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Thursday #s: Idk, what's going on with you?

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Expected Thursday numbers. Compton is most likely winning the weekend by a significant margin against the newcomers.

 

Compton is guaranteed to win the weekend. Sinister 2's reviews have ensured that it won't appeal to general audience so probably $20 million is its ceiling now. SOC should do $26-27 million easily.

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Hmpf, weekend openers:

RTs

Hitman 6%

Sinister 2 7%

American Ultra 39%

She's funny that way 36%

Grandma 88%

 

BO.com's  w/e forecast

Straight Outta Compton     $32,500,000     $117,200,000
Sinister 2         $14,500,000     $14,500,000
MI5    $11,500,000     $157,300,000
American Ultra         $9,000,000     $9,000,000
Hitman: Agent 47     $8,000,000     $8,000,000
The Man from U.N.C.L.E.         $7,000,000     $26,200,000
The Gift (2015)         $4,000,000     $30,700,000
Fantastic Four (2015)     $3,900,000     $49,900,000
Ant-Man         $3,800,000     $164,200,000
Minions         $3,600,000     $319,600,000
Ricki and the Flash         $3,100,000     $20,300,000
Vacation (2015)         $3,000,000     $52,100,000

Last week they were pretty good with UNCLE, and underestimated like all the others Straight Outta Compton, but not as much as some others

last week's forecast:

Straight Outta Compton     $55,000,000     $55,000,000
Mission: Impossible - Rogue Nation         $18,500,000     $140,500,000
The Man from U.N.C.L.E.         $14,000,000     $14,000,000

....

 

Curious to see how near they'll be this time

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No #s for Fox yet.   Probably too embarrassed about F4.

 

 

August 21 Estimates
Updated Thursday afternoons
 

View Index Next Year > Next Week >>
Rank LW Title Distributor Theater Count Change % Change Week #
> NEW RELEASES
3 - Hitman: Agent 47 Fox 3,100 - - 1
5 - American Ultra Lionsgate 2,778 - - 1
6 - Sinister 2 Focus Features 2,766 - - 1
38 - After Words Level 33 Entertainment 10 - - 1
39 - Grandma (2015) Sony Classics 4 - - 1
40 - Learning to Drive Broad Green Pictures 4 - - 1
41 - The Quay Brothers in 35mm Zeitgeist 1 - - 1
42 - Slow Learners IFC 1 - - 1
> EXPANDING
1 3 The Man From U.N.C.L.E. Warner Bros. 3,673 +35 +1.0% 2
4 5 Straight Outta Compton Universal 3,024 +267 +9.7% 2
19 26 Magic Mike XXL Warner Bros. 245 +83 +51.2% 8
20 22 Terminator: Genisys Paramount 236 +51 +27.6% 8
26 39 Phoenix (2015) IFC 108 +54 +100.0% 5
27 52 The Diary of a Teenage Girl Sony Classics 69 +47 +213.6% 3
33 50 Testament of Youth Sony Classics 31 +6 +24.0% 12
37 64 The Young & Prodigious T.S. Spivet Weinstein Company 11 +2 +22.2% 4
> NO CHANGE
31 45 Island of Lemurs: Madagascar (IMAX) Warner Bros. 35 - - 73
> DECLINING
2 2 Mission: Impossible - Rogue Nation Paramount 3,442 -258 -7.0% 4
7 4 Vacation Warner Bros. (New Line) 2,302 -786 -25.5% 4
8 6 Minions Universal 2,218 -422 -16.0% 7
9 9 Ant-Man Buena Vista 2,016 -290 -12.6% 6
10 11 Ricki and the Flash TriStar 2,013 -51 -2.5% 3
11 8 Shaun the Sheep Movie Lionsgate 1,678 -682 -28.9% 3
12 10 Pixels Sony / Columbia 1,349 -827 -38.0% 5
13 12 Trainwreck Universal 1,330 -668 -33.4% 6
14 13 Southpaw Weinstein Company 1,058 -669 -38.7% 5
15 14 Inside Out Buena Vista 821 -198 -19.4% 10
16 15 Jurassic World Universal 572 -166 -22.5% 11
17 17 Mr. Holmes Roadside Attractions 429 -160 -27.2% 6
18 19 Max (2015) Warner Bros. 303 -1 -0.3% 9
21 20 San Andreas Warner Bros. 233 -33 -12.4% 13
22 18 Irrational Man Sony Classics 185 -240 -56.5% 6
23 24 Mad Max: Fury Road Warner Bros. 128 -40 -23.8% 15
24 23 Ted 2 Universal 119 -57 -32.4% 9
25 25 Brothers: Blood Against Blood Fox Star Studios 112 -52 -31.7% 2
28 33 The Gallows Warner Bros. (New Line) 46 -28 -37.8% 7
29 37 Love & Mercy Roadside Attractions 41 -14 -25.5% 12
30 38 I'll See You In My Dreams Bleecker Street 35 -19 -35.2% 15
32 36 Infinitely Polar Bear Sony Classics 34 -26 -43.3% 10
34 35 Cop Car Focus Features 25 -35 -58.3% 3
35 44 The Stanford Prison Experiment IFC 25 -11 -30.6% 6
36 42 Self/Less Focus Features 21 -20 -48.8% 7

 

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Expected Thursday numbers. Compton is most likely winning the weekend by a significant margin against the newcomers.

 

Yep.  It might make more combined than the newcomers. ;)

 

Last year on this w/e in the top 10 jumps were from 77-99.8% with most in the mid 80s to 90s. Even with an 85% Friday jump it'd do $28m

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deadline says Compton made $4.6m on Thursday

They expect a 40% to 50% 2nd weekend for it

The best preview was $850k for Sinister 2

 

http://deadline.com/2015/08/straight-outta-compton-sinister-2-american-ultra-agent-47-box-office-opening-1201503182/

 

The rest about the previews is at the new weekend thread to find

http://forums.boxofficetheory.com/topic/19916-the-weekend-topic-sinister-2-850k-hitman-600k-american-425k/

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Interesting note: Minions, starting this week, is back to DM2's dailies. Almost had an identical 6th week as that of DM2's 6th week and actually increased today on DM2's 6th Thursday with 20K. It's also down -22% from last Thursday (which it scored 960K in).

Its 5th week was a bit lower than DM2 though.

Edited by MinaTakla
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Straight Outta Compton    $4,550,020    -13%    2,757    --    $1,650    $84,723,470    1    
Mission: Impossible - Rogue Nation    $1,700,446    -3%    3,700    -288    $460    $146,063,039    3    
Trainwreck    $409,625    -15%    1,998    -527    $205    $99,934,110    5

Kahlil Gibran's The Prophet    $10,143    111%    12    10    $845    $95,799    2    
Cop Car    $6,093    -33%    60    57    $102    $115,173    2    
Self/Less    $4,437    23%    41    -65    $108    $12,271,630    
Dope    $3,205    -14%    28    -10    $114    $16,710,673    9    
Metropolitan (2015 re-issue)    $795    14%    3    2    $265    $18,252    2
Beyond the Mask    $118    392%    3    0    $39    $1,236,094    19

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