Chas' Box Office Summer Game | We Have a Winner: Congratulations to DamienRoc on a game well Played. Special mention to darkelf as the runner up and Chewy into 3rd (had a fantastic pre-season score!) | Ya all come for the winter game ya here!

[Wrath]

1 minute ago, DAJK said:

Dear lord I think I just suck at predicting box office this summer in general

 

Oh well, I guess I made it to the next round, only because Panda didn't answer :/

 

You know what they call the person who finishes last in their class at Med School?

 

Doctor.

 

A win is a win, no matter how it happens.

[That One Girl]

I remember when I lost in winter and I was like "well I've probably improved for the summer!"

 

[chasmmi]

 

 

 

[WrathOfHan]

Estimated answers:

 

1) Will Xmen make more than $67.5m this weekend? No

2) Will Xmen make more than $80m this weekend? 2000 No

3) Will Xmen make above $92.5m this weekend? No

4) Will Alice make more than $47.5m this weekend? No

5) Will Alice make more than $60m this weekend? No

6) Will Alice make more than $72.5m this weekend? No

7) Will Alice make at least 70% of the gross of Xmen this weekend? 3000 No

 

8) Will Angry Birds stay above $20m? No

9) Will Nice Guys' total gross pass Keanu's total gross by the end of the weekend?  2000 ? but probably Yes

10) Will Jungle Book drop more than 40%? No

11) WillCivil War's PTA stay above $4,500? No

12) Will The Darkness drop more than Ratchett and Clank? Yes

13) Will Neighbours remain within $7.5m of Civil War this weekend? 3000 Yes

14) Will the two main new entries combine to more than $150m? No

 

15) Will Money Maker drop less than 37% on Sunday? 2000 Yes

16) Will The Wailing have a PTA above $6000? ?

17) Will Zootopia stay in the top 9? No

18) Will The Huntsman have a PTA above $650? Yes

19) Will Mother's Day stay above Barbershop? 3000 ?

20) Will the World End by Saturday? I'm typing this so no

 

Bonuses

 

15/20 - 2000

16/20 - 4000

17/20 - 6000

18/20 - 9000

19/20 - 12000

20/20 - 15000

 

Part 2 ~ The closest predictor for each question scores 5000 UOS

 

1. What will be the gross of Alice be as a percentage of Xmen's? 43.25%

2. What will The Boss make on Sunday? 62k

3. What will Civil War's World Wide total be by the end of the weekend? $1,107,600,000

 

 

Part 3 ~ predict which film finishes in the places given.  (2000 per film)

 

6. The Jungle Book

9. Love and Friendship

11. The Darkness

14. Man Who Knew Infinity

16. Huntsman

19. Ratchet and Clank

 

Bonuses:

 

3/6 ~ 2000 points

4/6 ~ 5000 points

5/6 ~ 9000 points

6/6 ~ 15000 points 

 

Note that Part 3 will almost definitely change since there's a lot of movies missing

[WrathOfHan]

Only 12 people will get any points from X-Men's OW:

 

 

I'll score Alice whenever actuals are in

[WrathOfHan]

Only 4 people had Alice in their top weekends

 

 

[jj99]

I performed Horribly on both.

[WrathOfHan]

Looking at some preseason questions:

 

2. It looks like Popstar is going to be a monster bomb. Of course we won't know the outcome of this question until Nine Lives is out in two months but bet on Popstar being the answer.

6. X-Men's OW was below Cap's second. Dory and SS will almost definitely be ahead of that weekend and let's assume ID, Bourne, and Pets get ahead of it as well. That would put it's second weekend in 7th, and we're not even including what Dory's second weekend could do. Barring a breakout on Ghostbusters or Star Trek this question should be a yes.

7. X-Men probably isn't making the Top 5 so this should be a yes.

9. Alice was the only likely chance for a yes. Pete's Dragon or Sausage Party to the rescue?

10. This question is a yes. Alice and Neighbors will drop more than 33% from their last films and X-Men will probably join them. If it doesn't, plenty more fish in the sea!

11. With the way Warcraft presales are, this looks to be a yes. We'll have to wait a few days though.

12. Angry Birds did and Dory and Pets will open to number one, this is a yes.

18. Warcraft might make this a yes but too soon to call.

19. We can cross off 2 and 3 as potential answers. For Option 2, Alice is a bomb and X-Men probably won't do more than 170M. For Option 3, Neighbors might not hit 50M, TMNT is on track to underperform, and Warcraft and Tarzan are looking like bombs.

 

JJ's CBM questions:

 

2. Yes

3. Yes

4. Yes

5. This one is going to be VERY close.

6. No

7. No

8. No

9. No

10. This is looking like a no but we'll have to wait a few days.

11. Almost definitely not, but again, we'll have to wait.

14. Unless SS breaks out big time this is probably a no.

17. Yes

19. CW already got an A so we just need SS or TMNT to get an A. 

[chasmmi]

1 hour ago, WrathOfHan said:

Looking at some preseason questions:

 

9. Alice was the only likely chance for a yes. Pete's Dragon or Sausage Party to the rescue?

 

 

Off the top of my head I am trying to remember what the hell kind of question could have Alice, Pete's Dragon and Sausage Party as the only viable films  

[WrathOfHan]

11 minutes ago, chasmmi said:

 

Off the top of my head I am trying to remember what the hell kind of question could have Alice, Pete's Dragon and Sausage Party as the only viable films  

"Will any movie open to over 50M and not be #1?"

