pieman Posted October 17, 2012 Share Posted October 17, 2012 (edited) I think Hitchcock will get votes from many of the same people who nominated Midnight in Parisjust as,Silver Linings Playbook = The DescendantsThe Master = The Tree of LifeBeasts of the Southern Wild = Winter's BoneLife of Pi = HugoArgo = Moneyball/The Social NetworkLincoln = War Horse Edited October 17, 2012 by pieman Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CloneWars Posted October 17, 2012 Share Posted October 17, 2012 This a great year. It is very refreshing that we seem to have three frontrunners at the moment with Argo, Lincoln, and Les Mis. Glad that we have such a solid crop of movies this year. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
riczhang Posted October 17, 2012 Share Posted October 17, 2012 I think that the problem with Argo is that like Ip in the Air which I think is a perfect comparison for Argo it's peaking too early. It's been seen now, so the only way for it to sustain it's momentum IMO is if it wins critics awards but I really don't see it winning enough over the likes of Amour, and The Master to sustain it's momentum. Plus even if te more mainstream awards decide to go with something mainstream SLP is probably the better bet.I think that the 2 frontrunners we'll end up with in 2 months will be Les Mis and either Lincoln or Pi. Les Mis's buzz is high but it hasn't been seen yet, so when it gets screened to guilds and it gets released on Christmas all that energy and the energy from the probably phenomenal BO will carry it's already high momentum all the way through to the Oscars. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pieman Posted October 17, 2012 Share Posted October 17, 2012 Yeah, Argo will peak. Up in the Air started gaining momentum in late November and still peaked before the Oscars. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CloneWars Posted October 17, 2012 Share Posted October 17, 2012 I think that the problem with Argo is that like Ip in the Air which I think is a perfect comparison for Argo it's peaking too early. It's been seen now, so the only way for it to sustain it's momentum IMO is if it wins critics awards but I really don't see it winning enough over the likes of Amour, and The Master to sustain it's momentum. Plus even if te more mainstream awards decide to go with something mainstream SLP is probably the better bet.I think that the 2 frontrunners we'll end up with in 2 months will be Les Mis and either Lincoln or Pi. Les Mis's buzz is high but it hasn't been seen yet, so when it gets screened to guilds and it gets released on Christmas all that energy and the energy from the probably phenomenal BO will carry it's already high momentum all the way through to the Oscars.I agree. I think Argo is peaking too early. It will be hard for a film like it to keep its momentum. Ironically, if Les Mis was peaking right now, I do think it would be able to keep that momentum going because of the kind of film it is. But yah, Argo does have a lot to overcome in the coming months and the fact that we have such strong front-runners this years will make things though. Up in the Air peaked early and nowhere near faced the sort of competition that Argo is coming up against. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RichWS Posted October 18, 2012 Share Posted October 18, 2012 Up in the Air pretty much peaked after Toronto and Telluride. Ultimately, I don't think Argo will win Picture. and I say that as a huge fan of the film. However, I do think it has a better shot at the big prize than Up in the Air ever did. It's a stronger film. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MovieMan89 Posted October 18, 2012 Share Posted October 18, 2012 Argo is an awesome movie that I can't find much wrong with but there just seems to be that certain something missing from it that would give it BP. It just doesn't seem like a BP winner. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
acsc1312 Posted October 18, 2012 Share Posted October 18, 2012 I think ZDT was smart in its release date. It comes out at the right time to maybe pass Argo and compete with Lea Mis. I have a weird feeling its gonna do really well in many categories. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Futurist Posted October 19, 2012 Share Posted October 19, 2012 Up in the Air was not very good.Pseudo post modern crap with cynical characters who are as stupid as they are pretentious.Argo seems to have a lot more bite to it and a real director behind the camera which can't hurt. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
4815162342 Posted October 19, 2012 Share Posted October 19, 2012 Up in the Air was very good.Definitely a smart commentary on the dehumanization of modern capitalism. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Futurist Posted October 19, 2012 Share Posted October 19, 2012 I found it cliché and boring as hell.I remember nothing about this film except characters passing their time feeling sorry about themselves. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Travod Posted October 19, 2012 Share Posted October 19, 2012 Loved Up in the Air.GLOCAL. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RichWS Posted October 19, 2012 Share Posted October 19, 2012 I think ZDT was smart in its release date. It comes out at the right time to maybe pass Argo and compete with Lea Mis. I have a weird feeling its gonna do really well in many categories.I've been getting that feeling recently as well. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Michael Gary Scott Posted October 19, 2012 Share Posted October 19, 2012 Up in the air was awesome. Anna kendrick was great if it wasnt for monique she may have won an oscar. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
riczhang Posted October 19, 2012 Share Posted October 19, 2012 I've been getting that feeling recently as well.ZDT is too similar to THL to win, or even be a contender IMO, it'll get a nom at the most. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pieman Posted October 19, 2012 Share Posted October 19, 2012 It's too soon since The Hurt Locker to reward ZDT. It was also a huge stretch for the academy to give that film a best picture oscar and that was mainly motivated by the story behind it all (the first female director, the "david vs. goliath" story). Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Futurist Posted October 19, 2012 Share Posted October 19, 2012 It's too soon since The Hurt Locker to reward ZDT. It was also a huge stretch for the academy to give that film a best picture oscar and that was mainly motivated by the story behind it all (the first female director, the "david vs. goliath" story)., nobody really cared about THL, it was just a mean to an end :not giving a second oscar to a canadian that Hollywood kinda loathes. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pieman Posted October 19, 2012 Share Posted October 19, 2012 1. Les Miserables2. Argo3. Life of Pi4. Silver Linings Playbook5. Lincoln6. Zero Dark Thirty7. The Master8. Beasts of the Southern Wild Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
fishstick Posted October 20, 2012 Share Posted October 20, 2012 , nobody really cared about THL, it was just a mean to an end :not giving a second oscar to a canadian that Hollywood kinda loathes.Thank you. THL was riding the "lets make history and award a woman" coattails as well as " battle of exes" coattails. If THL was directed by Ben Affleck or any male and had that zilch boxoffice and no marrital connection with another Oscar contender, it wouldn`t have been nominated in any category. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoolioD1 Posted October 20, 2012 Share Posted October 20, 2012 (edited) Well then thank God Kathryn Bigelow made it then because it brought a great, underseen movie into the spotlight. Edited October 20, 2012 by CoolioD1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
