BATMAN V SUPERMAN WEEKEND THREAD | 166.01M OW, New March OW Record. 420.4M WW OW.

[Biggestgeekever]

I'm interested in seeing if CW can top Ultron's OW. Conventional wisdom would say no, but Spider-Man is such a huge get for the movie. He had easily the second because reaction of the night from my BvS audience. His inclusion is gigantic for general audiences.

[#ED]

[jse]

2 minutes ago, AndyLL said:

 

Only a couple people here know who/what he works for but he obviously has access to the raw data.

 

Anyone can look at the data after the day is over but Rth is real good at sampling data during the day and by looking at the trends and understanding historical results and he can come up with fairly accurate predictions.

 

Over the years he has been kind enough to share them with us.

 

 

 

Hail Rtheimdal. Hope he doesn't have an Infinity Stone, because Thanos be looking for that shit. Now that'd be some destruction porn to behold.

[grey ghost]

So this could make the top 5 Fridays of all time.

 

2nd biggest Friday in Warner Bros history.

 

 

[Emerald kikyou]

I will predict 162M OW

[boomboom234]

3 minutes ago, grey ghost said:

So this could make the top 5 Fridays of all time.

 

2nd biggest Friday in Warner Bros history.

 

 

It could be top 3 depending on rth final update

[picores]

I have Civil War over 200m OW. Mainly thanks to Spidey. If the movie is well received enough, lets say Winter Soldier WOM, 500m DOM should happen.

[DeeCee]

24 minutes ago, jse said:

 

If I understand correctly, he works for a (the?) company that receives raw data from all(?) the theaters all over the world and crunches these numbers for all the various big studios. IIRC he started frequenting these boards around the first Avengers opening weekend.

 

Tl;dr: He possess the all-seeing eye that we mere mortals do not. Praise be!

He's been around a long time. 

 

He might still pop back tonight. 

Edited March 26, 2016 by DeeCee

[grey ghost]

1 minute ago, boomboom234 said:

It could be top 3 depending on rth final update

 

The estimates dropped away from 85 m.

 

They usually don't go back up.

 

At least I don't remember it happening.

[boomboom234]

Just now, grey ghost said:

 

The estimates dropped away from 85 m.

 

They usually don't go back up.

 

At least I don't remember it happening.

not for deadline they have been going up all night rth was the only person saying 85

[Dementeleus]

Just now, grey ghost said:

 

The estimates dropped away from 85 m.

 

They usually don't go back up.

 

At least I don't remember it happening.

 

Rth was the only 85, no? I thought DHD/Variety/THR were all in the 75-80 range. Or did I miss an update along the way?

[jse]

8 minutes ago, boomboom234 said:

What a group of posters where a movie being poential the third-fifth all time highest OD is a net negative and how this dooms certain results.

 

It was the same after Ultron's relatively disappointing 84M came out after its then-relatively impressive preview number. 100M Fri was bandied about, but it fell way short of that. It's Sat was also a roller coaster ride, until finally evening came and it was clear we were definitively getting kicked off that ride. It bounced back a lil on Sunday, but by then it had lost too many of TA's original audience.

[boomboom234]

1 minute ago, grey ghost said:

 

The estimates dropped away from 85 m.

 

They usually don't go back up.

 

At least I don't remember it happening.

no you didn't only rth said 81-85 the rest have been going up all day to match his numbers

[a2k]

2 minutes ago, grey ghost said:

 

The estimates dropped away from 85 m.

 

They usually don't go back up.

 

At least I don't remember it happening.

 

But RTH did not say just '85', he said '81-85'.

It's us who were looking for optimism ignored 81,82,83,84

[Dementeleus]

1 minute ago, jse said:

 

It was the same after Ultron's relatively disappointing 84M came out after its then-relatively impressive preview number. 100M Fri was bandied about, but it fell way short of that.

 

But in that case, the 100m+ wild estimates actually came from the trades, not us.  

[grey ghost]

1 minute ago, boomboom234 said:

not for deadline they have been going up all night rth was the only person saying 85

 

1 minute ago, Telemachos said:

 

Rth was the only 85, no? I thought DHD/Variety/THR were all in the 75-80 range. Or did I miss an update along the way?

 

You guys are right.

 

80-85 m is still the range.

 

All hail, Rth.

[boomboom234]

Just now, a2knet said:

 

But RTH did not say just '85', he said '81-85'.

It's us who were looking for optimism ignored 81,82,83,84

but no one else said more than 80

[Dementeleus]

People invariably go for the high number in Rth's estimates.  With DHD's late update, I'm assuming even a Rth update would be more in the 80.5-81.5 range or so.

[a2k]

5 minutes ago, boomboom234 said:

but no one else said more than 80

 

the purpose of my post was to bring out how we always pick the high-end of an RTH range because we are so optimistic. It's not anti/pro RTH or am not comparing him to anyone. he has the real data.

 

6 minutes ago, a2knet said:

 

But RTH did not say just '85', he said '81-85'.

It's us who were looking for optimism ignored 81,82,83,84

 

Edited March 26, 2016 by a2knet

[#ED]

3 minutes ago, Telemachos said:

People invariably go for the high number in Rth's estimates.  With DHD's late update, I'm assuming even a Rth update would be more in the 80.5-81.5 range or so.

 

Hopefully above 80M.