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Ezen Baklattan

July 1-4 Weekend Estimates | Dory 50.2m, Tarzan 45.6m, Purge 34.8m, BFG 22.2m, IDR 20.2m

By Ezen Baklattan, in Numbers and Data

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Jason Box Office Gold

Jason

Posted
Posted (edited)
1 hour ago, The Pandaren said:

Please stop acting like Cinemascore is an indicator for legs.  I've literally scatter plotted hundreds of movies from the last few years and found no correlation of a high Cinemascore to a high multiplier.

 

Cinemascore is a useless tool when talking about box office.

 

What was the R-squared? I'm not doubting your conclusion, just want to know exactly how weak the correlation was.

Edited by Jason
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parkerthegreat Cult Classic

parkerthegreat

Posted
Posted
2 hours ago, a2knet said:

Gap between TDK and DORY

1st weekend : 23.3m (158.4m vs 135.1m)

2nd weekend : 27.5m (313.8m vs 286.3m)

3rd weekend : 19.5m (393.8m vs ~374.3m; using 44m 3-day for DORY)

After Monday the gap will reduce to 14m (400m vs 386m)

 

I at least see DORY doing 515m. 100m clear of TS3.

Good to see someone else using TDK as the comp. Apart from opening weekend, they've been performing reasonably similar, with the caveat that TDK Mondays are always higher than its Tuesdays, and the opposite is true with Dory. 

 

Still really impressed with the jump by Dory. Did not think it could manage a +50% Friday. 500m is just about a done deal. 510m is where I see it for now. BFG disappoints to the surprise of no one. Tarzan is doing better than expectations, though that budget means it will be a very long time before WB recoups the costs, and Purge is doing well. Good weekend overall. 

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CJohn Cinematic Universe

CJohn

Posted
Posted

Shit, I am gonna lose a ton fuck of points between Purge and the overperformance of Tarzan in the Casino. Luckily I think I have 300 guaranteed points from IDR.

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FlashMaster659 Box Office Gold

FlashMaster659

Posted
Posted

LOL

 

 31 seconds ago

So noted! :-)

Looks like everyone who gave me shit for my $44M box can suck on a vine
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
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