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Presales Tracking Thread(Maoyan, Taopiaopiao etc)

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On 8/28/2018 at 9:46 PM, ZeeSoh said:

Mission Impossible 6 (2 days out)

Midnight - 2.44m

OD - 19.65m (+30%) (79661 shows)

Sat - 6.81m

Sun - 3.15m

Mission Impossible 6 (1 day out)

 

Midnight - 3.20m

OD - 27.06m (+37.7%) (105231 shows)

Sat - 10.2m

Sun - 4.41m

 

This is where Jurassic World 2 was 1 day out

Midnight - 4.45m Yuan

OD - 36.63m (+32.82%) (126,638 shows)

Sat - 18.55m

Sun - 8.90m

 

And this is where Ant Man 2 was 1 day out

Midnight - 3.49m

OD - 23.68m (+53.56%) (106251 shows)

Sat - 9.03m

Sun - 4.35m

 

Other comparisons 1 day out

Transformers 5 - 55.15m

Civil War - 37.9m

The Mummy - 14.6 (This was only the 4th day of presales for this movie)

 

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On 8/29/2018 at 10:15 PM, ZeeSoh said:

Mission Impossible 6 (1 day out)

Midnight - 3.20m

OD - 27.06m (+37.7%) (105231 shows)

Sat - 10.2m

Sun - 4.41m

 

Mission Impossible 6 (Final)

OD - 48.69m (+80%) (137067 shows)

Sat - 16.88m

Sun - 6.68m

 

Great jump for MI6 on its last day.  Here are some comparisons that I could find

 

Ant Man 2 (Final)

OD - 46.55m (+96.6%) (141372 shows)

Sat - 14.9m

Sun - 6.63m

 

Both had very similar midnights and have very similar OD and Sunday presales. I am surprised Ant Man 2 got slightly more shows than MI6. I thought MI6 would get more. Will be interesting to see how MI6 does over the weekend. However due to the fact that MI6's reception so far has been better than AM2 and the fact that superhero movies generally tend to be more frontloaded, I expect MI6 to have better internal multi than AM2

AM2 had an OW multi of about 10. Even a 11.18 multi will get MI6 into 80's. At this point 70's is a lock. I'll go with high 70's to low 80's for my guess

 

 

Jurassic World 2 (Final)

OD - 60m (+63.8%) (154,870 shows)

Sat - 26.27m (114,970 shows)

Sun - 11.9m (88,910 shows)

 

During the early stages of MI6's presales run, I thought that it would match JW2 since it was doing so in the first few days but JW2 pulled ahead decisively. JW2 also had much higher Sat and Sun presales as well as way more shows allocated. 

 

Some other OD presales comparison:-

Civil War - 65.8

Pirates of the Caribbean 5 - 45

The Mummy - 31.19

 

Can't compare with PoTC5 despite the similar PS due to the fact that PotC5 came out during holiday period so its internal multi is all wonky.

 

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Venom (9 days out)

Midnight - 572k

OD - 2.99m (41575 shows)

Sat - 1.30m

Sun - 809k

 

Some OD comparisons 9 days out

BP - 4.22 (28554 shows)

AM2 - 3.47m (33783 shows)

SMH - 2.6m

GotG2 - 1.74m

 

Venom has quite a high number of shows as compared to BP and AM2 although it is running behind both in Midnight and Saturday/Sunday numbers. I don't know how long Venom has been running presales now. 

 

The Nutcracker is at 1.45m with 26812 shows 2 days out

 

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22 hours ago, ZeeSoh said:

Venom (9 days out)

Midnight - 572k

OD - 2.99m (41575 shows)

Sat - 1.30m

Sun - 809k

 

Venom (8 days out)

Midnight - 849k

OD - 4.48m (+49.83%) (48662 shows)

Sat - 1.92m

Sun - 1.16m

 

Great jump for Venom today. It has pulled ahead of AM2 at the same time and is only behind BP now. It also has more shows than almost all SH movies 8 days out

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1 hour ago, ZeeSoh said:

 

Venom (8 days out)

