychology tactic to sabotage the orgasmic wave of jubilation assuredly coming from Awards Daily right now.I`ve been avoiding those forums ever since DT started to develop legs. So I cna imagine the celebration.But! The Jaw tanked!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! :lol: Between The Jaw success and DT success, I`m DT club all the way! :DBut, seriously, why DT win looks so far-fetched to you? It picked up steam right before balot mailing and by Guilds (who check mark those balots) no less. Fincher is considered robbed last year by many insiders. Reviews are strong, not DH2 strong but we knew DH2 wouldn`t make the cut because it`s HP. There is no clear frontrunner. I don`t think that the win looks impossible. But either way, nomination is a lock. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
4815162342 Posted January 9, 2012 Share Posted January 9, 2012 A bunch of films were ineligible for the WGA's Adapted Screenplay category, so it's not anywhere close to a lock for a nom there.DGA nod makes a director nomination more likely, but because of the film being under-radar after a soft open at the box office and critic awards it isn't a lock either.For DT to even have a shot at winning, it needs Oscar noms for Fincher, Mara, and the screenplay, because that shows the support from the three most important branches. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Travod Posted January 9, 2012 Share Posted January 9, 2012 There's no way in hell TGWTDT wins. I doubt Fincher will even get nominated for BD. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
fishstick Posted January 9, 2012 Share Posted January 9, 2012 Well, the only guild that it missed out so far is SAG and that`s likely due to that retarded screening embrago/late screening/whatever that Sony emposed. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rockNrollaDIM Posted January 9, 2012 Share Posted January 9, 2012 There's no way in hell TGWTDT wins. I doubt Fincher will even get nominated for BD.Hello?? He got a DGA nod... isn't it pretty rare for that to change for Oscars? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Travod Posted January 9, 2012 Share Posted January 9, 2012 (edited) http://www.imdb.com/...hread/191713223It hasn't won often. And when I say often I mean at all. Edited January 9, 2012 by Dragon Travtoo Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dementeleus Posted January 9, 2012 Share Posted January 9, 2012 Sasha thinks DT is in with a nom. I'm still not convinced. In any case, it's not the front-runner, even with a nom. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dementeleus Posted January 9, 2012 Share Posted January 9, 2012 Hello?? He got a DGA nod... isn't it pretty rare for that to change for Oscars?Oftentimes there'll be one exception between the DGA noms and the Oscar BD noms. With Spielberg, Malick, and Miller lurking in the wings, hard to say who'll miss out. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravon80 Posted January 9, 2012 Share Posted January 9, 2012 Fincher! Fincher! Fincher! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoolioD1 Posted January 9, 2012 Author Share Posted January 9, 2012 Hello?? He got a DGA nod... isn't it pretty rare for that to change for Oscars?Yeah, pretty much. Unless your name is Christopher Nolan, who has THREE DGA nods and has yet to get any recognition as a director from the Academy. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fanboy Posted January 9, 2012 Share Posted January 9, 2012 Fincher! Yay! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ezen Baklattan Posted January 9, 2012 Share Posted January 9, 2012 The Artist is winning, only thing that could change that is the PGA going to somethimg else (doubtful).I don't know. There seems to be some backlash that may hold it back. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoolioD1 Posted January 9, 2012 Author Share Posted January 9, 2012 Would honestly call The Descendants it's biggest competition, that's the only film with noms from every major guild so far. Maybe Hugo has a chance, but I think the fact that it was a huge BOMB might hold it back for all the business folk in the Academy. Right now I think those are the only films in the race for the actual win IMO. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kevin Bacon Posted January 9, 2012 Share Posted January 9, 2012 http://www.imdb.com/...hread/191713223It hasn't won often. And when I say often I mean at all.facepalm Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dementeleus Posted January 9, 2012 Share Posted January 9, 2012 HUGO's not a huge bomb: it will lose a sizeable amount of money, but that's because its budget was crazy. It's been very respectable and solid at the box-office, given its subject. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RichWS Posted January 10, 2012 Share Posted January 10, 2012 The DGA and Academy usually go different ways on one nominee. I highly doubt Fincher will get an Oscar nod, and I'm still not sure Dragon Tattoo will get a Picture nod. Without the DGA nod, I don't see how Spielberg's nominated. My money is still on Malick for the fifth slot. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravon80 Posted January 10, 2012 Share Posted January 10, 2012 (edited) The guild love is definitely a huge boost to TGWTDT's chances for a Best Picture nomination. I'd absolutely freak if it got the nomination; no movie this year is more deserving. Fincher actually has a shot at director too. He won't win if he gets in, though.It'd be hard not to call Hugo a bomb though Telemachos. 150-170m budget and it's made back 64m worldwide. That said, the movie itself was absolutely amazing, and in the end, in terms of the art of film and nothing more, that's all that matters and that's what will live on. Edited January 10, 2012 by ravon80 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
fishstick Posted January 10, 2012 Share Posted January 10, 2012 There is no clear frontrunner and DT/Fincher and MiP/Woody look like solid contenders for an upset. One is due, the other hasn`t won in decades. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RichWS Posted January 10, 2012 Share Posted January 10, 2012 If Fincher couldn't win last year for what was widely (and correctly) acknowledged as a masterpiece, how and why would he win this year? He's due? Sure, he's due. Hitchcock was due. Kubrick was due. Scorsese was due for 30 years. Michael Mann, PT Anderson, Nolan... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
fishstick Posted January 10, 2012 Share Posted January 10, 2012 Yeha, but we all know that AMPAS tends to snub the real dela and give a make up award to fluff. And GWTDT is fluff. It may be a well done movie but the content is rtash that won`t stand the test of time just like the books. By the end of this decade, nobody will remember this series. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...