Wrath Posted May 21, 2016 Share Posted May 21, 2016 Hopefully I'm lucky on this SotM, because I have a bad feeling about my top 15. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
narniadis Posted May 21, 2016 Share Posted May 21, 2016 Either we will have an awesome top 15 or its going to suck donkey dick... I dont think there will be an inbetween... hopefully my ID4 basket will hold up Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baumer Posted May 21, 2016 Share Posted May 21, 2016 Yea so Neighbors 2 ain't making top 15. Thats one strike for me. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
That One Girl Posted May 21, 2016 Share Posted May 21, 2016 13 minutes ago, Baumer said: Yea so Neighbors 2 ain't making top 15. Thats one strike for me. I saw it last night and the theater was surprisingly empty for a high-profile comedy on opening night. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WrathOfHan Posted May 21, 2016 Share Posted May 21, 2016 I was the highest in my group for Angry Birds and Jungle Book and it looks like I'll be last for those two. Oh well, at least I'll walk away with a few thousand points. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MovieMan89 Posted May 21, 2016 Share Posted May 21, 2016 I'm feeling like we're going to be too high on the vast majority of movies now looking at the averages. I know I'm going to be. Except for Suicide Squad, thinking more than ever that will be the JW of the year and surprise win the summer. Ghostbusters is standing out more as well as a breakout to me as the only real female driven big release of the season. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
narniadis Posted May 21, 2016 Share Posted May 21, 2016 Yeah - we shall see how it goes, but I am not feeling great about my top 15 anymore - the films yes, the grosses - hell no. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baumer Posted May 22, 2016 Share Posted May 22, 2016 14 hours ago, MovieMan89 said: I'm feeling like we're going to be too high on the vast majority of movies now looking at the averages. I know I'm going to be. Except for Suicide Squad, thinking more than ever that will be the JW of the year and surprise win the summer. Ghostbusters is standing out more as well as a breakout to me as the only real female driven big release of the season. Ghostbusters is going to crash and burn....hard. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JJ-8 Posted May 22, 2016 Share Posted May 22, 2016 i'll survive round 1.. but only because there are only 3 players in my group 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chasmmi Posted May 22, 2016 Author Share Posted May 22, 2016 SOTM ROUND 3 - Based on Boxoffice.com's early weekend estimates (so a lot can change) Group A Q1 Q2 Q3 Final Score JJ99 39.8 33.5 546 89.97 Chewy 51.25 37.86 712 83.23 Thatoneguy 46.57 36 501 79.64 Ed 42.3 37.4 449 79.55 Group B Q1 Q2 Q3 Final Score Glassfairy 48.6 41.3 701 81.53 LAGuy 0 Alpha 0 Kalo 0 Empire 0 Group C Q1 Q2 Q3 Final Score Darkelf 40.346 40.73 803 88.35 Heyitsmoses 44.7 36.2 628 86.73 Dajk 44.75 37.12 529 81.33 Trreetrunk 0 Firedeep 0 Group D Q1 Q2 Q3 Final Score Narniadis 41.62 33.6 761 96.35 24Lost 42.353 28.019 863 86.72 Movieman89 43.775 34.65 575 86.71 Greyghost 43.61 39 477 78.07 Dexter 0 Group E Q1 Q2 Q3 Final Score Infernus 43.5 34.5 580 87.32 Exxdee 45.45 38.13 813 86.16 Telemachos 43.415 38.15 571 83.3 Baumer 0 Jayhawk 0 Group F Q1 Q2 Q3 Final Score Chasmmi 43.95 35.64 597 86.55 Kayumanggi 42.5 39.75 585 83.1 Cmasterclay 46.64 36.4 512 79.67 Wrathofhan 47 42 530 74.52 Films 0 Group G Q1 Q2 Q3 Final Score Simionski 40.722 32.4 852 93.03 JJ8 48.18 45.21 811 76.77 bcf26 46.25 36 428 76.64 Maxmoser 0 MikeHunt 0 Group H Q1 Q2 Q3 Final Score JakeGittes 34.069 34.476 681 93.49 Wrath 39.5 39 725 92.71 The Panda 34.25 36.74 752 91.76 Damienroc 45.6 36.9 741 90.33 Blank Panther 44.693 35.32 1309 67.4 So That would mean that the provisional results are: Group Winners - JJ99, Glassfairy, Darkelf, Narniadis, Infernus, Chasmmi, Simionski, Jake Gittes, Runner Ups - Wrath, JJ8, Kayumanggi, Exxdee, 24Lost, Heyitsmoses, Chewy Third Places - Thatoneguy, Dajk, Movieman, Telemachos, Cmasterclay, Bcf, Panda, Fight for the two lucky loser spots: 1st. Damienroc 90.33 2nd. Ed 79.55 3rd. Greyghost 78.07 4th. Wrathofhan 74.52 5th. Blank Panther 67.4 Fun takeaways, Damien Roc would have won 5 of the other 7 groups as it stands, but in group H he was 4th and JJ8 and bcf are the only qualifiers that would not have done so if they had been sent into the lucky loser fight. