Wrath Posted May 29, 2016 Share Posted May 29, 2016 1 minute ago, DAJK said: Dear lord I think I just suck at predicting box office this summer in general Oh well, I guess I made it to the next round, only because Panda didn't answer :/ You know what they call the person who finishes last in their class at Med School? Doctor. A win is a win, no matter how it happens. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
That One Girl Posted May 29, 2016 Share Posted May 29, 2016 I remember when I lost in winter and I was like "well I've probably improved for the summer!" Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chasmmi Posted May 29, 2016 Author Share Posted May 29, 2016 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WrathOfHan Posted May 29, 2016 Share Posted May 29, 2016 Estimated answers: 1) Will Xmen make more than $67.5m this weekend? No 2) Will Xmen make more than $80m this weekend? 2000 No 3) Will Xmen make above $92.5m this weekend? No 4) Will Alice make more than $47.5m this weekend? No 5) Will Alice make more than $60m this weekend? No 6) Will Alice make more than $72.5m this weekend? No 7) Will Alice make at least 70% of the gross of Xmen this weekend? 3000 No 8) Will Angry Birds stay above $20m? No 9) Will Nice Guys' total gross pass Keanu's total gross by the end of the weekend? 2000 ? but probably Yes 10) Will Jungle Book drop more than 40%? No 11) WillCivil War's PTA stay above $4,500? No 12) Will The Darkness drop more than Ratchett and Clank? Yes 13) Will Neighbours remain within $7.5m of Civil War this weekend? 3000 Yes 14) Will the two main new entries combine to more than $150m? No 15) Will Money Maker drop less than 37% on Sunday? 2000 Yes 16) Will The Wailing have a PTA above $6000? ? 17) Will Zootopia stay in the top 9? No 18) Will The Huntsman have a PTA above $650? Yes 19) Will Mother's Day stay above Barbershop? 3000 ? 20) Will the World End by Saturday? I'm typing this so no Bonuses 15/20 - 2000 16/20 - 4000 17/20 - 6000 18/20 - 9000 19/20 - 12000 20/20 - 15000 Part 2 ~ The closest predictor for each question scores 5000 UOS 1. What will be the gross of Alice be as a percentage of Xmen's? 43.25% 2. What will The Boss make on Sunday? 62k 3. What will Civil War's World Wide total be by the end of the weekend? $1,107,600,000 Part 3 ~ predict which film finishes in the places given. (2000 per film) 6. The Jungle Book 9. Love and Friendship 11. The Darkness 14. Man Who Knew Infinity 16. Huntsman 19. Ratchet and Clank Bonuses: 3/6 ~ 2000 points 4/6 ~ 5000 points 5/6 ~ 9000 points 6/6 ~ 15000 points Note that Part 3 will almost definitely change since there's a lot of movies missing 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WrathOfHan Posted May 31, 2016 Share Posted May 31, 2016 Only 12 people will get any points from X-Men's OW: I'll score Alice whenever actuals are in 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WrathOfHan Posted May 31, 2016 Share Posted May 31, 2016 Only 4 people had Alice in their top weekends Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jj99 Posted June 1, 2016 Share Posted June 1, 2016 I performed Horribly on both. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WrathOfHan Posted June 1, 2016 Share Posted June 1, 2016 Looking at some preseason questions: 2. It looks like Popstar is going to be a monster bomb. Of course we won't know the outcome of this question until Nine Lives is out in two months but bet on Popstar being the answer. 6. X-Men's OW was below Cap's second. Dory and SS will almost definitely be ahead of that weekend and let's assume ID, Bourne, and Pets get ahead of it as well. That would put it's second weekend in 7th, and we're not even including what Dory's second weekend could do. Barring a breakout on Ghostbusters or Star Trek this question should be a yes. 7. X-Men probably isn't making the Top 5 so this should be a yes. 9. Alice was the only likely chance for a yes. Pete's Dragon or Sausage Party to the rescue? 10. This question is a yes. Alice and Neighbors will drop more than 33% from their last films and X-Men will probably join them. If it doesn't, plenty more fish in the sea! 11. With the way Warcraft presales are, this looks to be a yes. We'll have to wait a few days though. 12. Angry Birds did and Dory and Pets will open to number one, this is a yes. 18. Warcraft might make this a yes but too soon to call. 19. We can cross off 2 and 3 as potential answers. For Option 2, Alice is a bomb and X-Men probably won't do more than 170M. For Option 3, Neighbors might not hit 50M, TMNT is on track to underperform, and Warcraft and Tarzan are looking like bombs. JJ's CBM questions: 2. Yes 3. Yes 4. Yes 5. This one is going to be VERY close. 6. No 7. No 8. No 9. No 10. This is looking like a no but we'll have to wait a few days. 11. Almost definitely not, but again, we'll have to wait. 14. Unless SS breaks out big time this is probably a no. 17. Yes 19. CW already got an A so we just need SS or TMNT to get an A. