Monday #s

[Gopher]

It's kind of remarkable how it's either feast or famine at the box office this year. Almost no middle ground of any kind.

 

The 60 mil tentpole is basically extinct, even if it turns into 200-300m worldwide (as they often did). Even Gone Girl-- a smart movie for adults that did 368m off a 61m budget--needed Fincher, Affleck and a hugely popular book to get a greenlight. The midbudget movie has left theaters and moved to TV. 

[terrestrial]

The only movie which the entire forum predicted with less than a 5% divergence from the final gross based on the average prediction would be Ant-Man. We seem to have gone high on most movies, maybe it was the after effect of a great Winter and Spring box office. Jurassic World was missed by everyone by a large margin.

 

Interesting how despite that certain posters here insist on Ant-Man being underperforming...

 

I think you are right, after some bigger movies the expectaions seem to go up, I thought the same also last year after a few bigger surprises

 

People seem to want too fast new records or thinking a few new records highten up the level of the new normal?

 

 

Dope    $6,164    -44%    38    -30    $162    $16,653,527    8

[MinaTakla]

MINIONS took in $1.109M on Monday. Domestic total stands at $303.91M. #Minions

[MinaTakla]

Less than a 50% drop for Minions from Sunday to Monday and -45% drop from last week.

[terrestrial]

Minions    $1,108,665    -50%    3,123    -452    $355    $303,911,805    5    
Trainwreck    $783,855    -53%    2,525    -435    $310    $91,732,835    4    
Jurassic World    $262,965    -53%    1,119    -793    $235    $635,936,805    9    
Ted 2    $21,945    -48%    209    -296    $105    $80,945,630    7

[Bishop54]

Can JW get to $645M without the upcoming theater expansion?

Edited August 11, 2015 by Bishop54

[terrestrial]

The Gift (2015)    $1,351,089    -58%    2,503    --    $540    $13,205,362    1

[Bishop54]

Looks doubtful. The expansion will get it to 645, the major issue it will face during the expansion is that Furious 7, Inside Out, Ultron (and if WB is smart Mad Max and/or San Andreas) will all be expanding that weekend for a one week play. It is to give everyone one last chance to watch a movie on the big screen before summer movie season ends, so people will be spoiled for choice as well.

Mad Max will be on blu-ray on Sept 1, I doubt it sees an expansion.

[JohnnyGossamer]

The 60 mil tentpole is basically extinct, even if it turns into 200-300m worldwide (as they often did). Even Gone Girl-- a smart movie for adults that did 368m off a 61m budget--needed Fincher, Affleck and a hugely popular book to get a greenlight. The midbudget movie has left theaters and moved to TV. 

And, it's tragic. But, yeah, you're right.

[terrestrial]

Fantastic Four (2015)    $2,262,459    -61%    3,995    --    $566    $27,948,196    1

[terrestrial]

Ant-Man    $1,092,833    -54%    2,910    -412    $376    $148,614,824    4    

Paper Towns    $272,692    -34%    1,284    -1747    $212    $29,096,825    3

[terrestrial]

For Captain Craig, who asked for the surety of the day, when the $150m mark will be reached:

 

 

 

$2.5m? I'd say it depends, see:

 

DAY

Iron Man

The Incredible Hulk

Thor: The Dark World

Thor

Captain America

Ant-Man

 

Mon	$5,663,877 -20.4% / +84.4% $258,278,546 / 25	$700,225 -54% / -47.1% $125,541,620 / 25	$531,201 -75.2% / -61% $187,236,287 / 25	$2,546,271 -25.3% / +51.7% $162,439,444 / 25	$985,172 -56.7% / -41.1% $157,956,280 / 25	$1,092,833 /-54% $148,614,824
Tue	$1,561,073 -72.4% / -29.7% $259,839,619 / 26	$701,005 +0.1% / -32.5% $126,242,625 / 26	$655,345 +23.4% / -66.2% $187,891,632 / 26	$853,193 -66.5% / -33.6% $163,292,637 / 26	$1,055,121 +7.1% / -47% $159,011,401 / 26	???????
Wed	$1,395,588 -10.6% / -27.5% $261,235,207 / 27	$699,435 -0.2% / -3.3% $126,942,060 / 27	$498,942 -23.9% / -78.7% $188,390,574 / 27	$772,079 -9.5% / -28.9% $164,064,716 / 27	$810,629 -23.2% / -46.1% $159,822,030 / 27	???????
Thu	$1,389,865 -0.4% / -23.8% $262,625,072 / 28	$639,030 -8.6% / -35.9% $127,581,090 / 28	$509,068 +2% / -75.2% $188,899,642 / 28	$808,188 +4.7% / -14.8% $164,872,904 / 28	$810,084 -0.1% / -41.7% $160,632,114 / 28	???????

