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Wednesday Star Wars TFA ACTUALS - 38,022,183

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BJs Breakdown

 

Thur: 27.00m -29% (390.465m)

 

Fri: 58.10m +115% (448.565m)

Sat: 72.65m +25% (521.215m)

Sun: 58.20m -19% (579.415m)

 

2nd Wknd: 189.00m -23% (579.415m)

 

Mon: 40.95m -29% (620.365m)

Edited by B J
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4 minutes ago, junkshop36 said:

 

Not me. I'm actually more interested in RO than EP8

 

A SW movie with no Jedi or force powers being used at all sounds extremely interesting to me. I want to see how well they pull this off. 

 

Plus, the cast alone has me wanting to see it. Donnie Yeun YO!! Lol

 

Still have to wonder about this idea of making films not directly or chronologically interconnected with the main films. The Marvel formula works so well because they make it obvious(sometimes painfully so) that each film follows each other and then leads into the next. It maintains interest. These side films will bring in fans like us, but I don't see GA caring much. Right now, they want to see the Ep 8 to find out what happens to the characters they fell in love with in this film. I'm not sure that within a year, they'll be willing to line up to see something basically unrelated.

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Just now, B J said:

BJs Breakdown

 

Thur: 27.00m -29% (390.465m)

 

Fri: 58.10m +115% (448.565m)

Sat: 72.65m +25% (521.215m)

Sun: 58.20m -19% (579.415m)

 

2nd Wknd: 189.00m -23% (579.415m)

 

What are you thinking right now for final total?  Outside of OW it looks like your pre-release prediction might be kind of low and that was 1.072B.  l

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16 minutes ago, Darth AndyLL said:

LOL... pressure from family to see it again today.

 

My wife still has 4-5 pet sits today and 15 tomorrow starting at 6am... 

 

I have a ton of cooking to do....

 

Oh well... it's star wars

 

The 3:00 show was sold out!  

 

Don't these people have better things to do like shopping?

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Has anyone thought the possibility that it actually decreases on Saturday?

 

CALM DOWN. LET ME EXPLAIN.

 

So Fandango claims Christmas day was the 3rd best selling day after previews and last Friday. (57M, 62M)

 

With that said, with pre-sales and walk ups, lets say it actualls pulls off 60M+ on Christmas Day. I could see it staying flat or decreasing on Saturday. In the end it will balance out to about 160-175 area. 

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a repeat, to complete the forecasts I am usually looking up:

 

from yesterday, means then they weren't aware about today's result

 

BO.com's WE prediction

 

 

Title Release Date Distributor Weekend Domestic Total Through Sunday, Dec 27
Star Wars: The Force Awakens Dec 18, 2015 Disney $163,000,000 $546,000,000
Daddy's Home Dec 25, 2015 Paramount $18,000,000 $18,000,000
Joy Dec 25, 2015 Fox $17,000,000 $17,000,000
Alvin and the Chipmunks: The Road Chip Dec 18, 2015 Fox $16,500,000 $44,000,000
The Big Short Dec 11, 2015 Paramount $14,000,000 $20,000,000
Sisters Dec 18, 2015 Universal $13,500,000 $37,200,000
Concussion (2015) Dec 25, 2015 Sony / Columbia $12,500,000 $12,500,000
Point Break (2015) Dec 25, 2015 Warner Bros. $9,500,000 $9,500,000
The Hunger Games: Mockingjay - Part 2 Nov 20, 2015 Lionsgate $6,500,000 $265,800,000
The Good Dinosaur Nov 25, 2015 Disney $5,000,000 $106,700,000
Creed Nov 25, 2015 Warner Bros. / New Line $3,700,000 $95,200,000
The Hateful Eight Dec 25, 2015 Weinstein Company $3,500,000 $3,500,000
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2 hours ago, eddyxx said:
Total Lifetime Grosses
Domestic:  $363,538,146    47.5%
Foreign:  $402,400,000    52.5%

Worldwide:  $765,938,146  

 

 

In 6 days :ohmygod:

 

It's actually 8 days when considering the worldwide gross.  

 

It started rolling out on the foreign market two days before the domestic one, on wednesday the 16th december.

Edited by Ent
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20 minutes ago, spizzer said:

 

What are you thinking right now for final total?  Outside of OW it looks like your pre-release prediction might be kind of low and that was 1.072B.  l

Uncharted territory, I've never had a film out hold (out open has happened) any of my highly optimistic predictions (I try to aim for what I think is the maximum potential). If it were to follow my prediction 100% from Sunday on in terms of % increase/decrease it would make 1.27b with a 5.12 multiplier. I think it will continue to hold better, so a 5.5+ multiplayer is happening, with an outside shot at a 6.0+ multiplier with a BP nomination. So my new range is 1.27b-1.7b

Edited by B J
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3 minutes ago, #ED2-D2 said:

Has anyone thought the possibility that it actually decreases on Saturday?

 

CALM DOWN. LET ME EXPLAIN.

 

So Fandango claims Christmas day was the 3rd best selling day after previews and last Friday. (57M, 62M)

 

With that said, with pre-sales and walk ups, lets say it actualls pulls off 60M+ on Christmas Day. I could see it staying flat or decreasing on Saturday. In the end it will balance out to about 160-175 area. 

 

BOM seems to calculate like this:

we're talking about something closer to a 14-15% drop and a Friday in the $53-55 million range....

 

Your starting point = $160m, BO.com's prediction = $163m...

your high point = $175m, BO.com didn't gave a range (but didn't knew Wednesday details at the time of their prediction), BOM & Exhibitor say ~ $178m (without a range...)

 

= $160m - $178.5m not that big of difference in a wax, especially to the narrower predictions of $163m - $175m (your high and BO.com's prediction)

 

What interesting times to live in, if the predictions are all breaking the old 2nd WE record with ~ 50% over the old record...

 

 

 

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17 minutes ago, #ED2-D2 said:

Has anyone thought the possibility that it actually decreases on Saturday?

 

CALM DOWN. LET ME EXPLAIN.

 

So Fandango claims Christmas day was the 3rd best selling day after previews and last Friday. (57M, 62M)

 

With that said, with pre-sales and walk ups, lets say it actualls pulls off 60M+ on Christmas Day. I could see it staying flat or decreasing on Saturday. In the end it will balance out to about 160-175 area. 

 

But last Friday proper was beaten by last Saturday despite an advantage on presales. Seems likely the same thing happens here.

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12 minutes ago, Ent said:

 

It's actually 8 days when considering the worldwide gross.  

 

It started rolling out on the foreign market two days before the domestic one, on wednesday the 16th december.

 

I thin both descriptions are wrong. Formulated like that it would be to simple to assume full days. Only a very few countries start Wednesday, more on Thursday, and still some are also releasing at Friday like in the US. Some countries have previews, some not...

So no, 8 days too is wrong IMHO.

It made it in 6 days plus the results made earlier in the countries with earlier releases.... or even more indepth formulted might be a possibility (IMHO)

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32 minutes ago, DarthArachnid!™ said:

 

Still have to wonder about this idea of making films not directly or chronologically interconnected with the main films. The Marvel formula works so well because they make it obvious(sometimes painfully so) that each film follows each other and then leads into the next. It maintains interest. These side films will bring in fans like us, but I don't see GA caring much. Right now, they want to see the Ep 8 to find out what happens to the characters they fell in love with in this film. I'm not sure that within a year, they'll be willing to line up to see something basically unrelated.

Disney marketing will make the GA care, be sure of that. Also they arguably put the most interesting of all their spin-off projects first so that helps

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