WrathOfHan Posted December 7, 2015 Author Share Posted December 7, 2015 New predictions: Original: 1. Spotlight 2. Inside Out 3. The Hateful Eight 4. Bridge of Spies 5. Trainwreck Spoilers: Son of Saul, Love and Mercy Joy bombing throws a big question mark for the fifth spot. Trainwreck seems like the best possibility. Adapted: 1. The Martian 2. Carol 3. Steve Jobs 4. The Revenant 5. Brooklyn Spoilers: Room, Creed It's getting harder and harder for Jobs to win this, it needs a BP nomination to win IMO. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Impact Posted December 13, 2015 Share Posted December 13, 2015 Original Screenplay: Bridge of Spies The Hateful Eight Inside Out Spotlight Suffragette Alt: Trainwreck Adapted Screenplay: Brooklyn Carol The Martian The Revenant Room Alt: Steve Jobs Took me a while for original screenplay. Went with Suffergate as it just seems like something the Oscars would like-Trainwreck is something that would of been nominated before the indies took over that category (though Bridesmaids did get nominated, but it use to be a lot more common for mainstream comedies to be nominated for OS) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Impact Posted December 13, 2015 Share Posted December 13, 2015 Forgot about Big Short! Is that original or adapted? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
4815162342 Posted December 13, 2015 Share Posted December 13, 2015 Adapted. It's based on a book written by the same guy who wrote the Blind Side and Moneyball books. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Impact Posted December 13, 2015 Share Posted December 13, 2015 1 minute ago, 4815162342 said: Adapted. It's based on a book written by the same guy who wrote the Blind Side and Moneyball books. Okay thanks! Not sure what to knock out with it-probably Room. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TStechnij Posted December 13, 2015 Share Posted December 13, 2015 Joy should still be fine in original. The category is weak and the script is fine. The Academg still loves DOR and they aren't really going to care if the critics are being petty about him. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Panda Posted December 13, 2015 Share Posted December 13, 2015 17 hours ago, Impact said: Forgot about Big Short! Is that original or adapted? Adapted, and it should get in. It got a Globe nom and the screenplay is one of the highlights apparently. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ezen Baklattan Posted December 13, 2015 Share Posted December 13, 2015 ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY Bridge of Spies The Hateful Eight Inside Out Spotlight Son of Saul Inside Out, Spotlight, and The Hateful Eight seem approximate to being locked at this point (with Spotlight being the only one 100% guaranteed), and Bridge of Spies has enough prowess to get the fourth spot. I'd say Son of Saul is getting the last spot, as Foreign contenders usually can sneak into these categories, and reviews are great so far. If anything can keep the fifth spot from Joy, it's that. ADAPTED SCREENPLAY Anomalisa The Big Short Carol Room Steve Jobs Anomalisa is the only questionable pick of these three, but given the current raves and the Academy's love of Kaufman, I see it getting in. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Impact Posted December 15, 2015 Share Posted December 15, 2015 On 12/13/2015 12:55:12, The Panda said: Adapted, and it should get in. It got a Globe nom and the screenplay is one of the highlights apparently. So should I drop Brooklyn or Room? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jake Gittes Posted December 15, 2015 Share Posted December 15, 2015 Original Bridge of Spies The Hateful Eight Inside Out Spotlight Trainwreck Adapted Anomalisa The Big Short Carol The Martian Steve Jobs Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoolioD1 Posted December 15, 2015 Share Posted December 15, 2015 bridge of spies ex machina h8ful 8 inside out spotlight the big short brooklyn carol room steve jobs Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Impact Posted December 22, 2015 Share Posted December 22, 2015 Which film should I replace with The Big Short you think-Brooklyn or Room? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoolioD1 Posted December 22, 2015 Share Posted December 22, 2015 The Martian and The Revenant are more likely to be left out than those two... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WrathOfHan Posted December 22, 2015 Author Share Posted December 22, 2015 Adapted (with precursor wins/nominations): 1. The Big Short (0/3) 2. Room (3/13) 3. The Martian (1/10) ------------------------ 4. Carol (2/10) ------------------------ 5. Steve Jobs (0/14) 6. Brooklyn (1/8) 7. The Revenant (0/2) 8. Star Wars (0/0) I don't think anything is locked here. The Big Short is a late bloomer and is the only movie that can challenge Spotlight at this point so I have it #1 here. Room has picked up a lot of precursors and NBR has an insane track record for Adapted Screenplay so I'm not doubting The Martian. Carol has fared pretty well in precursors but no Globe nomination is a concern. The last spot's pretty tough; right now I'm going with Steve Jobs since it has the most precursor nominations. Brooklyn is losing steam, The Revenant really hasn't done well in precursors, and then there's the unknown quantity of Star Wars. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Impact Posted December 29, 2015 Share Posted December 29, 2015 Update for adapted: The Big Short Brooklyn Carol The Martian Room Alt: The Revenant Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Impact Posted December 31, 2015 Share Posted December 31, 2015 Original Screenplay update: Bridge of Spies The Hateful Eight Inside Out Spotlight Straight Outta Compton Alt: Trainwreck Adding in Compton, though music films tend to never be nominated here, but still you never know! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ezen Baklattan Posted January 6, 2016 Share Posted January 6, 2016 I'm starting to wonder if IO misses Original Screenplay. The guilds are largely ignoring it, and a lot of rising newcomers are also competing for the original category. Primarily Ex Machina, Sicario, and SOC. I know it wasn't eligible for WGA, but I'm still concerned. Even just how this film is getting cast to the wayside is wildly frustrating. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
narniadis Posted January 6, 2016 Share Posted January 6, 2016 3 minutes ago, Spaghetti said: I'm starting to wonder if IO misses Original Screenplay. The guilds are largely ignoring it, and a lot of rising newcomers are also competing for the original category. Primarily Ex Machina, Sicario, and SOC. I know it wasn't eligible for WGA, but I'm still concerned. Even just how this film is getting cast to the wayside is wildly frustrating. It's weird - the academy fell all over themselves to get UP in on what it could back in '09, but in what is arguably a weaker year and to me a much better script in Inside Out, I can't figure out why its not making more traction. Particularly how in the summer it was all the pundits were talking about (its award chances.) If Anamolisa was taking the heat away I could understand that, but even that film isn't making much traction. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WrathOfHan Posted January 6, 2016 Author Share Posted January 6, 2016 25 minutes ago, Spaghetti said: I'm starting to wonder if IO misses Original Screenplay. The guilds are largely ignoring it, and a lot of rising newcomers are also competing for the original category. Primarily Ex Machina, Sicario, and SOC. I know it wasn't eligible for WGA, but I'm still concerned. Even just how this film is getting cast to the wayside is wildly frustrating. IO should still be safe. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blankments Posted January 14, 2016 Share Posted January 14, 2016 Personal rankings: Inside Out Bridge of Spies Spotlight Ex Machina Straight Outta Compton ------------ The Big Short The Martian I need to see Brooklyn, Carol, and Room. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