 

 

[terrestrial]

Mission: Impossible - Rogue Nation    $3,315,825    -61%    3,988    32    $831    $111,072,404

[MinaTakla]

MISSION: IMPOSSIBLE - ROGUE NATION took in $3.32M on Monday. Domestic total stands at $111.07M. #MissionImpossible #RogueNation

[terrestrial]

Inside Out (2015)    $462,282    -45%    1,358    -546    $340    $335,852,827    8

Spy (2015)    $37,327    -55%    306    -69    $122    $109,518,767    10

[Harpospoke]

This week school out (depending on day) ranges from 76-86%, college 96%

next week drops to 60-70% college 77-83

come 24th  just over 30% school/college left on hols, week b4 labor day less 20%

 

Nice to have that in black and white.

[e1828]

Largest DOMESTIC Totals – After Day 32

1) Jurassic World – $592,840,220 (Mon - $2,150,625)

2) Marvel’s The Avengers - $554,992,773 (Mon - $2,042,375)

3) Avatar - $504,868,451 (Mon - $11,615,834)

4) The Dark Knight - $473,194,356 (Mon - $2,112,206) 
5) Avengers: Age of Ultron - $428,633,715 (Mon - $1,082,288)

6) The Dark Knight Rises - $411,161,725 (Mon - $1,374,465)

7) Iron Man 3 -

$385,942,966 (Mon - $755,230)

8) Pirates Of The Caribbean: Dead Man's Chest - $381,273,783 (Mon - $1,574,139) 

9) Transformers: Revenge of the Fallen - $376,792,804 (Sat - $3,212,572)

10) Shrek 2 - $374,235,745 (Sat - $5,398,242)

11) The Hunger Games: Catching Fire - $373,997,033 (Mon - $2,278,758)

12) Toy Story 3 - $364,856,662 (Mon - $1,891,284)

13) Harry Potter 7b:  Deathly Hallows Part 2 - $358,495,410 (Mon - $1,158,055)

14) The Hunger Games - $358,075,670 (Mon - $1,009,203)

15) Spiderman - $355,330,685 (Mon - $1,507,141) 

16) Star Wars 3: ROTS - $348,140,685 (Sun - $3,512,032)

17) Spiderman 2 - $341,772,127 (Sat - $3,507,392)

 

18) Transformers: Dark of the Moon - $336,181,865 (Sat - $2,466,784)

19) Furious 7 - $331,562,645 (Mon -$494,150)

20) Lord Of The Rings: ROTK - $323,583,085 (Sat - $4,614,194) 

21) Despicable Me 2 -

$323,525,285 (Sat - $4,153,065)

22) Star Wars 1: TPM - $321,252,062 (Sat - $7,338,491)

23) Spiderman 3 - $319,099,696 (Mon - $757,586) 

24) Alice in Wonderland - $310,965,601 (Mon - $1,231,848)

25) The Passion Of The Christ - $310,860,490 (Sat - $5,186,862)

26) Inside Out - $307,830,350 (Mon - $1,583,304)

27) American Sniper - $306,478,136 (Mon - $2,365,038)(1)

28) Minions - $303,911,805 (Mon – 1,108,665)

29) Shrek The Third - $298,399,656 (Mon - $1,154,556)

30) Lord Of The Rings: TT -

$294,814,282 (Sat - $4,521,633)

31) Iron Man 2 - $292,232,099 (Mon - $802,229)

32) Transformers - $292,043,529 (Fri - $1,685,673)

33) The Hunger Games:  Mockingjay Part 1 - $291,072,394 (Mon - $1,716,284)

34) Indiana Jones and the Kingdom of the Crystal Skull - $290,961,044 (Sun - $2,650,456) 

35) Pirates Of The Caribbean: At World's End - $287,984,700 (Mon - $982,984)

36) The Twilight Saga:  Eclipse - $287,003,133 (Sat - $1,536,393)

37) Harry Potter 6:  HBP - $282,238,071 (Sat - $2,045,072)

38) Man of Steel - $281,481,205 (Mon - $592,243)

39) Guardians of the Galaxy - $281,204,119 (Mon - $5,824,589)

40) The Hobbit: An Unexpected Journey - $278,869,783 (Mon - $657,165)

