Star Wars Tuesday - 37.3M (Tele/baumer bet for Wednesday drop is on page 24...much to learn one of them still has)

[Orestes]

Yeah, 1b isn't likely, but for literally anything else, 1b talk would be batshit insane. That it isn't in TFAs case is in itself batshit insane.

[Accursed Arachnid!™]

I love bets. I'm taking baumer's side, even though I think it drops harder than 5%, I doubt it falls more than 10. If it was flatter or increased on Tuesday then I could see that but the drop on tues should mute the drop on wed. We'll see. 

[Ethan Hunt]

3 minutes ago, Darth AndyLL said:

 

Let me re-phrase your question...

 

Are people buying that a movie released over the Christmas holidays with great WOM can over a 4 multiplier?  

 

 

Well yeah... But that movie opened three times higher than we have ever seen a movie open in December. Hobbit 1 multi is my current expectation. 

[#ED]

The 1B talk is serious?

 

[Jandrew]

17 minutes ago, Darth Rallax said:

 

Of course people are going to talk about $1B!  This is the first time it has ever even been a possibility, so let's have fun with it!  

 

If it wasn't the holidays we probably wouldn't even think about it, but all it needs is a 4x.  Which makes this not impossible. 

 

I didnt we cant have fun with it, just dont take it as gospel. Im treating it as a possibility, not an expectation. 

[MovieMan89]

You doubters will all be rethinking your "1b isn't likely" talk when it has passed TDK by Sunday. 

 

Meanwhile, I am gonna sit back, relax, and relish in the fact of joining the $1 billion TFA club before the tickets went on sale.  

[Accursed Arachnid!™]

6 minutes ago, K1Rey said:

Another spidey record down the drain 

 

 

Why you want to make me cry, Kelz???? 

[Ethan Hunt]

1 minute ago, #ED2-D2 said:

The 1B talk is serious?

 

Apparently we need a reason to be disappointed in the films performance

[seduh]

Amazing number. It will wall about 15% today to a $31,7 Wednesday and a $20,9 Thrusday leading to a $130 second weekend. It's going to destroy records that will be so difficult to surprass.

[CJohn]

Just now, DarthArachnid!™ said:

 

Why you want to make me cry, Kelz???? 

It was a record from Amazing Spider-Man. Even Sony is happy it was taken away. In that way, nobody remembers it exists 

[GiantCALBears]

13 minutes ago, Baumer Fett said:

 

LOL, no it doesn't, the facct that it was a Tuesday yesterday means tickets were sold at a lesser cost, so it obviously sold more than TASM<.

Lol B get out of here w/ your discount Tuesday, it's holiday pricing right now for most theater chains. Plus Imax/3D share is obviously much larger for TFA so you are wrong IMO. It didn't obviously sell more tickets.

[Sagemode87]

1 hour ago, CelestialFairyIX said:

Can this hit $68+ million and take the record for highest Wednesday gross from The Twilight Saga: Eclipse?!  LOL 

Yeah, let's just give this undeserving movie every single record out there lol. 

[Accursed Arachnid!™]

1 minute ago, CJ Ren said:

nobody remembers it exists 

 

I do. 

[baumer]

Getting a 4x doesnt seem so crazy IF it performs over the weekend the we THINK it will. And we are just using the past to extrapolate the future. Sometimes that's a dangerous thing to do as the movies from 2010 might not reflect what is going to happen in 2015. But I will say this, if it does perform like 2010, and it really does have a 45 / 50 million dollar Saturday, then it will hit a billion.

[WrathOfHan]

Just now, Sagemode87 said:

Yeah, let's just give this undeserving movie every single record out there lol. 

We get it, you don't like the movie.

[Dementeleus]

I'll post some interesting comps when I get back to my computer.  

[Jayhawk the Hutt]

2 minutes ago, Sagemode87 said:

Yeah, let's just give this undeserving movie every single record out there lol. 

When did box office have to do with deserving anything? Oh that's right, never.

[baumer]

Has no one here seen Unforgiven?

Stop with the deserves crap. Deserves got nothin to do with it.

[75Live]

2 minutes ago, Baumer Fett said:

Has no one here seen Unforgiven?

Stop with the deserves crap. Deserves got nothin to do with it.

 

 

 

[MovieMan89]

4 minutes ago, Baumer Fett said:

Getting a 4x doesnt seem so crazy IF it performs over the weekend the we THINK it will. And we are just using the past to extrapolate the future. Sometimes that's a dangerous thing to do as the movies from 2010 might not reflect what is going to happen in 2015. But I will say this, if it does perform like 2010, and it really does have a 45 / 50 million dollar Saturday, then it will hit a billion.

This weekend is going to be insane for it, I know a ridiculous amount of people making it their Xmas movie. I will say that if it does miss 1b, it would only be because it really does hit a wall after this weekend or next weekend where everyone interested has seen it, and then it falls off of a cliff. That really is the only way I think it's missing 1b though.