Weekend Estimates (pg49): Mockingjay 101M | Spectre 14.6M | Night Before 10.1M | SITE 6.63M

[WrathOfHan]

http://deadline.com/2015/11/hunger-games-mockingjay-part-2-weekend-box-office-the-night-before-the-secret-in-their-eyes-1201631411/

Edited November 22, 2015 by WrathOfHan

[Bastien]

MEHHHH

 

115m$ OW

[keysersoze123]

To me this is quite ok considering how bad the theater reports were. It needs OD close to MJ1 as well.

[John Marston]

Not bad for MJ but not great either. Kind of ho hum

[grim22]

Kind of disappointing for MJ2, IMAX+finale factor + 7pm opening opposed to MJ1 8pm previews and it still ends up with the lowest preview numbers for the franchise. 115M OW if it acts like MJ1, could increase if more casual audience checks it out over the weekend but the heights of THG and CF seem like a long time ago.

[WrathOfHan]

Disappointing for Mockingjay but I think it can push ahead of Part 1's OW.

 

I thought Night Before could get a little bit more. Neighbors earned 2.5M and ended up grossing 49M on OW so we'll see how this turns out.

 

 

[keysersoze123]

Global BO is at 43m. So its wednesday/thursday number is at 27m. That is quite decent as well.

[Filmovie]

Estimated Top +7 m Midnight Grosses of All-Time

Rank / Title / Gross / Share of Opening Day

1. Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows Part 2: $43.5 million (47.7 percent)

2. The Dark Knight Rises: $30.6 million (40.4 percent)

3. The Twilight Saga: Breaking Dawn - Part 2 30.4 mln

4. The Twilight Saga: Breaking Dawn - Part 1: $30.25 million (42.2 percent)

5. The Twiilght Saga: Eclipse: $30.1 million (43.9 percent)

6. Avengers Age of Ultron 27,6 million

7. The Twilight Saga: New Moon: $26.27 million (36.1 percent)

8. The Hunger Games – Catching Fire $25.26 million

9. Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows Part 1: $24 million (38.9 percent)

10. Harry Potter and the Half-Blood Prince: $22.8 million (39.2 percent)

11. The Hunger Games: $19.735 million (29.3 percent)

12. Marvel's The Avengers: $18.7 million (23.1 percent)

13. The Dark Knight: $18.5 million (27.5 percent)

14. Jurassic World 18,5 million

15. The Hunger Games – Mockingjay part 1 17 million

16. Star Wars: Episode III - Revenge of the Sith: $16.9 million (33.8 percent)

17. Transformers : Revenge of the Fallen: $16.8 million (27.1 percent)

18. The Hunger Games – Mockingjay part 2 16 million

19. Furious 7 15,8 mln

20. Iron Man 3 15.6 mln

21. Transformers : Dark of the Moon: $13,5 million

22. The Hobbit – Un unexpected journey 13 mln

23. Harry Potter and the Order of the Phoenix: $12 million (27.1 percent)

24. Guardians of The Galaxy 11.2 mln

25. The Hobbit – Battle of the 5 armies 11.2 mln

26. The Hangover Part II: $10.4 million (32.9 percent)

27. Captain America 2 10.2 mln

28. Spider-Man 3: $10 million (16.7 percent)

29. Godzilla 9.3 mln

30. Man of Steel 9 mln

31. Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Man's Chest: $9 million (16.1 percent)

32. The Hobbit – The desolation of Smaug 8.8 mln

33. Transformers 8.8 mln

34. Transformers: Age of Extinction 8,75 mln

35. The Amazing Spider-Man 2 8.7 mln

36. Fifty Shades of Grey 8,6 mln

37. The Fault in Our Stars 8.2 mln

38. X-Men Days of Future Past 8.1 mln

39. Paranormal Activity 3: $8 million (30.4 percent)

40. The Lord of the Rings: The Return of the King: $8 million (23.2 percent)

41. Iron Man 2: $7.5 million (14.6 percent)

42. The Amazing Spider-Man 7.5 mln

43. Thor 2 7,1 mln

[Kalderic]

Not awful, but clearly the finale factor isnt as big a deal here. Bodes very poorly for the coming Divergent films. lol

[Aplandg]

I still think it'll beat MJ1's OW. But obviously not by much anymore. 

[John Marston]

Also previews began at 7 compared to MJ1's 8pm start 

[Nutterbutter]

Forbes touts it an "okay $16M." 

[Aplandg]

I don't think 7 or 8 really changes much. People would've gone at 8pm just as likely as they'd go at 7. Same with the following showtimes. 

[DAJK]

Oh well. I guess I'll spend my day wondering when Rth is going to show up.

[Fullbuster]

While it's not horrible 116m despite Imax and inflation is quite underwhelming

[John Marston]

Why would it open higher than MJ1 when it had a lower preview showing from an earlier start?

[Fullbuster]

11 minutes ago, grim22 said:

Kind of disappointing for MJ2, IMAX+finale factor + 7pm opening opposed to MJ1 8pm previews and it still ends up with the lowest preview numbers for the franchise. 115M OW if it acts like MJ1, could increase if more casual audience checks it out over the weekend but the heights of THG and CF seem like a long time ago.

RIP Raphael :(

[Aplandg]

2 minutes ago, John Marston said:

Why would it open higher than MJ1 when it had a lower preview showing from an earlier start?

 

Cause The Hunger Games works in mysterious ways...

[PenguinHyphy]

41 minutes ago, WrathOfHan said:

Disappointing for Mockingjay but I think it can push ahead of Part 1's OW.

 

I thought Night Before could get a little bit more. Neighbors earned 2.5M and ended up grossing 49M on OW so we'll see how this turns out.

 

 

 

The Night Before will be lucky to open to 1/5 of Neighbors' opening. 

Edited November 20, 2015 by PenguinHyphy

[The Futurist]

If this is frontloaded, this could get ugly ...