41) Iron Man - $277,397,055 (Mon - $1,230,719)

42) The Twilight Saga:  Breaking Dawn Part 2 - $277,349,871 (Mon - $523,728)

43) The Twilight Saga:  New Moon - $275,569,901 (Mon - $971,582)

44) Star Wars 2: AOTC - $270,752,531 (Sun - $3,308,872)

45) Harry Potter 5: OOTP - $270,279,145 (Sat - $2,089,181)

46) The Twilight Saga:  Breaking Dawn Part 1 - $266,979,401 (Mon - $651,427)

47) Harry Potter 7a:  Deathly Hallows Part 1 - $266,686,635 (Mon - $963,017)

48) Skyfall - $262,288,449 (Mon - $888,168)

49) The Matrix: Reloaded - $257,486,680 (Sun - $1,827,179)

 

1)     Includes $3.4 million before wide release

 

·         On Day 32, boosted by President’s Day 2010, Avatar grosses $11.6 million and crosses the $500 million milestone in the third fastest time.

·         Shrek 2 enters the top10 for the first time where it will not leave, surpassing The Hunger Games: Catching Fire.

·         The Lord of the Rings:  Return of the King overtakes Despicable Me 2 by less than $100K to crack into the top 20.

·         Star Wars Episode I:  The Phantom Menace overwhelms a slowing Spiderman 3.

·         The Passion of the Christ overtakes Inside Out.

·         The Lord of the Rings:  The Two Towers climbs another 2 spots.

·         Guardians of the Galaxy on Labor Day 2014, jumps up another 3 spots to #39.

[e1828]

Largest DOMESTIC Totals – After Day 53

1) Jurassic World – $632,193,750 (Mon - $592,720)

2) Avatar - $631,595,771 (Mon - $2,251,567)

3) Marvel’s The Avengers - $599,387,534 (Mon - $962,092)

4) The Dark Knight - $512,374,922 (Mon - $377,264) 
5) Avengers: Age of Ultron - $449,772,697 (Mon - $325,340)

6) The Dark Knight Rises - $438,033,912 (Mon - $251,430)

7) Shrek 2 - $417,193,398 (Sat - $1,752,531)

8) The Hunger Games: Catching Fire -

$414,069,798 (Mon - $293,939)

9) Pirates Of The Caribbean: Dead Man's Chest - $407,969,720 (Mon - $425,104)

10) Iron Man 3 - $403,366,227 (Mon - $208,423)

11) Toy Story 3 - $396,924,616 (Mon - $537,274)

12) Transformers: Revenge of the Fallen - $396,379,240 (Sat - $700,649)

13) Spiderman - $390,935,574 (Mon - $553,261) 

14) The Hunger Games - $387,405,528 (Mon - $398,480)

15) Star Wars 1: TPM - $382,938,277 (Sat - $3,174,114)

16) Harry Potter 7b:  Deathly Hallows Part 2 - $375,552,093 (Mon - $928,509)

17) Star Wars 3: ROTS - $370,819,889 (Sun - $743,029)

18) Spiderman 2 - $364,504,392 (Sat - $1,092,455) 

19) The Passion Of The Christ - $359,530,498 (Sat - $1,692,518)

20) Despicable Me 2 - $349,916,015 (Sat - $1,100,575)

21) Lord Of The Rings: ROTK - $349,762,348 (Sat - $2,014,866)

 

22) Transformers: Dark of the Moon - $348,360,601 (Sat - $256,299)

23) Furious 7 - $347,723,320 (Mon - $562,050)

24) Titanic - $338,710,764 (Mon - $1,355,098)

25) American Sniper - $337,442,628 (Mon - $342,258)(1)

26) Inside Out - $335,852,827 (Mon - $462,282)

27) Spiderman 3 -

$332,656,946 (Mon - $170,688)

28) The Hunger Games:  Mockingjay Part 1 - $329,793,175 (Mon - $252,729)

29) Frozen - $328,428,836 (Sat - $5,282,199)(2)

30) Alice in Wonderland - $327,711,455 (Mon - $174,432)

31) Lord Of The Rings: TT - $319,764,713 (Sat - $1,616,216)

32) Shrek The Third - $316,959,197 (Mon - $218,942)

33) Guardians of the Galaxy - $314,095,356 (Mon - $364,039)

34) Indiana Jones and the Kingdom of the Crystal Skull - $310,487,614 (Sun - $668,315) 

35) Transformers - $307,766,814 (Fri - $318,525)

36) Iron Man 2 - $307,138,110 (Mon - $194,463)

37) Iron Man - $305,369,088 (Mon - $552,947)

38) Finding Nemo - $304,986,395 (Mon - $1,190,675)

39) Pirates Of The Caribbean: At World's End - $304,641,560 (Mon - $187,137)

40) Harry Potter 1: SS - $300,739,434 (Mon - $335,000)

 

1)     Includes $3.4 million before wide release

2)     Includes $342K before wide release.