Midnight - 849k

OD - 4.48m (+49.83%) (48662 shows)

Sat - 1.92m

Sun - 1.16m

 

Great jump for Venom today. It has pulled ahead of AM2 at the same time and is only behind BP now. It also has more shows than almost all SH movies 8 days out

Pretty good. Needs a big opening and could get it

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On 10/31/2018 at 10:04 PM, ZeeSoh said:

 

Venom (8 days out)

Midnight - 849k

OD - 4.48m (+49.83%) (48662 shows)

Sat - 1.92m

Sun - 1.16m

 

Venom (7 days out)

Midnight - 1.1m

OD - 6.38m (+42.4%) (54974 shows)

Sat - 2.60m

Sun - 1.45m

 

Another great jump for Venom today. It is now ahead in presales of all SH movies (since 2016 from when i have data) not named IW at around 7 days out. It was behind BP yesterday but has overtaken it today. It is also ahead in Midnight/Sat/Sun presales as well as number of shows listed.

 

OD presales 7 days out for some movies

PoTC5 - 8.33

MI6 - 7.36

BP - 5.77

AM2 - 4.81

SMH - 4.4

 

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Venom outpaced Spider-Man: Homecoming, Black Panther, Ant-Man and the Wasp, Avengers: Age of Ultron & Captain America: Civil War in Chinese advance ticke sale at the same point. It probably would be the second-highest pre-seller of superhero films in history(only behind Infinity War). 

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4 hours ago, Gavin Feng said:

Venom outpaced Spider-Man: Homecoming, Black Panther, Ant-Man and the Wasp, Avengers: Age of Ultron & Captain America: Civil War in Chinese advance ticke sale at the same point. It probably would be the second-highest pre-seller of superhero films in history(only behind Infinity War). 

Can you say that initial piracy might have boosted the early audience interest  :Venom: ?

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21 hours ago, ZeeSoh said:

 

Venom (7 days out)

Midnight - 1.1m

OD - 6.38m (+42.4%) (54974 shows)

Sat - 2.60m

Sun - 1.45m

 

Venom (6 days out)

Midnight - 1.38m

OD - 8.46m (+32.6%) (60,934 shows)

Sat - 3.45m

Sun - 1.74m

 

Bit of a slow down but that is to be expected over the weekend. Its still growing almost at double the pace of Ant Man 2 and BP. 

 

Also as already mentioned, its ahead of pretty much every SH movie not named IW at the same time. Projections is tricky with this one as I dont know if it will sustain such a high level of gains in the last week of presales. But one thing is for sure, interest and awareness is quite high it seems. 

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On 11/2/2018 at 10:05 PM, ZeeSoh said:

 

Venom (6 days out)

Midnight - 1.38m

OD - 8.46m (+32.6%) (60,934 shows)

Sat - 3.45m

Sun - 1.74m

 

Venom (5 days out)

Midnight - 1.62m

OD - 10.3 (+21.75%) (65,800 shows)

Sat - 4.5m

Sun - 2.12m

 

Bit of a slowdown as expected over the weekend. Still going very strong though. 

 

PS: late update as I was out and about on Sat night

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22 hours ago, ZeeSoh said:

Venom (5 days out)

Midnight - 1.62m

OD - 10.3 (+21.75%) (65,800 shows)

Sat - 4.5m

Sun - 2.12m

 

Venom (4 days out)

Midnight - 2.02m

OD - 13.1m (+27.18%) (69864 shows)

Sat - 5.8m

Sun - 2.5m

 

Another good day for Venom. Here's an interesting fact. Venom's Saturday PS at this point are higher than the OD presales of Justice League, Thor Ragnarok and Guardians of the Galaxy 2!

 

Venom's PS have also now exceeded the presales for MI6 at same point in PS cycle (12m). It is also close to that  of PoTC5 which was at 13.79m Yuan. It is also creeping up on JW2's show count which was at around 74k around this time compared to nearly 70k for Venom. JW2 ended its run with about 155k show count. IF Venom manages that it an have a big opening too. 

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