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chasmmi Posted May 22, 2016 Author Share Posted May 22, 2016 46 minutes ago, JJ-8 said: i'll survive round 1.. but only because there are only 3 players in my group Early indications show that that is the only reason you will do so Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WrathOfHan Posted May 22, 2016 Share Posted May 22, 2016 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
narniadis Posted May 22, 2016 Share Posted May 22, 2016 WOW top score in round 1 - I will take it Congrats to Group H thats a fantastic average of scores. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
glassfairy Posted May 22, 2016 Share Posted May 22, 2016 I get to stay by myself in Group B right? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WrathOfHan Posted May 22, 2016 Share Posted May 22, 2016 Estimated answers: 1) Will Angry Birds make more than $40m this weekend? No 2) Will Neighbours 2 make more than $40m this weekend? 2000 No 3) Will any film make above $50m this weekend? No 4) Will at least two new entries open above Civil War? No 5) Will The Nice Guys make more than $15m this weekend? No 6) Will Civil War become the number 1 film of 2016 by the end of Saturday? No 7) Will The Jungle Book overtake BvS's domestic total by the end of the weekend? 3000 No 8) Will Zootopia remain in the top 8? Yes 9) Will Huntsman increase more than 72% on Saturday? No 10) Will Mother's Day drop down to 10th place or lower? Yes 11) Will Money Monster drop more than 53%? 2000 No 12) Will The Darkness drop more than Ratchett and Clank? 3000 No 13) Will Barbershop have a better Friday increase than Keanu? Yes 14) Will the three main new entries combine to more than $100m? No 15) Will Greek Wedding 2 drop less than 37% on Sunday? 2000 No 16) Will Jungle Book's weekend gross be within $24m of Civil War's? 3000 Yes 17) Will Sing Street remain in the top 12? No 18) Will The Boss have a PTA above $650? Yes 19) Will Deadpool stay above Kung Fu Panda 3 this weekend? ? 20) Will all three films involve scenes that show the unwitting imbibing of urine? I'm going to say no Bonuses 15/20 - 2000 16/20 - 4000 17/20 - 6000 18/20 - 9000 19/20 - 12000 20/20 - 15000 Part 2 ~ The closest predictor for each question scores 5000 UOS 1. What will be the gross of the number 1 film of the weekend? 39M 2. What will the top three new entries combined Saturday gross be? $28,490,000 3. How far away from $1B Worldwide will Zootopia be by the end of the weekend? 18.2M Part 3 ~ predict which film finishes in the places given. (2000 per film) 1. Angry Birds 3. Neighbors 6. Money Monster 9. Huntsman 11. Barbershop 15. The Man Who Knew Infinity Bonuses: 3/6 ~ 2000 points 4/6 ~ 5000 points 5/6 ~ 9000 points 6/6 ~ 15000 points Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WrathOfHan Posted May 22, 2016 Share Posted May 22, 2016 My score for the week is 32k without knowing what the answer to question 19 is, sweet. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blankments Posted May 22, 2016 Share Posted May 22, 2016 Looks like I'm the biggest loser bahaha Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chasmmi Posted May 22, 2016 Author Share Posted May 22, 2016 5 hours ago, narniadis said: WOW top score in round 1 - I will take it Congrats to Group H thats a fantastic average of scores. * subject to change But yes group H still loks like they did pretty well didn't they 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chasmmi Posted May 22, 2016 Author Share Posted May 22, 2016 4 hours ago, glassfairy said: I get to stay by myself in Group B right? Yes, but when drawing round two, the two best losers with get honorary 2nd and 3rd places in your group 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dementeleus Posted May 22, 2016 Share Posted May 22, 2016 Oh thank god, I could've sworn I put NEIGHBORS 2 in my top 15, but I just checked and forgot I dumped it at the last minute. (I still went back too high on it but at least it won't hurt me too much). Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...