 

·         Avatar is within $1 million of overtaking Jurassic World for the top spot!

·         Frozen, Finding Nemo and The Lord of the Rings: ROTK all gain one spot on Day 53.

[Fake]

Good for MI5........ it might still have a shot at beating the first one. Needs sub-40% drop for that this weekend.

[e1828]

Largest DOMESTIC Totals – After Day 60

1) Avatar - $666,388,502 (Mon - $5,171,224) 

2) Jurassic World – $635,936,805 (Mon - $262,965)

3) Marvel’s The Avengers - $607,219,521 (Mon - $714,777)

4) The Dark Knight - $518,070,111 (Mon - $277,347) 
5) Avengers: Age of Ultron - $452,722,320 (Mon - $248,127)

6) The Dark Knight Rises - $441,259,444 (Mon - $206,366)

7) Shrek 2 -

$423,892,732 (Sat - $1,222,447)

8) The Hunger Games: Catching Fire - $418,019,611 (Mon - $568,638)

9) Pirates Of The Caribbean: Dead Man's Chest - $414,013,957 (Mon - $1,130,613) 

10) Iron Man 3 - $405,557,106 (Mon - $163,901)

11) Toy Story 3 - $401,215,022 (Mon - $390,196)

12) Transformers: Revenge of the Fallen - $398,204,786 (Sat - $433,846)

13) Spiderman - $396,370,509 (Mon - $496,038)

14) Star Wars 1: TPM - $393,411,782 (Sat - $2,391,709) 

15) The Hunger Games - $391,934,445 (Mon - $353,004)

16) Harry Potter 7b:  Deathly Hallows Part 2 - $377,190,929 (Mon - $86,245)

17) Titanic - $376,270,721 (Mon - $4,708,477)

18) Star Wars 3: ROTS - $373,926,219 (Sun - $535,588)

19) Spiderman 2 - $367,377,481 (Sat - $705,840) 

20) The Passion Of The Christ - $363,683,801 (Sat - $915,508)

21) Lord Of The Rings: ROTK - $355,035,095 (Sat - $1,957,907)

 

22) Despicable Me 2 - $353,607,895 (Sat - $1,072,045)

23) Furious 7 - $349,346,140 (Mon - $96,780)

24) Transformers: Dark of the Moon - $349,273,584 (Sat - $278,818)

25) Frozen -

$345,045,033 (Sat - $4,222,805)(1) 

26) American Sniper - $341,612,973 (Mon - $232,068)(2)

27) Spiderman 3 - $333,790,022 (Mon - $96,596)

28) The Hunger Games:  Mockingjay Part 1 - $332,930,936 (Mon - $414,495)

29) Alice in Wonderland - $329,804,952 (Mon - $118,286)

30) Lord Of The Rings: TT - $323,961,909 (Sat - $1,308,564)

31) Guardians of the Galaxy - $319,453,527 (Mon - $284,311)

32) Shrek The Third - $318,172,378 (Mon - $92,543)

33) Finding Nemo - $313,820,324 (Mon - $700,426)

34) Indiana Jones and the Kingdom of the Crystal Skull - $312,569,461 (Sun - $271,152) 

35) Iron Man - $309,516,225 (Mon - $336,907) 

36) Transformers - $309,280,224 (Fri - $246,074)

37) Iron Man 2 - $308,530,297 (Mon - $237,520)

38) Pirates Of The Caribbean: At World's End - $306,145,052 (Mon - $110,594)

39) Harry Potter 1: SS - $305,532,880 (Mon - $221,000)

 

1)     Includes $342K before wide release.

2)     Includes $3.4 million before wide release

 

·         Avatar has a massive take on Day 60 with $5.17 million due to Presidents Day 2009.

·         On Labor Day 2006, Pirates of the Caribbean: DMC grosses $1.13m.

·         On Presidents Day 1998, Titanic, with $4.7 million, overtakes Star Wars Episode III: ROTS.

             ·         Star Wars Episode I: TPM overtakes The Hunger Games.

               ·         Frozen climbs another spot to crack the top 25.