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chasmmi Posted June 1, 2016 Author Share Posted June 1, 2016 1 hour ago, WrathOfHan said: Looking at some preseason questions: 9. Alice was the only likely chance for a yes. Pete's Dragon or Sausage Party to the rescue? Off the top of my head I am trying to remember what the hell kind of question could have Alice, Pete's Dragon and Sausage Party as the only viable films 5 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WrathOfHan Posted June 1, 2016 Share Posted June 1, 2016 11 minutes ago, chasmmi said: Off the top of my head I am trying to remember what the hell kind of question could have Alice, Pete's Dragon and Sausage Party as the only viable films "Will any movie open to over 50M and not be #1?" Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chewy Posted June 1, 2016 Share Posted June 1, 2016 33 minutes ago, WrathOfHan said: "Will any movie open to over 50M and not be #1?" Pete's Dragon and Sausage Party as potential 50M openers? 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chasmmi Posted June 1, 2016 Author Share Posted June 1, 2016 Due to the Memorial Day thingy delaying actuals by 24 hours, the next SOTM 3 prediction round will be for next weekend, not this upcoming one. (Hope to have some results and scores up before I sleep either way though ) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WrathOfHan Posted June 1, 2016 Share Posted June 1, 2016 14 minutes ago, Chewy said: Pete's Dragon and Sausage Party as potential 50M openers? I need false hope because I changed it to Yes 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chewy Posted June 1, 2016 Share Posted June 1, 2016 Just now, WrathOfHan said: I need false hope because I changed it to Yes Best hope is an ungodly hold for Dory and slight floppage for Roland's Day 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chasmmi Posted June 1, 2016 Author Share Posted June 1, 2016 Week 3 answers: 1) Will Angry Birds make more than $40m this weekend? NO 2) Will Neighbours 2 make more than $40m this weekend? 2000 NO 3) Will any film make above $50m this weekend? NO 4) Will at least two new entries open above Civil War? NO 5) Will The Nice Guys make more than $15m this weekend? NO 6) Will Civil War become the number 1 film of 2016 by the end of Saturday? NO 7) Will The Jungle Book overtake BvS's domestic total by the end of the weekend? 3000 NO 8) Will Zootopia remain in the top 8? YES 9) Will Huntsman increase more than 72% on Saturday? NO 10) Will Mother's Day drop down to 10th place or lower? YES 11) Will Money Monster drop more than 53%? 2000 NO 12) Will The Darkness drop more than Ratchett and Clank? 3000 NO 13) Will Barbershop have a better Friday increase than Keanu? YES 14) Will the three main new entries combine to more than $100m? NO 15) Will Greek Wedding 2 drop less than 37% on Sunday? 2000 YES 16) Will Jungle Book's weekend gross be within $24m of Civil War's? 3000 YES 17) Will Sing Street remain in the top 12? NO 18) Will The Boss have a PTA above $650? YES 19) Will Deadpool stay above Kung Fu Panda 3 this weekend? NO 20) Will all three films involve scenes that show the unwitting imbibing of urine? It seems that people choose urine imbibbification over these films Bonuses 15/20 - 2000 16/20 - 4000 17/20 - 6000 18/20 - 9000 19/20 - 12000 20/20 - 15000 Part 2 ~ The closest predictor for each question scores 5000 UOS 1. What will be the gross of the number 1 film of the weekend? $38.16M 2. What will the top three new entries combined Saturday gross be? $28.1M 3. How far away from $1B Worldwide will Zootopia be by the end of the weekend? $18.2M Part 3 ~ predict which film finishes in the places given. (2000 per film) 1. ANGRY BIRDS 3. NEIGHBOURS 6. MONEY MONSTER 9. HUNTSMAN 11. BARBERSHOP 15. KEANU Bonuses: 3/6 ~ 2000 points 4/6 ~ 5000 points 5/6 ~ 9000 points 6/6 ~ 15000 points 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chasmmi Posted June 1, 2016 Author Share Posted June 1, 2016 Week 3 results: Name Part 1 Part 2 Part 3 Total Jake Gittes 34000 5000 8000 47000 Blank Panther 26000 0 19000 45000 24lost 22000 0 19000 41000 JJ99 24000 5000 8000 37000 Cmasterclay 24000 0 13000 37000 Baumer 16000 0 19000 35000 Kayumanggi 22000 0 13000 35000 Infernus 25000 0 8000 33000 Wrath 20000 0 13000 33000 Simionski 25000 0 8000 33000 Exxdee 23000 0 8000 31000 Bcf26 23000 0 8000 31000 Telemachos 17000 0 13000 30000 Darkelf 22000 0 8000 30000 Chasmmi 16000 0 13000 29000 Damienroc 20000 0 8000 28000 WrathofHan 20000 0 8000 28000 Movieman 15000 5000 8000 28000 Greyghost 20000 0 8000 28000 Narniadis 18000 0 8000 26000 Thatoneguy 18000 0 8000 26000 Glassfairy 22000 0 4000 26000 Ed 17000 0 8000 25000 Chewy 17000 0 8000 25000 Dajk 17000 0 8000 25000 HeyItsMoses 16000 0 4000 20000 Kalo 12000 0 8000 20000 JJ8 14000 0 4000 18000 8 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HeyItsMoses Posted June 2, 2016 Share Posted June 2, 2016 ....fuck this game. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blankments Posted June 2, 2016 Share Posted June 2, 2016 Sweet, I had a good week for once lol Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baumer Posted June 2, 2016 Share Posted June 2, 2016 Jake...wtf!! How did you nail week 3 so well? Fuck you. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JJ-8 Posted June 2, 2016 Share Posted June 2, 2016 I'll update the overalls once week 4 is scored 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...