Star Wars Tuesday - 37.3M (Tele/baumer bet for Wednesday drop is on page 24...much to learn one of them still has)

[baumer]

According to a cryptic and teasing post from RTH, it looks like 36-38 mill is the number for Tuesday:

 

16 hours ago, FTF said:

15 hours ago, Rth said:

Good guess Betty 

I'm going with RTH's first estimate will be $36-38m.

[BourneFan #1]

Hell yeah!

[The Panda]

So, is good guess meaning higher or lower or on point?

[cory]

Holy happabore!

[WrathOfHan]

Down from Monday? What an epic flop.

[Empire]

1 minute ago, The Panda Menace said:

So, is good guess meaning higher or lower or on point?

On point. 

[Orestes]

Couldn't even manage an increase? What a bomb.

 

 

[ecstasy]

Expected a slight decrease. Still massive though.

[baumer]

Let's be a little more down to earth.

 

Let's say it does 37 for Tuesday

Give it a 5% drop on Wednesday for 35 mill 

Then give it a 35% drop on Thursday for 23.5 mill

 

Then give it a 90% bump on Christmas Day for 44.5 mill

Then a 15% increase on the 26th 51.15

Then a 20% drop on the 27th for 41 mill

 

That's a 45% drop from a ridiculous opening weekend.  

 

It also gives it 520 mill after frikkin Christmas Day.

[eddyxx]

#Crumbling

#Frontloaded

[baumer]

Ok, so now we're going to have 2 pages of jokes about how it's crumbling.  lol

[Jayhawk the Hutt]

4 minutes ago, Baumer Fett said:

Let's be a little more down to earth.

 

Let's say it does 37 for Tuesday

Give it a 5% drop on Wednesday for 35 mill 

Then give it a 35% drop on Thursday for 23.5 mill

 

Then give it a 90% bump on Christmas Day for 44.5 mill

Then a 15% increase on the 26th 51.15

Then a 20% drop on the 27th for 41 mill

 

That's a 45% drop from a ridiculous opening weekend.  

 

It also gives it 520 mill after frikkin Christmas Day.

And possibly another 200m the next week. Insanity.

Edited December 23, 2015 by Jayhawk the Hutt

[baumer]

My numbers are kind of conservative.  

[shruth]

sorry im new to this box office forum but who is rth? how do they get estimated numbers so quick?

[Ethan Hunt]

4 minutes ago, eddyxx said:

#Crumbling

#Frontloaded

Toxic WOM

[AJG]

1 minute ago, shruth said:

sorry im new to this box office forum but who is rth? how do they get estimated numbers so quick?

 

Rth is an all powerful being. King of numbers. Don't question his ways.

[baumer]

So if it does follow a similar path as Avatar, it will actually make more the week after Christmas than the week of.....in-fucking-sane if that happens.

 

So NYD is actually a busier day than Christmas Day with movies typically doing 10-25% more than they did on Christmas Day.  My brain seriously can't comprehend SW doing 50 mill on Christmas Day and then doing 55 million on NYD....that just doesnt seem realistic.

[The Panda]

Is #Frontloaded what we're using for Sw7? 

[Jayhawk the Hutt]

Just now, The Panda Menace said:

Is #Frontloaded what we're using for Sw7? 

Yes.

[baumer]

Just now, The Panda Menace said:

Is #Frontloaded what we're using for Sw7? 

 

That and of course
 

 

#kidsdontlikeStarWars