[Chewy]

33 minutes ago, WrathOfHan said:

"Will any movie open to over 50M and not be #1?"

 

Pete's Dragon and Sausage Party as potential 50M openers? 

[chasmmi]

Due to the Memorial Day thingy delaying actuals by 24 hours, the next SOTM 3 prediction round will be for next weekend, not this upcoming one.

 

(Hope to have some results and scores up before I sleep either way though  )

[WrathOfHan]

14 minutes ago, Chewy said:

 

Pete's Dragon and Sausage Party as potential 50M openers? 

I need false hope because I changed it to Yes  

[Chewy]

Just now, WrathOfHan said:

I need false hope because I changed it to Yes  

 

Best hope is an ungodly hold for Dory and slight floppage for Roland's Day

[chasmmi]

Week 3 answers:

 

1) Will Angry Birds make more than $40m this weekend? NO

2) Will Neighbours 2 make more than $40m this weekend? 2000 NO

3) Will any film make above $50m this weekend?  NO

4) Will at least two new entries open above Civil War? NO

5) Will The Nice Guys make more than $15m this weekend? NO

6) Will Civil War become the number 1 film of 2016 by the end of Saturday? NO

7) Will The Jungle Book overtake BvS's domestic total by the end of the weekend? 3000 NO

 

8) Will Zootopia remain in the top 8? YES

9) Will Huntsman increase more than 72% on Saturday?  NO

10) Will Mother's Day drop down to 10th place or lower? YES

11) Will Money Monster drop more than 53%? 2000 NO

12) Will The Darkness drop more than Ratchett and Clank?  3000 NO

13) Will Barbershop have a better Friday increase than Keanu? YES  

14) Will the three main new entries combine to more than $100m? NO

 

15) Will Greek Wedding 2 drop less than 37% on Sunday? 2000 YES

16) Will Jungle Book's weekend gross be within $24m of Civil War's? 3000 YES

17) Will Sing Street remain in the top 12? NO

18) Will The Boss have a PTA above $650? YES

19) Will Deadpool stay above Kung Fu Panda 3 this weekend? NO

20) Will all three films involve scenes that show the unwitting imbibing of urine? It seems that people choose urine imbibbification over these films

 

Bonuses

 

15/20 - 2000

16/20 - 4000

17/20 - 6000

18/20 - 9000

19/20 - 12000

20/20 - 15000

 

Part 2 ~ The closest predictor for each question scores 5000 UOS

 

1. What will be the gross of the number 1 film of the weekend? $38.16M

2. What will the top three new entries combined Saturday gross be?  $28.1M

3. How far away from $1B Worldwide will Zootopia be by the end of the weekend? $18.2M

 

 

Part 3 ~ predict which film finishes in the places given.  (2000 per film)

 

1. ANGRY BIRDS

3. NEIGHBOURS

6. MONEY MONSTER

9. HUNTSMAN

11. BARBERSHOP

15. KEANU

 

Bonuses:

 

3/6 ~ 2000 points

4/6 ~ 5000 points

5/6 ~ 9000 points

6/6 ~ 15000 points 

[chasmmi]

Week 3 results:

 

Name	Part 1	Part 2	Part 3	Total
Jake Gittes	34000	5000	8000	47000
Blank Panther	26000	0	19000	45000
24lost	22000	0	19000	41000
JJ99	24000	5000	8000	37000
Cmasterclay	24000	0	13000	37000
Baumer	16000	0	19000	35000
Kayumanggi	22000	0	13000	35000
Infernus	25000	0	8000	33000
Wrath	20000	0	13000	33000
Simionski	25000	0	8000	33000
Exxdee	23000	0	8000	31000
Bcf26	23000	0	8000	31000
Telemachos	17000	0	13000	30000
Darkelf	22000	0	8000	30000
Chasmmi	16000	0	13000	29000
Damienroc	20000	0	8000	28000
WrathofHan	20000	0	8000	28000
Movieman	15000	5000	8000	28000
Greyghost	20000	0	8000	28000
Narniadis	18000	0	8000	26000
Thatoneguy	18000	0	8000	26000
Glassfairy	22000	0	4000	26000
Ed	17000	0	8000	25000
Chewy	17000	0	8000	25000
Dajk	17000	0	8000	25000
HeyItsMoses	16000	0	4000	20000
Kalo	12000	0	8000	20000
JJ8	14000	0	4000	18000

[HeyItsMoses]

....fuck this game.

[Blankments]

Sweet, I had a good week for once lol

[baumer]

Jake...wtf!!  How did you nail week 3 so well?  Fuck you.  

[JJ-8]

I'll update the overalls once week 4 is scored