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Bishop54

Weekend Actuals: Ant-Man 24.9M, Pixels 24M, Minions 23M. No movie over 25M, save us Tom Cruise.

By Bishop54, in Numbers and Data

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scoobysaurus Sleeper Hit

scoobysaurus

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 <blockquote class="twitter-tweet" lang="en"><p lang="en" dir="ltr">MINIONS took in $22.93M this weekend. Domestic total stands at $262.45M. <a href="https://twitter.com/hashtag/Minions?src=hash">#Minions</a></p>&mdash; BoxOffice (@BoxOffice) <a href="

27, 2015</a></blockquote>
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<blockquote class="twitter-tweet" lang="en"><p lang="en" dir="ltr">TRAINWRECK took in $17.28M this weekend. Domestic total stands at $61.53M. <a href="https://twitter.com/hashtag/Trainwreck?src=hash">#Trainwreck</a></p>&mdash; BoxOffice (@BoxOffice) <a href=" 27, 2015</a></blockquote>
<script async src="//platform.twitter.com/widgets.js" charset="utf-8"></script>
 
<blockquote class="twitter-tweet" lang="en"><p lang="en" dir="ltr">JURASSIC WORLD took in $7.18M this weekend. Domestic total stands at $624.08M. <a href="https://twitter.com/hashtag/JurassicWorld?src=hash">#JurassicWorld</a></p>&mdash; BoxOffice (@BoxOffice) <a href=" 27, 2015</a></blockquote>
<script async src="//platform.twitter.com/widgets.js" charset="utf-8"></script>
 
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baumer Cinematic Universe

baumer

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Excellent jump for JW. Where's it likely to finish? $650M+? Can it challenge Titanic?

 

Because it jumped 200K?  

 

I think it has a shot at Titanic, but that shot is no more or less than it was when it was estimated at 6.9.

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scoobysaurus Sleeper Hit

scoobysaurus

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Excellent jump for JW. Where's it likely to finish? $650M+? Can it challenge Titanic?

JW needs $34.59m to beat Titanic. Even if you take out the $5m extra that Avengers got after the expansion, TA still made $31.21m after its 7th weekend. If JW follows that it will get within 2-3m of Titanic. If it gets that close I think there's a good chance Universal is going to go for an expansion. However I'd be much happier if it got there without the help. 

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mahnamahna Box Office Gold

mahnamahna

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Excellent jump for JW. Where's it likely to finish? $650M+? Can it challenge Titanic?

I doubt it. It'll drop another 35-40% over the next two weeks. 

 

$4.5 million ($632 million)

$3 million ($637 million)

$2 million ($640 million)

$1.5 million ($642 million)

$1 million ($643 million)

$1.5 million/$2 million ($645 million)

$0.7 million ($646 million)

$0.3 million ($647 million)

$0.4 million ($647 million)

$648-649 million DOM

 

$645-650 million is where it should end up, unless its legs for the weekends leading up to Labor Day are phenomenal (sub-25% drops every week) 

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MinaTakla Box Office Gold

MinaTakla

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I doubt it. It'll drop another 35-40% over the next two weeks. 

 

$4.5 million ($632 million)

$3 million ($637 million)

$2 million ($640 million)

$1.5 million ($642 million)

$1 million ($643 million)

$1.5 million/$2 million ($645 million)

$0.7 million ($646 million)

$0.3 million ($647 million)

$0.4 million ($647 million)

$648-649 million DOM

 

$645-650 million is where it should end up, unless its legs for the weekends leading up to Labor Day are phenomenal (sub-25% drops every week) 

mahnamahna, interested in your DOM projections for Min, Antman and IO from this point forward. I trust your numbers - pretty spot on. I remember you predicted 23.5 for Min last week and 7.5 for IO:)

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redfirebird2008 Global Phenomenon

redfirebird2008

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JW needs $34.59m to beat Titanic. Even if you take out the $5m extra that Avengers got after the expansion, TA still made $31.21m after its 7th weekend. If JW follows that it will get within 2-3m of Titanic. If it gets that close I think there's a good chance Universal is going to go for an expansion. However I'd be much happier if it got there without the help. 

 

Avengers made $8.9m in its 7th weekend. That is almost $2m more than what JP4 just did. Not sure why you would then expect JP4 to follow Avengers' dollar gross from there.

 

What you should be looking at is Avengers' 8th weekend, which was $7.177m (practically identical to JP4's 7th weekend). TA1 made an additional $19.425m from there before the expansion delivered an extra $5m+ at the end of its run.

 

So $624.08m + $20m (slightly better than TA's run from a similar weekend number) would equal $644.08m.

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scoobysaurus Sleeper Hit

scoobysaurus

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Avengers made $8.9m in its 7th weekend. That is almost $2m more than what JP4 just did. Not sure why you would then expect JP4 to follow Avengers' dollar gross from there.

 

What you should be looking at is Avengers' 8th weekend, which was $7.177m (practically identical to JP4's 7th weekend). TA1 made an additional $19.425m from there before the expansion delivered an extra $5m+ at the end of its run.

 

So $624.08m + $20m (slightly better than TA's run from a similar weekend number) would equal $644.08m.

 

I seriously doubt that after it's 7th weekend JW is only going to make as much as TA did after its 8th weekend. That's a whole week being written off. Maybe it won't get to Titanic or even make $650m but it's surely going to make more than $20m from this point IMO. 

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